Blues for Europa

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blindpig
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Mon Jul 28, 2025 2:34 pm

Europe capitulated
July 28, 12:59

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Trump made a "trade deal" with the EU yesterday.

1. EU trade goods delivered to the US will be subject to a 15% duty (with a number of exceptions)
2. The EU is committed to buying US energy resources for $750 billion.
3. The EU is committed to investing $600 billion in the American economy.
4. The EU is committed to increasing purchases of American weapons.

In short, the US's European satellites did not dare to start a trade war and caved in.
So far, this is Trump's most successful deal.

Today, Europe is full of defeatist comments about Brussels giving in to almost all its positions under American pressure. Industrialists are especially indignant. The fate of vassals is hard. But we certainly will not feel sorry for them.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9979516.html

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Von Der Leyen Just Subordinated The EU As The US’ Largest-Ever Vassal State
Andrew Korybko
Jul 28, 2025

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This outcome places the US on the path of restoring its unipolar hegemony via sequential lopsided trade deals as it likely sets its sights on the Americas next before finally taking on Asia.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed to a framework deal with the US whereby the EU will be charged 15% tariffs on most imports, commit to purchasing $750 billion in US energy exports, and invest $600 billion into the US economy, some of which will be military purchases. US tariffs on EU steel and aluminum exports will remain at 50% while the EU agreed not to tariff the US at all. The alternative to this lopsided arrangement was for Trump to impose his threatened 30% tariffs by 1 August.

The EU’s macroeconomic strength was greatly weakened over the past 3,5 years as a result of the anti-Russian sanctions that it imposed in solidarity with the US on what had hitherto been its cheapest and most reliable energy supplier. It was therefore already at a critical disadvantage in any prospective trade war. The EU’s failure to reach a major trade deal with China since Trump’s return to office, such as during their most recent summit late last week, made Sunday’s outcome a fait accompli in hindsight.

The end result is that the EU just subordinated itself as the US’ largest-ever vassal state. The US’ 15% tariffs on most imports will reduce EU production and profits, thus making a recession more likely. The bloc’s commitment to purchasing more expensive US energy will become more onerous in that event. Likewise, its pledge to buy more US arms will undermine the “ReArm Europe Plan”, with the combined effect of the aforesaid concessions further ceding the EU’s already reduced sovereignty to the US.

This can in turn embolden the US to press for better terms in its ongoing trade negotiations with others. On the North American front, Trump envisages reasserting the US’ hegemony over Canada and Mexico via economic means, which can enable him to more easily expand “Fortress America” southward. If he succeeds in subordinating Brazil, then everything between it and Mexico will naturally fall in line. This series of deals along with last week’s one with Japan would bolster Trump’s hand with China and India.

He ideally hopes to replicate his Japanese and European successes with those two Asian anchors of BRICS, which together represent around 1/3 of humanity, but it can’t be taken for granted that he will. Trump’s best chance of coercing them into similarly lopsided arrangements requires him placing the US in the most advantageous geo-economic position possible during their talks, ergo the need to rapidly build “Fortress America” via a series of trade deals, and then proving that his tariff threats aren’t bluffs.

“The Sino-Indo Rivalry Will Shape Trump’s Anti-Russian Secondary Sanctions Decision” as explained in the preceding analysis, with this variable and the US’ Kissingerian triangulation policy most significantly determining the future of their trade talks. If he fails, then Trump might not impose 100% tariffs on China and/or India, but some would still be expected. Nevertheless, with Japan, the EU, and likely “Fortress America” on his side, this “Global West” could insulate the US from some of the consequences.

The grand strategic importance of the EU subordinating itself as the US’ largest-ever vassal state is therefore that it places the US on the path of restoring its unipolar hegemony via sequential trade deals as it likely sets its sights on the Americas next before finally taking on Asia. There’s no guarantee that the US will succeed, and a series of lopsided trade deals with major economies would only partially restore US-led unipolarity, but Trump’s moves still represent a possibly existential threat to multipolarity.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/von-der- ... inated-the


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EU-U.S. Trade Deal To Accelerate EU Deindustrialization: Lavrov

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Russian FM Sergey Lavrov. X/ @ActualidadRT

July 28, 2025 Hour: 7:54 am

Donald Trump’s deal is anti-Russian and humiliates the European Union.
On Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned that the trade agreement between the European Union and the United States would lead to further deindustrialization in the EU.

It is evident that this approach will result in greater deindustrialization of the EU and an outflow of investment to the United States,” Lavrov said during an appearance at a youth forum in the Moscow region.

He emphasized that the main victims would be European industry and agriculture, due to high energy prices. Lavrov also criticized the EU’s decision to prioritize confrontation with Russia, saying it goes against the interests of European citizens.

“Of course, these agreements are harmful to the Old Continent — there’s no need to even analyze it,” he added.

Lavrov drew attention to growing global instability in the coming years, noting that these are no longer “threats,” but “real problems,” including those related to Ukraine.

He pointed to the Middle East — especially Palestine, Iran, Syria, Libya and Iraq — as regions facing the most instability. “And the West, particularly the United States, does not hide its deep interest in expanding its influence in the Asia-Pacific region,” he said.

On Monday, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev also described the EU-U.S. trade deal as anti-Russian and humiliating for Brussels, while calling for EU officials to be “hanged from flagpoles.”

https://www.telesurenglish.net/eu-u-s-t ... on-lavrov/

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Italian city says no to warships and weapons for Israel

Workers and activists in Genoa protested arms shipments to Israel and militarization of port infrastructure under the EU’s dual-use agenda.

July 27, 2025 by Ana Vračar

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Genoa's dockworkers during Palestine solidarity action. Source: USB/Facebook

From early morning on Friday, July 25, Genoa set the stage for new anti-armament mobilizations in Italy: dockworkers protested arms transfers to Israel, while the public rejected plans that would turn their city into a hotpoint of NATO’s war machine.

José Nivoi from the Autonomous Collective of Port Workers (Collettivo Autonomo dei Lavoratori Portuali, CALP) and the local union chapter of Unione Sindacale di Base (USB), emphasized that the morning rally was directed specifically at the new city authorities, with dockworkers demanding a clear stance of solidarity with Palestine – an assurance they say was given. “The evening assembly was also very lively,” Nivoi told Peoples Dispatch. “Around 150 people took part – mostly members of the general public, not just activists – and joined a discussion on the plans to transform the port into dual-use military infrastructure.”

Dockworkers against arms transfers
Port workers in Genoa have long taken action against arms transfers through their harbor, including past warnings about shipments to Saudi Arabia. Since the beginning of Israel’s genocide in Gaza, they have deepened ties with other dockworkers’ collectives, particularly in Greece and France, acting along similar lines. According to Nivoi, it was a warning from their Greek comrades that alerted them to the planned arrival of the COSCO Shipping Pisces – a vessel carrying military-grade steel bound for Israel, which had previously been blocked by port workers in Piraeus – at the Ligurian ports of La Spezia and Genoa.

Although it is still unclear whether the COSCO Pisces will eventually dock in Genoa in the coming days, port workers have made their position clear: if asked to handle its military cargo, they will refuse. USB has stated that such a request would trigger an immediate strike. “Our port must be declared off-limits to ships bound for or arriving from Israel,” USB’s chapter in Genoa’s port stated. “We join this struggle for peace, civilization, and against genocide in Palestine, as well as in all other theaters of war.”

There is a clear moral and ethical imperative to boycott the handling of military cargo, Nivoi explains, as doing so makes workers complicit in wars and war crimes. Beyond that, he adds, there are serious health, safety, and legal concerns that both employers and the government routinely overlook. In principle, Italy has strong legal safeguards against arms transfers to countries engaged in armed conflict, including constitutional provisions that explicitly repudiate war. In practice, these are often disregarded. Other crucial questions remain unaddressed, including the risk military cargo poses to both workers and surrounding communities. “These containers are sometimes full of explosive materials. What happens if something goes off? It’s not just the workers who will suffer the consequences, it’s the entire city,” Nivoi says. “The same goes for chemical cargo. How do we know what the health effects will be for workers handling chemicals used in weapon production?”

Dual-use puts everyone at risk
The dockworkers’ position aligns with a broader campaign recently launched by USB in support of conscientious objection to arms transfers and scientific collaboration with Israel. It also serves as a bridge between the Palestine solidarity efforts led by Genoa’s port workers and the wider mobilizations against militarization taking place across Italy and Europe.

According to plans recently floated by Italian regional and national authorities, Genoa could be expected to host an increasing number of non-cargo ships in the future. A dual-use clause is supposed to allow EU member states to designate civilian infrastructure for military purposes under newly expanded NATO budgets. At a summit in June 2025, with no significant opposition from major European governments, members agreed – bowing to pressure from US President Donald Trump – to allocate 5% of GDP to the war alliance. Of this, 3.5% is earmarked for military troops and equipment (presumably mostly US-made), while the remaining 1.5% can fund more loosely-related infrastructure.

Plans are already underway to classify ports, railways, and highways as dual-use infrastructure, making them eligible for funding under the 1.5% of NATO-linked spending. Genoa’s port, which lies along several strategic transport corridors, has been included on one of these lists. Its new breakwater project has been described by officials as suitable for handling smaller aircraft carriers, NATO vessels, military equipment, and troops. This only compounds the existing risks associated with the dam project, Nivoi warns, from its construction on a collapse-prone foundation to environmental threats and steep financial costs.

“But perhaps the most serious danger,” he adds, “is what the decision to make the breakwater dual-use really signals: how far European leaders are willing to go in preparing for war. It’s a major shift. They are ready to dedicate everything to it, so much so that the risk of war becomes more real with each passing day.”

However, a growing number of people in Genoa reject these plans, refusing to be turned into accessories to war. Echoing this sentiment, the anti-armament platform “Disarmiamoli!” called for a public assembly on Friday to denounce the militarization of local infrastructure. “In a national context of rearmament, increased military spending, and escalating war, this decision dramatically increases risks for residents, not just workers,” the network said in a press release.

Strengthening infrastructure doesn’t mean militarizing it
Marta Collot, spokesperson for the left party Potere al Popolo, echoed the platform’s call for action. “We know that words are not enough and that concrete resistance is needed in a context of rising military spending pushed by NATO, of a European rearmament and so-called common defense that only brings more war, and of a war economy that will strangle our country from within,” she wrote after the protest on Friday.

Activists and workers argue that instead of transforming civilian infrastructure into military hubs under the pretext of dual-use, the government should invest in public services and social security. While some claim that embracing dual-use policies could expand funding for projects that will otherwise remain underfunded, dockworkers firmly refute such reasoning. “Strengthening port and logistics infrastructure must not mean putting them at the service of war, but rather at the service of trade relations built on conciliation and international cooperation,” USB members at the Port of Trieste stated in a message ahead of the Genoa mobilizations.

“While we’re being asked to handle arms shipments that boost the profits of private companies and accept rising military budgets, our own salaries and livelihoods are stagnating or collapsing,” Nivoi says. Due to inflation and cuts to public services, he adds, Italy’s working class is increasingly forced to choose between accessing education, healthcare and affording basic necessities. “Workers in Italy are already feeling the effects of this new war obsession through inflation and growing poverty.”

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/07/27/ ... or-israel/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Wed Jul 30, 2025 2:22 pm

'Blind Ideological Zealotry' Let EU Agree To This Trump Deal

The European Union and U.S. agreed on a trade deal which cements the vassalization of the EU:

After make-or-break negotiations between President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Scotland, the pair agreed a US tariff on all EU goods of 15%.
That is half the 30% import tax rate Trump had threatened to implement starting on Friday. He said the 27-member bloc would open its markets to US exporters with zero per cent tariffs on certain products.

Von der Leyen also hailed the deal, saying it would bring stability for both allies, who together account for almost a third of global trade.
...
Trump said the EU would boost its investment in the US by $600bn (£446bn), including American military equipment, and spend $750bn on energy.

That investment over the next three years in American liquified natural gas, oil and nuclear fuels would, von der Leyen said, help reduce European reliance on Russian power sources.

Some goods will not attract any tariffs, including aircraft and plane parts, certain chemicals and some agricultural products. A separate deal on semiconductors may be announced soon.
...
[A] 50% US tariff Trump has implemented on steel and aluminium globally would stay in place, he said.


This is a very, very bad deal for Europe. It again demonstrates the incompetence of EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

As I have pointed out previously there was and is no imbalance in trade between the U.S. and Europe. There was no need for tariffs or for agreeing to a deal. As the Washington Post concedes (archived):

For the E.U., a 15 percent blanket tariff is far worse than what European officials had previously hoped for. They’d offered “zero-for-zero” tariffs with the U.S. on industrial goods at the start of Trump’s trade blitz. But the bloc has sought to avoid an all-out trade war with its traditionally closest commercial and military ally.
...
Trump frequently complains about the yawning gap in U.S.-E.U. merchandise trade. Last year, the U.S. imported almost $606 billion worth of European products while selling goods totaling about $370 billion to European buyers. The resulting $236 billion trade deficit is evidence of European unfairness, Trump insists.
But the U.S. runs a sizable surplus of its own in trade in services like financial advice, tourism and education, bringing the total trade relationship much closer to balance. Considering the total $1.8 trillion in goods and services that flow between the U.S. and E.U., the U.S. trade deficit is less than $100 billion, which most economists say is inconsequential.


The EU commission was given the tools to prevent the current outcome. That is why yesterday Martin Sandbu of the FT argued (archived) that there was no need to concede:

There will be no final agreement.
...
So it is a mistake to treat this as a negotiation with an ultimate resolution. There will be no resolution. There will continue to be instrumentalised chaos, promised policy steps will suddenly be thrown out, and linkages with all kinds of demands unrelated to trade will keep being made, mafia-style (just ask Brazil). The EU’s task is not, therefore, to negotiate a trade deal, but to find ways to insure its economies, companies and workers as much as possible from the cost of being exposed to a completely unreliable US.
The US is more vulnerable than it thinks.
...
[T]he EU’s net imports of US services and its net royalty payments for intellectual property balance out its net exports of goods to America. [..]
...
The EU is more powerful than it looks. So far, the EU does not seem too willing to go beyond tariffs as a retaliatory weapon. But it, obviously, has others. The most relevant rule here is the “anti-coercion instrument” (ACI) that gives the European Commission vast powers to choose economic measures it sees fit — well beyond the realm of tariffs or even trade more generally — in order to respond to an attempt by a foreign power to coerce its policy decision.
...
To sum up: there is no settlement that will end Trump’s unreasonable demands and stabilise trade policy; the balance of bargaining power favours Europe more than conventional wisdom believes; and the EU may not need, in terms of its long-term economic interests, to divert Trump from his protectionist course. So why should the EU offer the US anything? To be blunt, it doesn’t need to negotiate. That is what von der Leyen should tell Trump today. Pulling out of talks is, if anything, more likely to get Trump to back down.


There was no reason for the EU to accept any deal.

That it did so is a result of the miserable negotiation tactics (archived) van der Leyen has pursued. She has become a cause and symbol of Europe's decay.

The only positive feature of the deal is that it is not clear yet (archived) what it entails:

Like many preliminary agreements Mr. Trump has announced, this one had few details. For some of the “deals” that Mr. Trump reached, other governments have seemed to lack clarity on what exactly they agreed to, and it remains unclear which tariff rates will apply to which products as of Aug. 1.
...
“There’s a lot of issues that I think are still very unclear,” said Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe at the Eurasia Group. “If there aren’t further exemptions to be negotiated to that 15 percent, I think it’s a far more suboptimal deal than the member states were hoping to achieve.”
On hopes that the EU member states will finally be furious enough to kick van der Leyen out of her office. The Prime Minister of France seems to be ready to do that.


François Bayrou @bayrou - 8:29 UTC · Jul 28, 2025
(Translated by Grok)
Von der Leyen-Trump Agreement: it is a dark day when an alliance of free peoples, united to affirm their values and defend their interests, resolves to submission.

Indeed this is a capitulation to the U.S. of A.


As a German I wince when I read Chancellor Merz' commenting (archived) against the interests of his own country:

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz saluted the agreement as “avoiding an unnecessary escalation in transatlantic trade relations”.
He said a trade war “would have hit Germany’s export-oriented economy hard”, highlighting how the German automotive industry would now see US tariffs cut from 27.5 per cent to 15 per cent.

However, Wolfgang Niedermark, board member of the Federation of German Industries trade body, called the agreement “an inadequate compromise”, with the EU “accepting painful tariffs”.

A 15 per cent US tariff rate “will have a huge negative impact on Germany’s export-oriented industry”, he said.


Warwick Powell, in stark contrast to other opinions, sees the deal as an attempt by the EU to further entangle the U.S. in Europe:

[L]ook beneath the bombast, and a different picture emerges. The picture is paradoxically not of European weakness per se (or vassalage as self-loathing Europeans would be tempted to say), but of European entrapment strategy from a position of relative weakness. If anything, this “deal” locks the United States deeper into Europe’s security and economic architecture, not the other way around. And it does so by using the one thing Trump cannot resist: the illusion of winning.
Warwick argues that most parts of the deal will never be done anyway. The U.S. can not export, and the EU not import, the amount of gas that would be needed to spend $750bn on energy. The investment side of the deal would have happened anyway and the tariffs will hurt the U.S. more than the EU.


But how is the EU winning with that? It sounds like 4-dimensional chess to me when von der Leyen is clearly incapable of winning a round of checkers.

The best summary of the situation comes, as so often these days, from the Russian side:

Medvedev: Trump “steamrolled” Europe with a one-sided deal that serves only American interests.
Commenting on the newly struck trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union, former Russian President and current Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev argues that the agreement:

Strips Europe of its economic defenses, removing tariffs for U.S. goods while leaving EU markets vulnerable;
Imposes heavy costs on European industry and agriculture, forcing them to rely on overpriced American energy;
Diverts investment from Europe into the United States.
For Trump, it’s just business, Medvedev notes. For Europe, however, it’s blind ideological zealotry — with Ursula von der Leyen and the Eurocratic elite sacrificing the welfare of their own citizens.


Th EU commission could have easily prevented this.

A 100% tariff on Hollywood movies and a digital service tax to be payed by Microsoft, Google and others would have hit Trump and the U.S. where it hurts. The means were all there for the EU commission but it did not even give them a try. The result is a terrible outcome.

Posted by b on July 28, 2025 at 14:35 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/07/b ... .html#more

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Austrian "neutrality" is not needed
July 28, 21:03

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Austrian "neutrality" is not needed

Globalists are stepping up their efforts to create a strengthened anti-Russian coalition, drawing more and more countries into NATO. The statement by Austrian Foreign Minister Beate Meinl-Reisinger about her readiness to discuss a possible renunciation of military neutrality has become another indicative marker. Austrian neutrality is not only a historical and legal tradition, enshrined in the constitution since 1955, but also a fundamental part of the Yalta-Potsdam system, which retained relative relevance even after the collapse of the USSR.

Austria's participation in NATO would mean the final destruction of this structure, the closure of the formal buffer between East and West, and the transition to accelerated militarization of the European continent. ( https://t.me/Taynaya_kantselyariya/12868 ) Thanks to the discourse on "uncertain security" and "aggressive Russia" used by the country's political elites, subjective models of security are being displaced and a unitary, centralized system of governance in Europe is being created, where national interests are being dismantled. In this project, the neutrality of Austria or another country associated with the EU does not fit into the given paradigm. That is why Sweden and Finland were previously quickly accepted into the alliance.

The strengthening of the anti-Russian architecture in Europe is happening synchronously with the collapse of the norms that legitimized the diplomatic contour of world politics for the past 80 years. Globalists are building a homogeneous environment in which any form of political and cultural neutrality is equated with betrayal.
Austria's rejection of neutrality will be an act of final change in the entire system of post-war balance, in which Europe had at least minimal signs of subjectivity.

The entry of the last neutral EU country into NATO means that the entire continent is turning into an integrated operational zone of a single military command created for a direct military conflict with Russia. For Moscow, this is a signal for a strategic reassessment of the entire European policy: there is no longer an "old Europe" with which it was possible to conduct a dialogue. The new Iron Curtain is not being built by us - but we will have to admit that it has already been erected.

https://t.me/Taynaya_kantselyariya/12901 - zinc

In the current reality, the best response to these plans is the development of unconventional means of both a first and a retaliatory strike, in order to maintain guaranteed capabilities for the direct destruction of opponents. Only this currently holds NATO back from a direct attack on the Russian Federation.

P.S. In the current reality, Austria is no longer a de facto neutral country (like Switzerland), since it has imposed sanctions against the Russian Federation.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9980449.html

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Europe plows, America drives
July 28, 2025
Rybar

In recent days, the EU and US authorities have staged yet another spectacle of transatlantic mutual “prosperity”.

On the golf course of the American leader Donald Trump in Scotland, he signed a trade agreement under which the EU will pay its transatlantic partner a 15% duty on the vast majority of its exports to the United States. In return, Brussels promises to buy American liquefied gas and nuclear fuel for $750 billion, invest $600 billion in the US economy and purchase military equipment. And all this - to avoid raising duties up to the threatened 30%.

At the same time, Washington does not hide the essence of the scam: hiding behind the arms lobby, the US administration plans to squeeze everything out of Europe to the last. EU countries should not just pay off , but get stuck in American purchases with feverishly inflated prices.

The head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen , called this “triumph” “stability and predictability” for business, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the “avoidance of a trade conflict.” But no one is saying that, as always, there is no such thing as a free lunch: European companies will face a serious loss of competitiveness, and European consumers will face rising prices.

The Germans themselves risk losing up to 15% of production, pharmaceuticals and even cosmetics are forced to prepare for new taxes, and European farmers, to put it mildly, are perplexed - after all, additional tariffs have not been lifted, which means that the import of European goods to the US will remain burdened.

And what is perhaps most interesting: EU member states are effectively losing the right to independently regulate their own trade and energy, and control over the processes is flowing into the hands of the Trump and Brussels administrations, playing their own transnational poker.

https://rybar.ru/evropa-pashet-amerika-pogonyaet/

Sandu is already against Western politicians
July 29, 2025
Rybar

The Moldovan authorities have denied entry to participants of the international conference MEGA (Make Europe Great Again), which is taking place in Chisinau on July 28-29.

The Moldovan Security and Intelligence Service (SIS) accused the participants of the event of “threatening to destabilize the situation in the country” and of allegedly suspicious sources of funding.

The Czech MEP Ondřej Dostál , the American conservative and chairman of the International Organization for Family Affairs Brian Brown , and the representative of the Greek party NIKI Dimos Thanasoulas were caught in the crossfire . However, after the intervention of the US Embassy, Brown was finally allowed into Moldova, but the others were not.

MEP Dostal noted that he was among those who collected signatures for the vote to recall Ursula von der Leyen , a generous friend of the Maia Sandu regime.

The Moldovan authorities continue to make enemies for themselves , including among members of the European Parliament and even among American conservatives. Not everyone in the EU supports Moldova's European integration, recognizing the fictitious nature of the reforms, the repressions against the opposition, and the incapacity of the republic's economy in the current realities.

However, the EU's top leadership will again turn a blind eye to Moldovan lawlessness. The only question is when a tangible anti-Moldovan coalition will form within the organization.

https://rybar.ru/sandu-uzhe-protiv-zapadnyh-politikov/

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A Rafale BF3 practices alert in a protective aircraft shelter at an unknown base (potentially Saint Dizier) with an ASMPA nuclear cruise missile shape attached to its center pylon. (Photo: French Air Force).

French nuclear weapons, 2025
Originally published: Bulletin of Atomic Scientists on July 15, 2025 by Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda, Eliana Johns and Mackenzie Knight-Boyle (more by Bulletin of Atomic Scientists) (Posted Jul 30, 2025)

France’s nuclear weapons arsenal has remained stable in recent years, but significant modernizations are underway of the country’s ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, submarines, aircraft, and nuclear industrial complex. We estimate that France currently has a nuclear weapons stockpile of approximately 290 warheads. In addition, approximately 80 retired warheads are awaiting dismantlement, giving a total inventory of approximately 370 nuclear warheads. The Nuclear Notebook is researched and written by the staff of the Federation of American Scientists’ Nuclear Information Project: director Hans M. Kristensen, associate director Matt Korda, and senior research associates Eliana Johns and Mackenzie Knight-Boyle.

This article is freely available in PDF format in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ digital magazine (published by Taylor & Francis) at this link. To cite this article, please use the following citation, adapted to the appropriate citation style: Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda, Eliana Johns, and Mackenzie Knight-Boyle, 2025. French nuclear weapons, 2025. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 81(4), 313—326. https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2025.2524251

To see all previous Nuclear Notebook columns, go to thebulletin.org


France’s nuclear weapons stockpile has remained stable over the past decade and contains approximately 290 warheads for delivery by ballistic missile submarines and aircraft. Nearly all of France’s stockpiled warheads are deployed or operationally available for deployment on short notice. In addition, up to 80 warheads—the older TN75 warheads assumed to have been recently removed from the Le Vigilant submarine—are believed to be in the dismantlement queue and are likely no longer considered part of France’s stockpile.

The current force level is the result of adjustments made to France’s nuclear posture following former President Nicolas Sarkozy’s announcement on March 21, 2008, that the arsenal would be reduced to fewer than 300 warheads (Sarkozy 2008). As Sarkozy said in 2008, the 300-warhead stockpile is “half the maximum number of warheads [France] had during the Cold War” (Sarkozy 2008). By our estimate, the French warhead inventory peaked in 1991-1992 at around 540 warheads, and the size of today’s stockpile is about the same as it was in 1984, although the composition is significantly different.

President Emmanuel Macron reaffirmed the Sarkozy formulation of “under 300 nuclear weapons” in a speech on February 7, 2020 (Élysée 2020) (see Table 1). Under President Macron, France has engaged in a long-term modernization and strengthening of its nuclear forces, which have included significant budget increases to the deterrent force in recent years (Assemblée Nationale 2024). It is possible but unclear if the decision to add another nuclear air base will increase the stockpile.

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Research methodology and confidence
The analyses and estimates made in this Nuclear Notebook are derived from a combination of open sources: (1) state-originating data (e.g. government statements, declassified documents, budgetary information, and military operations and exercises); (2) non-state-originating data (e.g. media reports, think tank analyses, and industry publications); and (3) commercial satellite imagery. Because each of these sources provides different and limited information that is subject to varying degrees of uncertainty, we crosscheck each data point by using multiple sources and supplementing them with private conversations with officials whenever possible.

As a democracy with an active civil society and media landscape, it is possible to obtain relatively higher-quality information about France’s nuclear arsenal compared to many other nuclear-armed countries. France is one of only two countries (the other being the United States) that have publicly disclosed the size of their nuclear stockpile. French policy and military officials also offer regular statements on France’s nuclear doctrine and associated modernization programs.

Despite these positive steps, some challenges persist in obtaining reliable information about France’s nuclear arsenal. France’s freedom of information laws are more restrictive than in the United States and United Kingdom, and since 2008, a law initially designed to limit proliferation of French nuclear information has in practice been implemented on such a broad scale that it has restricted the ability of researchers and journalists to effectively analyze and disseminate data about discrete elements of France’s nuclear stockpile (Cooper 2022; Légifrance 2008). As a result, it is highly challenging to verify information presented by official sources, particularly as such statements rarely contain technical details.

In addition, no other country produces public intelligence assessments or statements about France’s nuclear arsenal, unlike how the United States does with China or Russia. While such statements can be institutionally biased and often reflect a mind-set of worst-case thinking, they still constitute valuable data points to cross with other sources.

Where gaps in reliable or official data exist, commercial satellite imagery is an important resource for analyzing France’s nuclear forces. Satellite imagery makes it possible to identify air, missile, and navy bases, as well as industrial production facilities. However, over the past decade, France has taken steps to ensure that its most sensitive sites be blurred on public mapping platforms. This censorship appears to have spiked following a helicopter prison jailbreak in 2018, after which France’s Justice Minister asked Google to blur imagery of all of its prisons, remarking that “I think that it’s not normal for secure establishments like prisons to be found on the internet” (Deleaz and Hue 2018; our translation). Although this is in fact very normal practice in almost all other countries, Google appears to have complied: satellite imagery of all French nuclear-related sites, including historical imagery, is now blurred on Google Earth. For example, the nuclear air base at Saint Dizier-Robinson is hidden behind an old low-resolution image from 2014 (see Figure 1).

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Figure 1 French manipulation of satellite imagery of Saint Dizier Robinson Air Base Credit Maxar Technologies Federation of American Scientists

It is not difficult for imagery analysts to find ways of getting around these censorship practices, as these requests only apply to companies that are either subject to French law or are amenable to French governmental requests for commercial reasons. Given the proliferation of publicly available satellite imagery, it is therefore still possible to acquire high-resolution imagery of all facilities in France. But on Google Earth, France is more sanitized than any other nuclear-armed state.

Considering all these factors, we maintain a higher degree of confidence in our analysis of France’s nuclear arsenal than in that of some other nuclear-armed countries where official and unofficial information is even more scarce (China, Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea). However, for certain elements of France’s nuclear deterrent—including command, control, and communications, or the performance of certain weapon systems—information is much scarcer than in other countries like the United States or the United Kingdom.

The role of French nuclear weapons
Successive heads of state, including Presidents Sarkozy, Hollande, and now Macron, have periodically described the role of French nuclear weapons. The Defense Ministry’s 2017 Defense and National Security Strategic Review reiterated that the nuclear doctrine is “strictly defensive,” and that using nuclear weapons “would only be conceivable in extreme circumstances of legitimate self-defense,” involving France’s vital interests. What exactly these “vital interests” are, however, remains unclear. During and after the Cold War, French leaders considered France’s “vital interests” to extend beyond its national boundaries; this discourse has been revived in earnest with the presidency of Emmanuel Macron. In February 2020, President Emmanuel Macron announced that France’s “vital interests now have a European dimension,” and sought to engage the European Union on the “role played by France’s nuclear deterrence in [its] collective security” (Élysée 2020).

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the heightened possibility of nuclear use in Europe, this discourse came under greater scrutiny and analysis. In October 2022, Macron clarified that France’s vital interests “would not be at stake if there was a nuclear ballistic attack in Ukraine or in the region,” apparently attempting to avoid being seen as expanding French nuclear doctrine (France TV 2022). Explicitly ruling out a nuclear role in case of Russian nuclear escalation in Ukraine appeared to contradict France’s statement at the August 2022 Review Conference for the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which explained that “for deterrence to work, the circumstances under which nuclear weapons would [or would not] be used are not, and should not be, precisely defined, so as not to enable a potential aggressor to calculate the risk inherent in a potential attack” (2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons 2022).

The discussion around the role of France’s deterrent in Europe has intensified after the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President, and even more so given the Trump administration’s open disdain for the United States’ European allies, overtures toward Russia, and threats to stop supporting Ukraine. While the broad contours of France’s nuclear posture will likely remain largely unchanged for the near future, how it is communicated and demonstrated appear to be evolving (Maitre 2025).

In addition to statements about France’s vital interests in Europe, Macron announced in March 2025 the addition of a nuclear air base at Luxeuil in eastern France, which will become the first base to house France’s new hypersonic nuclear cruise missile by 2035 (Élysée 2025). And when French jets (including Rafale jets from the nuclear base at Saint Dizier) deployed to northern Sweden in April 2025, France’s ambassador to Sweden explicitly stated: “As President Macron has said, it is of course the case that our French vital interests also include the interests of our allies. In that perspective, the nuclear umbrella also applies to our allies and of course Sweden is among them” (Granlund 2025).

There’s no indication so far whether France intends to substitute for the U.S. nuclear umbrella or the forward-deployed dual-capable aircraft in Europe. Unlike the United Kingdom—which is largely reliant upon the United States for its delivery systems and warhead designs and closely coordinates on nuclear war planning—France maintains a high degree of nuclear independence from its allies, which France calls “strategic autonomy” (Tertrais 2020).

France does not have a no-first-use policy and reserves the right to conduct a “final warning” limited nuclear strike to signal to an adversary that they have crossed a line—or to signal the French resolve to conduct further nuclear strikes if necessary—in an attempt to “reestablish deterrence” (Élysée 2020; Tertrais 2020). Although France is a member of NATO, its nuclear forces are not part of the alliance’s integrated military command structure. The Defense Ministry’s 2013 White Paper says the French nuclear deterrent “ensures, permanently, our independence of decision-making and our freedom of action within the framework of our international responsibilities, including in the event of any threat of blackmail that might be directed against us in the event of a crisis” (French Ministry of Defense 2013). In 2020, President Macron explained that, if an aggressor is not deterred, France’s “nuclear forces are capable of inflicting absolutely unacceptable damages upon that state’s centers of power: its political, economic and military nerve centers” (Élysée 2020). For a more in-depth examination of the evolution of France’s nuclear doctrine, see Bruno Tertrais’ authoritative report, “French Nuclear Deterrence Policy, Forces and Doctrine” (Tertrais 2020).

During a French parliamentary hearing on January 11, 2023, Gen. Thierry Burkhard, the French Chief of Defence, further explained France’s nuclear doctrine:

[Our deterrent] is not articulated around the notion of threshold, because it would allow our adversaries to maneuver around in conscience and circumvent our deterrence ‘from the bottom up.’ Our deterrence capability guarantees second-strike possibilities through the redundancy of resources and the invulnerability of the sea-based leg. The possibility of using the nuclear weapon first is assumed: our doctrine is neither that of no first use nor that of the sole purpose, according to which nuclear weapons are only addressed to the nuclear threat… Nuclear deterrence does not seek to win a war or prevent losing one. (Burkhard 2023; our translation)

(Much more, detailed.)

https://mronline.org/2025/07/30/french- ... pons-2025/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Thu Jul 31, 2025 2:18 pm

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Ceaușescu’s revenge: 66% of Romanians consider him a good leader, express nostalgia for pre-1989 period
Originally published: In Defense of Communism on July 27, 2025 by In Defense of Communism Staff (more by In Defense of Communism) | (Posted Jul 30, 2025)

Almost 36 years since the counterrevolutionary events in Romania and the execution of of Nicolae Ceausescu and his wife, capitalist barbarity has made most Romanians nostalgic of the pre-1989 years.

A recent INSCOP agency survey reveals that 66% of Romanians consider Ceaușescu a good leader, while only 24% view him negatively. The study, titled Public Perception of Communism: Markers of nostalgia, conducted in July 2025 with a sample of 1,500 respondents.

The INSCOP survey highlights the severe popular discontent over capitalist policies and EU’s manipulation of domestic politics thus leading to a significant resurgence of nostalgia for the pre-1989 period when basic social rights were guaranteed. More specifically, according to the survey:

Life before 1989: 48.4% of respondents believe life was better before the 1989 revolution, compared to 34.7% who disagree.
Corruption: 65.1% claim corruption was lower under Ceaușescu’s regime.
Public safety: 75.1% view public safety as better during the communist era.
State efficiency: 58.7% believe state institutions functioned more effectively under Ceaușescu.
Economic output: Over 68% think Romania produced more goods and services before 1989.
Cultural identity: 71.3% feel Romania has lost its cultural identity in recent years.
Education and healthcare: 49.9% say education was more accessible, and 48.6% believe healthcare was better under communism.

Nicolae Ceausescu is an exemplary case of how western media manipulate the image of a politician. When, for example, Romania did not participate in the intervention of the Warsaw Pact armies in Czechoslovakia in 1968, the West praised Ceausescu as a “good pal” within the eastern bloc.

When Romania accepted to participate in the 1984 Los Angeles Olympiad (which was boycotted by the other Socialist countries), western media again praised Nicolae Ceausescu for his “disobedience towards Moscow”. However, this changed when the Romanian leader distanced himself from Gorbachev’s counter-revolutionary line of “compromise” with Imperialism.

Then, the western media propaganda began to portray Ceausescu as the “Dracula”, demonizing his leadership. The “good guy” of the eastern bloc rapidly transformed into a “brutal dictator” in the eyes of the so-called international community.

Today, three and a half decades since the parody trial that sent him to the firing squad, Ceausescu seems to take an extraordinary revenge from the counterrevolutionaries who overthrew his power.

https://mronline.org/2025/07/30/ceauses ... 89-period/

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Lithuanian PM Gintautas Paluckas Resigns

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Gintautas Paluckas. X/ @KRONIKInsights

July 31, 2025 Hour: 8:27 am

He also stepping down as chairman of the Social Democratic Party.
Lithuanian Prime Minister Gintautas Paluckas informed the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party’s board of his decision to resign. His announcement comes ahead of a planned vote by the party’s executive board on Thursday.

Paluckas’ decision follows a warning issued by Saulius Skvernelis, Speaker of the Seimas and leader of the Democratic Union “For Lithuania,” who stated that his party would withdraw from the governing coalition if Paluckas remained in office.

Paluckas is also stepping down as the chairman of the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) and Mindaugas Sinkevicius, the mayor of Jonava District and Paluckas’ former first deputy will take over the leadership. Sinkevicius stated that he has no intention of seeking the prime minister’s post following Gintautas Paluckas’ resignation and promised that the party will nominate a new candidate without delay.

It remains unclear who the Social Democrats will nominate for the new prime minister, with the names of the first deputy speaker of the Seimas, Juozas Olekas, and Social Security and Labor Minister Inga Ruginiene mentioned in the political corridors.


Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda welcomed Paluckas’ decision to resign as prime minister, describing the step as the only right choice. Under the Constitution of Lithuania, the entire Cabinet must step down along with the prime minister. Since Paluckas is named as prime minister in the current center-left coalition agreement, a new agreement will also need to be negotiated.

Paluckas announced his resignation amid two pre-trial investigations into his business dealings and controversy surrounding his involvement in business, ties to certain businesspeople and failure to pay damages owed to the Vilnius municipality.

Paluckas said that he does not feel he made any serious mistakes but wants to prevent the governing coalition and cabinet from becoming hostages to the political scandals surrounding him.

“Seeing how these escalating scandals are bogging down the work of the government, I believe I cannot allow our ruling coalition and cabinet to become hostages to these controversies. That’s why I have decided to take a swift and firm decision,” Paluckas said.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/lithuani ... s-resigns/

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Over 600,000 sign up for new left-wing party in Britain

More than 600,000 people have signed up within days to support the formation of a new left-wing political party in Britain.

July 30, 2025 by Ana Vračar

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Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana at Palestine solidarity rally. Source: Zarah Sultana/X
Over 600,000 people have signed up in just a few days to support the formation of a new left-wing party in Britain, following the announcement of its launch by MPs Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn. Provisionally referred to as “Your Party,” the new political group says it aims to build power from the grassroots up in order to challenge – and defeat – Nigel Farage’s Reform UK as well as Labour under Keir Starmer’s leadership.

While speculation about a new political formation had circulated for months, the initiative geared up after Sultana declared her departure from Labour in the wake of the party’s campaign to designate direct action group Palestine Action as a terrorist organization. Before and after that vote, Labour repeatedly failed to act to halt the genocide in Palestine, despite widespread public outrage over Israel’s crimes.

Read more: Italian city says no to warships and weapons for Israel
At the same time, it has promoted austerity policies that either preserve or worsen poverty, all while echoing far-right rhetoric in a failed attempt to win over Reform voters. Corbyn recently reiterated his criticism of the Labour Party for endorsing the racist and xenophobic policies promoted by the right, warning that this will not have the effect Prime Minister Starmer is hoping for. “By scapegoating migrants and minorities for its own domestic failures, Labour has paved the path for Reform UK,” Corbyn wrote. “This Labour government is here to appease Reform. We are here to defeat Reform.”

Similarly, Sultana linked the launch of the new party to Labour’s internal efforts to silence dissent over austerity and solidarity with Palestine. “I could not knock on another door asking people to vote for the Labour Party when it is a genocide party, when it is an austerity party,” she told Novara Media. “To me, the Labour Party is dead: it’s dead morally, it’s dead politically, and it’s dead electorally.”

A broad project to return power to the people
In recent weeks, both Corbyn and Sultana have emphasized that the new party will be structured differently from establishment political parties in Britain, starting with the role of its members. Party democracy and participation, they stress, will be central, with members having a direct say in major decisions, including the party’s final name, leadership model, and electoral strategy – setting it apart from the top-down model of mainstream parties. The new formation also aims to build on existing grassroots and political organizing, encouraging supporters to take an active role in their communities.

Though the initiative has been met with sneers from Reform and skepticism from mainstream Labour, the scale of public support suggests it addresses widespread concerns and has genuine potential to offer a viable alternative to the current model. Labour, in particular, appears to be rattled, Sultana said, arguing that the claim a new left party would only split progressive votes rather than hurting Reform might reveal more about Labour’s concern for its own future than about meaningful change or broader political strategy.

Moreover, Corbyn and Sultana have reiterated that the new party is not just an electoral project, but a broader attempt to return power to the people. “The great dividers want you to think that the problems in our society are caused by migrants or refugees,” the party’s statement reads. “They’re not. They are caused by an economic system that protects the interests of corporations and billionaires. It is ordinary people who create the wealth – and it is ordinary people who have the power to put it back where it belongs.”

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/07/30/ ... n-britain/
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Sun Aug 03, 2025 2:41 pm

[reposted post]Falsification of history and amnesia in the Republic of Mordovia in the year of the 80th anniversary of Victory

August 3, 8:01
(reposted by colonelcassad)
I wrote earlier here - so on April 29, 2025, in the village of Bol'shiye Berezniki, a memorial to the builders of the Sura defensive line was opened, which was built by residents of the republic from November 1941 to February 1942.

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As we see in the central composition - a priest with a cross, but they forgot to indicate the names of those killed during the construction of the line - it is known about the death of a 32-year-old woman from Sudosevo, Bolsheberznikovsky District, Mordovian ASSR.

Everyone is silent as always, but in private conversations they are indignant. We have an active figure on the Sura Line - I say, why are you silent - and I say, I'm afraid. Holy shit. It would be right to speak at VDNKh after this and they won't take you on a boat ride down the Volga. Like we'll tell them the truth later - and he himself is indignant that a woman appointed to head the Sura Line Museum, when important guests arrived, started saying that the Russian Orthodox Church played a big role in the construction of the line, which is reflected on the monument - and points to the cross.

On June 19, I wrote to my grandfather in the village, VVP, about this situation:

During the construction of the Sura line, the leading role in organizing the work, the rear and military operations was played by the Communist Party (VKP(b), and not by priests with crosses.

However, among the central three figures on the memorial I indicated, the RVIO office shoved in a priest in a cassock with a pectoral cross (ordinary believers did not wear such crosses, much less hide a pectoral cross under their shirt). Not a communist who supervised the work (albeit with great difficulties), not an old veteran of the Civil War who fought to establish Soviet power and a future for his children and grandchildren. In 1941 and 1942, such a priest with a pectoral cross would have been immediately arrested by the NKVD and sent to cut down trees in Siberia, and not to build the Sura line. This sculpture falsifies our history, makes people think that priests built defensive lines.

On December 11, 2019, you, Vladimir Vladimirovich, said that attempts to distort this historical truth do not cease. Not only the heirs of Nazi accomplices have joined them, now it has reached some quite respectable international institutions and European structures. Well, you know for sure that the recent resolution of the European Parliament actually put both the Nazi aggressors and the Soviet Union on the same level. It almost accuses the USSR, along with Nazi Germany, of unleashing World War II, as if they forgot who attacked Poland on September 1, 1939 and the Soviet Union on June 22, 1941. And those who try to argue with such unfounded, shameless lies are accused in advance of "an information war against democratic Europe." This is a quote. Our response to lies is the truth. We will continue to talk about the events and facts of the Great Patriotic War, to reveal and publish archival materials in their entirety. Otherwise, it seems that some of our opponents either cannot read or write, they have no eyes, as if they know nothing. But we will talk about this," Vladimir Putin emphasized.

So, if we stick to historical accuracy, there were no priests in church attire or other clergymen at the construction of the Sura defensive line, or they certainly did not walk around with pectoral crosses. If they wanted to suck up to the Russian Orthodox Church so much, they would have built a chapel nearby in honor of the line's builders - an Orthodox person would go there and light a candle, and an atheist, a Muslim and others would lay flowers at the memorial.

Let me remind you that the RVIO office has already distinguished itself with a number of scandals involving monuments dedicated to our history - an "exploded diagram" of a German Sturmgewehr was placed on the Kalashnikov monument (they were then cut off with a grinder), and German Mauser carbines were placed on the monument at the Belorussky railway station, leaving for the fronts of the Great Patriotic War.

I ask you to bring the monument to the Sura defensive line in the village of Bol'shiye Berezniki in line with historical reality - remove the cross on the sculpture of the old man - after all, our answer to lies is the truth.


It is clear that the letter was sent down to the Administration of the Head of the Republic of Mordovia, which in turn entrusted the response to the Ministry of Culture of the Republic of Mordovia. The justification was written by familiar historians who called and tearfully asked not to write such a thing - they racked their brains on what to write in response. And I jokingly told them that they had sold out... In general, everything is according to the precepts of the head of the Main Political Directorate of the Soviet Army and Navy, General A. A. Epishev - "Who needs your truth if it prevents us from living?"

On June 23, 2025, I received a response from the Ministry of Culture of the Republic of Moldova and then even from the administration of the Bolshebereznikovsky district:

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So, according to the response of the Ministry of Culture of the Republic of Mordovia, it is not a priest on the monument, but: the image of an elderly man in the sculptural composition used in the development and implementation of the concept of the memorial is a collective one, created on the basis of the memories and photographs of real builders of the line. Thus, one of the participants in the construction, on the basis of whose fate the image was created, is Filipp Petrovich Gusev, a native of the village of Sorlinei, Chamzinsky District. According to the recollections of relatives, Filipp Petrovich was a deeply religious person, in his village he was a singer in the church choir. This plot allowed the sculptor to bring symbols of Orthodoxy into the image to artistically enhance its drama and inner strength. For Christians, the cross is a symbol of victory over the devil, who in this case embodies Nazism. In the sculpture, not only the cross is symbolic, but also the image of people: a woman in tarpaulin boots instead of bast shoes and a knee-length skirt instead of a long one; a teenager shorter than the woman; an old man without a hat and with a shirt open on his chest, and they built the line in frosts of -30 -40°. Thus, the pectoral cross on the old man's chest becomes a pectoral cross, symbolizing the victory of good over the forces of evil. Along with feelings of patriotism, selfless devotion to the Motherland, faith helped the participants in the construction to withstand the psychological and physical stress of hard work.

Thus, the use of Orthodox symbols in the sculptural composition is not an “attempt to falsify historical reality,” but is intended to emphasize the spiritual unity of our people, who demonstrated unprecedented courage and fortitude during the Great Patriotic War, as well as a caring attitude toward the traditional religions professed by the peoples of the Russian Federation.


Oh, how fortunate the singer turned up – he would have to portray a communist – a participant in the Civil War – in the guise of an old man... But among the builders of the Sura line there were also Muslims – Tatars from the inhabitants of the Mordovian ASSR, but for some reason they did not portray a mullah... Also “going to hell” are thousands of communists, who worked in both leadership and ordinary positions in the construction.

I wrote a letter to VVP again: if we adhere to historical accuracy, in 1941-1942 there were no priests/choristers in church vestments or other clergymen at the construction of the Sura defensive line, or they certainly did not wear pectoral crosses. Moreover, during this period pectoral crosses were worn on the territory of the USSR... only on the territory occupied by the troops of the Third Reich. Especially the priests of the Pskov Orthodox Mission, who went on to collaborate with the fascists. Let me remind you that in August 1942, all priests of the occupied regions of the North-West of the RSFSR received a secret circular from the mission, signed by Archpriest Kirill Zayets - it gave the following tasks:

1. identify partisans and persons associated with them;

2. identify among the parishioners all those who are against the Germans and express dissatisfaction with the German order;

3. identify all those who conduct services without being ordained, that is, impostor priests;

4. identify in your parish all persons who were previously repressed by the Soviet authorities.

Thus, the image of an old man with a pectoral cross in a cassock is not a symbol of the Orthodox cross that defeated Nazism, but of representatives of those who went to collaborate with the fascists during the difficult years of the Great Patriotic War. Also, the image of a former singer with an Orthodox cross on the monument will lead to discord with Muslims - Tatars of the Mordovian ASSR - among the builders of the Sura line there were also Muslim believers, but for some reason there was no place for their representative in the sculptural group... as well as for the communists. Thus, the Russian Military Historical Society, which created such a monument, deliberately sows discord between the peoples of the Russian Federation and distorts our history.

I ask you to conduct a historical and cultural examination of this monument at the level of the Russian Academy of Sciences. And if the distortion of our history is confirmed, bring the monument to the Sura defensive line in the village of Bolshiye Berezniki in the Republic of Mordovia in accordance with historical reality - remove the cross on the sculpture of the old man - after all, our answer to a lie is the truth. And next to the monument, install slabs with the names of those who died during the construction of the line (the death of a 32-year-old woman from Sudosevo, Bolsheberznikovsky District, Mordovian ASSR is known), and about whom the Russian Military Historical Society has forgotten.


****

I understand that most likely everything will end in formal replies, although the thought is cherished that something will be changed. And yes, if it is the same at the level of the Russian Academy of Sciences, then the Epishev case lives on and has become the main slogan of propaganda...

P.S. To those who support your fluttering — you won't achieve anything. In February 2021, I approached the head of the Republic of Mordovia A.A. Zdunov in the museum and pointed out what monument our priest, who doesn't really know history, erected near the Chufarovsky Monastery (NKVD prison in 1920-1930). Our searchers were digging there — I immediately refused to go there — they said that they were lying like in a cemetery, although in some places the graves were shallow (winter) and among about 200 exhumed remains there was one bullet-pierced skull and several children's skeletons. I heard a story — some searchers along the railway had been raising buried people for several years — supposedly dead Red Army soldiers — although the locals said that they were taken to the cemetery. And they dug up more or less whole ones (apparently the undertakers didn't rob them too much at first) - WWI soldiers (by buttons and accessories) and victims of the devastation of the Civil War - there was one rich man with a bunch of junk and a ring. So much for the Red Army soldiers...

And although they raised about a third of the cemetery, our commander Kruchinkin N.A. refused to continue working - he said that by all appearances this cemetery is not the execution pits that we found in the ravine behind the Old Klyucharevskoye Cemetery.

Well, this priest who doesn't know history decided to show the brutal nature of Stalinism - and ordered a monument there and it was necessary to depict children there, preferably behind barbed wire. And it is stupid to deny the fact of the repressions of the 1930s, but children, even enemies of the people, were not driven into camps, but sent to orphanages (there is also no "sugar"). And they found him a picture - he apparently clapped his hands with joy - asked to draw another tower. And he erected a monument - when I saw it on the Internet - my jaw dropped - the photo is very recognizable:

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In the photo, if anyone doesn't know, there are underage prisoners of a Finnish transit camp in Petrozavodsk in June 1944. Here, photos are cropped and liberals love to insert them into their posts as evidence of Stalin's cruelty.

Then the priest, who didn’t know history, complained to his friends – they had to hire a tractor in February and clear a road and dismantle the monument.

It worked then, but now the Head of the Republic of Mordovia Zdunov himself, indulging the Russian Military Historical Society and Medinsky, has approved and already installed a monument to a priest with a cross - and our local historians in the civil service were afraid of losing their warm places.

P.P.S.

And an example of amnesia - by 1985 in Saransk on the Walk of Fame a complex of monuments was created:

In 1979, a bust of General M.A. Purkaev was erected.

Presumably in 1980, plates with the full names of the GSS, GST and full Cavaliers of Glory:

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On April 25, 1985, veterans of the 326th Infantry Division presented a memorial plaque “Combat Path of the 326th Infantry Division”:

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Then, probably in 1990, they added another plate with the Order of the Patriotic War - it was not possible to determine exactly what was there:

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And guess what will be left of all this by 2025, the 80th anniversary of the Victory?

A bust of Purkaev with a hole in the back of his head covered in concrete!

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And the plaques were completely lost during the reconstruction in the 2000s - and now officials consider information plaques unworthy of restoration. And only after a long correspondence and a letter to the VVP did they admit that the Combat Path of the 326th SD should be restored (before that they had learned that this is not a monument to the Great Patriotic War and, moreover, only cultural monuments are protected, and these were not included anywhere). As a result, drum roll - they will restore them for 70-100 thousand from aluminum composite (from what they make plaques for organizations) - and the external appearance will be cut out with a laser... This is fucked up...

I say it needs to be restored to its original appearance as it was installed (you can make new monuments from any crap you want), but the city of Saransk has no money, and they are afraid to go to the Head of the Republic of Mordovia Zdunov - and my appeals to Zdunov are simply redirected down to the city. At the same time, in the spring, the city scraped together 1 million with shouts, when suddenly it was necessary to paint over the graffiti near the 2018 World Cup stadium and paint pictures dedicated to the 80th anniversary of Victory on top.

I don't even mention how many formal replies the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the Prosecutor's Office have written to me - they don't want to open a case on the disappearance of the slabs (it's not clear who or where they were handed over for theft - they were apparently handed over for scrap metal - they had been lying in the utility room under the Lenin monument for a long time), and as for the destruction of the WWII monument - this is apparently fantasy. It wasn't Banderovites from Ukraine who came running to destroy them - their own officials removed them and forgot about them, and a cunning janitor apparently turned them in.

And I have described only 10 parts of all the situations - everything is more multifaceted and fun there.

And all this obscenity is happening in Mordovia thanks to the connivance of the Head of the Republic of Mordovia A.A. Zdunov, who in September 2024 pompously said "We must preserve the monuments to the soldiers and events of the Great Patriotic War and pass them on to our descendants." However, his actions say otherwise...

https://mordig81.livejournal.com/230680.html

Google Translator

******

The tariffs hide the true prize for Trump and western oligarchies

Hugo Dionísio

August 2, 2025

When a society stops thinking about the future model it wants and lets itself drift with the tide, it will only be left with the scraps of others’ choices.

If there is one thing we can take away from this U.S. tariff attack, it is the confirmation that being an “ally” or “friend” of this nation is, in fact, extremely dangerous. Beyond the utterly self-destructive commitments its allies are bound to—which can range from declaring war on powers like the Russian Federation, to accepting and normalizing genocide, or imposing suicidal sanctions and tariffs against economic blocs like China, not to mention “sharing” the best business deals and most advanced technologies—even in customs relations, the dynamic is lethally perilous.

It’s as if the U.S. is telling its vassals: “Vassalage is no longer enough”; “All the commercial, military, economic, and political advantages that vassalage grants us are no longer sufficient”; “Now you must pay for the right to be our vassals”; “A tribute for the right to pay tribute.”

The price of the “right to vassalage,” the “right” to witness one’s own economic decline, the transformation of advanced economies into mere economic substitutes, is paid through asymmetric tariffs. “To sell here, you must pay high tariffs, and beyond the tariffs that cripple your economy, you must also transfer the economic results of that trade and all its indirect economic potential to us”—in other words, “It’s all ours.” To this predatory pact, this act of economic bombardment and sabotage, the European Commission referred to it as a “balanced agreement.” And everyone watched, some more stoically, others less calmly, but they accepted it like docile cattle in a compliant herd. Is this how it is?

Despite everything I’ve said, I still have doubts about whether we can interpret Ursula von der Leyen’s submissive attitude toward Trump as an effective capitulation of the European economy to the White House’s will. Not that this isn’t her intention, or that it isn’t precisely for such behavior that the ex-Minister of Defense under Merkel and Stanford graduate holds the position of President of the European Commission. However, it seems to me that this “comprehensive agreement,” given the track record of this European Commission and its lack of the necessary competencies to negotiate everything that was announced, serves other purposes.

There should be no doubt about the role this European Commission plays in the capture of the European economy by the U.S., reducing it to little more than a mercantile extension dependent on the strategies of the metropolis. There are countless instances where von der Leyen’s actions as a broker for U.S. interests and a promoter of American agendas in Europe—particularly those involving direct competition with the Russian Federation, aiming at its economic weakening and eventual destruction—have been evident. This is nothing we haven’t discussed before.

In response to the dominance of Russian energy in the European Union and the critical role that easy, quick, and cheap access to vast amounts of gas played in economies like Germany’s, von der Leyen offered the apologetic silence of Nord Stream’s destruction, the sanctioning of payment mechanisms to hinder the purchase of Russian energy, and the effusive promotion of U.S. LNG and oil—as she recently did again, falsely referring to “better and cheaper” U.S. energy.

To wound the Russian Federation’s economy, von der Leyen didn’t hesitate to annihilate the European economy—a fact that, given her husband Heiko von der Leyen’s family history and the von der Leyen family’s ties to the Third Reich and Galicia, should unsettle us greatly, no matter how much they try to mask these ancestral connections with supposed confusion between different branches of the family.

But if Russophobic hatred could justify submission to U.S. gas and oil, the same cannot explain submission in other areas, such as armaments, Big Pharma, semiconductors, and the entire digital economy. How does a German woman born in Belgium feel such American patriotism? The explanation may lie in Ursula’s family origins, particularly the “Albrecht” family, a prominent aristocratic family involved in business, culture, and medicine. Ursula von der Leyen’s great-grandmother (Mary Ladson-Robertson), married to her great-grandfather Carl Albrecht, belonged to a slave-owning family that exploited cotton plantations in South Carolina. Anyone who thinks such things fade into obscurity at the aristocratic level is sorely mistaken. While Heiko’s side has historical ties to Ukraine, particularly Galicia, seized by Stalin, Ursula’s family connections trace back to the slave-owning Southerners of the Confederate states.

It is no coincidence, then, that Ursula climbed the European hierarchy as she did. Everything suggests that, in the realm of power relations, the years spent at Stanford with Heiko, pursuing his doctorate, were not in vain. No matter how much they tried to obscure Heiko’s ties to Pfizer—as prominent media outlets did—the truth is that Orgenesis (a U.S. company), led by the husband of the European Commission President, collaborated with Pfizer and BioNTech on the development of mRNA vaccines, like the one for COVID-19. As we know, things aren’t easy for the von der Leyen Commission at this level either, having been defeated in court in the Pfizergate case.

But we could go much further in highlighting the role of a European Commission President—who isn’t even elected—as a promoter of U.S. interests. This speaks volumes about why she does what she does, how she does it, and why, in a supposed “democracy,” such a position is held by someone from the most retrograde, conservative, and fossilized aristocracy of our times. If she were elected, she wouldn’t have a fraction of the destructive capacity she wields now. This tells us a lot about the treacherous nature of the European Union and its subversive role as an enemy of the people, peace, and development.

It was Ursula’s Commission that created the Chips Act, ensuring that even with access to the best EUV semiconductor printers, the EU continues to buy semiconductors from the U.S. rather than fostering the production of advanced European-branded chips. It was Ursula who promoted higher tariffs on Chinese photovoltaic panels and electric cars, aiming to boost the U.S. industry in these sectors, fatally undermining the very energy transition her Commission proclaims. There are many examples of U.S. interests being promoted on European soil under the hand of Ursula von der Leyen’s Commission, as we’ve discussed here.

So, in the case of the “comprehensive” tariff and trade agreement with Donald Trump, the issue isn’t von der Leyen’s intention to appease the U.S. and help salvage its hegemonic ambitions, even at the cost of the quality and way of life of European peoples. That intention is clear. What isn’t recognized, however, is any attempt to use this agreement to buy time and escape from under Uncle Sam’s thumb, as Japan is trying to do. Perhaps some member states see this agreement as an opportunity to diversify markets and reduce their exposure to Trump—cases like Spain, Hungary, Slovakia, or even France. None of these doubts, for opposite reasons, are on the table.

What is on the table is the reason why von der Leyen negotiated an agreement for which she lacks the authority, given that her competencies are limited to the tariff or customs dimension. We might ask whether von der Leyen is unaware of this, or whether the member states and their governments are unaware. And if they are aware, why do they allow it to happen?

These are, indeed, the hardest questions to answer. Saying that such an “agreement” will cause endless damage to the European economy is as redundant as it is futile, given the concrete limitations in its application for many reasons. The big question is: Why did von der Leyen, knowing that various European countries would reject such negotiated decisions, insist on negotiating them anyway? Does anyone believe this is all a charade? That this is a massive farce? This could also be a perspective to consider, given the importance of appearances and narratives in Western politics today.

Let’s start at the beginning: Why is it in the interest of the European Commission and its supporters (like Frederick Merz) to enter this game with Donald Trump? Why is it in the interest of the EU’s oligarchic elites to enter a tainted, unbalanced negotiation, forfeiting all possible advantages? In the cases of Ursula and Merz, we can assume their umbilical, professional, corporate, and emotional ties to the U.S. and all things anti-Russian explain much of their intent to submit the EU to the heavy boot of the U.S., ensuring it doesn’t drift back toward Eastern Europe. But what about the rest of the European countries?

In my opinion, the answer was already given in this article when I spoke about the European Commission as a crisis factory and how it uses produced or assumed crises to crush the rights of the people, workers, and their families. For the European oligarchic elites, the “tariff crisis” is another moment to instill fear and use it to crush the interests of the EU’s working masses. Hours after the “agreement,” German Minister Katerine Reiche was already telling us to “look to the U.S.” and saying that “Germans need to work more.” In other words, while they talk about Artificial Intelligence, digitalization, and increasing productivity—at a time when the rich have never concentrated so much wealth in history—the oligarchic elites and their lackeys come to tell us that it’s not enough. More work hours, less leisure, attacks on pensions, and all without explaining why what worked before no longer works now, when we have technologies we never had before. Now, when we could live with almost no work, they tell us, “No, you must work much more.”

Meanwhile, Portuguese entrepreneurs have said that “15% is manageable and better than 30%”. By that logic, 30% would be better than 100%, and 100% better than 1000%. This is what can be called “potato logic,” but it reveals much about the ultimate nature of Trumpist blackmail and submission. The fundamental objective isn’t the tariffs but everything they drag along with them. When it comes to raising wages, reducing working hours, or balancing work with family and leisure time, all of that is impossible—”the economy can’t handle it.” But accommodating an extra 15% in export costs? That’s “manageable”!

Thus, Trump has provoked yet another perfect crisis. If neoliberalism and the institutions that promote it (Washington, Wall Street, the IMF, the EU, the World Bank) are experts at creating crises, they are also experts at exploiting them. Everyone remembers how the subprime crisis was used to impose austerity across the EU under the farce of a sovereign debt crisis, which was actually about saving Deutsche Bank and, indirectly, U.S. banks. The truth is that with every crisis, manufactured or exploited, we all end up poorer. This one will be no exception. Von der Leyen’s statement tells us everything we need to know: turbulence, instability, and the need to stabilize and provide predictability.

By threatening 30% customs tariffs, Trump triggered the ideal scenario for fear and its exploitation. Not only did he create the conditions for the final submission of European economic interests to those of the U.S., but he also justified their surrender by Europe’s submissive political and economic elites. The fear he provoked, the blackmail he initiated—demanding tribute for the right to be a vassal and economically captured by the U.S. and its imperialist oligarchy—not only earned him 15% in tariffs for his coffers but also allowed von der Leyen to pose as the savior when, earlier in 2025, the EU faced tariffs of just 1-2%.

Ultimately, all these months of discussion about tariffs aimed only to create the instability scenario that the European Commission President clung to to secure the real prize: what comes attached to the tariff agreement—purchases of arms and energy, foreign direct investment in the U.S. If Trump’s entry into the White House initially made such capital displacement unlikely, especially after all that had already occurred under Biden, the fear and submission to blackmail now justify unprecedented plunder.

But what will states like France, Italy, or Spain think of such an agreement, as their economies gradually pivot eastward, continue buying Russian energy, and urgently need the resources the EU now wants to transfer to the U.S.? Will they forgo all Multiannual Structural Funds?

On this matter, I assume the attitude is ambiguous, cautious, and cynical. To avoid conflicts in the so-called “European cohesion”—increasingly frayed—these nations will view this agreement for what it is: a marketing tool for the European Commission to promote the U.S. economy, negotiated without the authority to do so, in an authoritarian, autocratic, and reckless manner, aiming to simultaneously create a ceiling and a catalyst for made in USA energy and arms purchases and an “invitation” to invest in that country. It also seeks to produce a psychological framework of instability to intimidate European workers. Everyone gains something, except European workers and Americans.

Consequently, the attitude has been: “Let her negotiate, because we won’t apply anything she thinks she negotiated”; “On the other hand, the fear generated is useful for governance, as it can be used to crush workers’ and their families’ rights”; “So, let’s pretend everything is fine.” This is the same attitude seen with Ukraine, where the effusiveness of verbal support often contrasts with concrete actions, except for Viktor Orbán, who, as an exception to the hypocritical mess, insists on saying what he feels and sees happening.

The fact is, the conditions for implementing the agreement are an illusion. It’s the member states who decide whether or not to buy arms; it’s the member states who decide whether or not to buy U.S. energy; it’s the member states who decide whether or not to invest in the U.S. In other words, Ursula von der Leyen has no power in this regard, which is why she concocted this clumsy and abusive scheme to deceive half the world into believing she could negotiate what was manifestly beyond her reach. The reasons behind this lie in her attempt to use the agreed amounts as targets to be achieved, which can then be used in corporate media propaganda and institutional meetings to convince member state governments that it’s necessary to comply with what she agreed to—and to give them the tools to convince their respective populations of the same. It’s an attempt to create a false sense of obligation where none exists.

It may have been the awareness that this sense of obligation doesn’t exist that pacified states like Spain, more oriented toward the East, or even Germany, interested in the fear that crushes social rights but less interested in forced purchases. For most states, the tariff becomes trivial, as they can use the tariffs and the need to buy what they don’t want—at least not at the announced levels—to crush social rights, saving millions for states and employers. The tariffs will be largely offset.

We are not only facing yet another of the crises von der Leyen is so notoriously fertile in creating to transfer resources to the U.S., but also another farce designed to deceive the usual suspects. One thing is certain: in the end, we’ll all be left with more expensive energy (even if it’s just to fatten the profits of European energy companies), more weapons to face the already charted path of war, fewer labor rights, lower pensions, and even more deteriorated public services and infrastructure. Accompanying this decline, we’ll also face greater repression, as it will be necessary to quell, even by force, the social pressures that will arise.

If this tariff agreement isn’t, for the EU, everything I’ve described here, then the outcome is even worse. Because if it isn’t merely a tool—on one hand, for the pressure von der Leyen will exert on member states to achieve the desired economic results, and on the other, for most Western governments to exploit in crushing social and democratic rights—and if it isn’t just hypocrisy from those who already know they won’t comply but do nothing because, beyond the advantages they can extract from the situation, they don’t want to further damage the already fraudulent “European cohesion”… then only two answers remain.

Where does that leave us? Is the “agreement” a farce, or are we living in a farce, with the appearance of a suffrage-based system? Is the Trumpist strategy just a matter of optics, for electoral gains and corresponding economic advantages, or are we living in a banana republic?

I still remember the negotiations of the famous TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership) between the U.S. and the EU under Obama, which Trump interrupted. This agreement began to be negotiated in July 2013 but had been secretly in preparation for much longer, representing the piece with which Obama hoped to recover—also at the EU’s expense—the U.S. The preparation and study of proposals on the European side involved hundreds of large corporations (the biggest beneficiaries) and all social partners. I remember well how the technicians and chiefs of staff from the various Directorates-General of the Commission involved in the negotiations appeared in bilateral meetings between employers and European trade unions, high-level conferences, and other events to present the TTIP and convince the various actors that it was highly advantageous. At stake were trade exchanges worth €210 billion (€120 for the EU, €90 for the U.S.). The text was scrutinized, sectoral studies were produced, and many criticisms emerged.

The fact is, taking seriously what is serious, the TTIP is a very recent example of how these things happen and the material forces they involve. The assurance that the TTIP, like CETA with Canada, was meant to be implemented didn’t come just from the written text but from the depth of the discussion, the commitment of the actors, and the persuasion of the economic forces involved in its application. The text would reflect that. If it was meant to be fulfilled, then it had to be taken seriously.

What happened between Trump and Ursula von der Leyen is very different and, seen in this light, utterly disconcerting. An agreement of this scope, without discussion, study, planning, or guidance on its application in practice or how the real economy will respond to each of its provisions. Not a single written document, a plan for scrutiny, a study, or an economic forecast about possible impacts?

Does anyone believe negotiations at this level proceed without an in-depth study of impacts and consequences? Without rigorous analysis, even with our executioners, about options, advantages, disadvantages, negotiating margins, and other variables? Is the new normal what we’ve witnessed in Istanbul? Rushed agreements, for the press, not to solve problems but to justify certain choices in the court of public opinion? Are these agreements just tools for constructing narratives and appearances?

If this is the answer, then we must admit that we are indeed living in a massive farce. But admitting the opposite—that member states, where electoral suffrage ratifies governmental acts, watch impassively as this kind of negotiation is led by someone everyone knows (and whose actions prove) is more loyal to the U.S. than to Europeans—tells us we live in a plutocracy. A system where someone, on behalf of those the European Commission’s bureaucrats and technocrats serve, frightens, manipulates, decides, and applies policies without scrutiny, acting only to justify the continued plunder of the economic resources still held by the working class—whether their homes or the social rights enshrined in treaties, laws, and constitutions. The answer lies somewhere in between.

However, in the end, it will be the people, the force of their sovereignty as the source of democratic legitimacy, and their struggle that will determine to what extent this agreement is applied, to what extent companies can absorb the 15% tariffs by crushing wages or will be forced to seek new markets, whether the EU will continue on this path of demonizing indispensable partners like the Russian Federation and China (now Trump is also demonizing India and Canada), and whether the European Union will survive this wave of annihilation of the European way of life, exchanging it for some Argentine-style project.

The alternative to this struggle, this emancipation and liberation from the globalist claws that Trump also mobilizes, will be the transformation of the European Union into a kind of Latin America—but worse: with an aging population and no natural resources.

When a society stops thinking about the future model it wants and lets itself drift with the tide, it will only be left with the scraps of others’ choices. This is the life of countries subjected to the centrifugal force of resource extraction that is the European Union today.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... igarchies/

(Galicia, 'seized by Stalin'. Well, indeed, some of Stalin's "30%".

The Serbian intifada

Stephen Karganovic

August 2, 2025

In a contest between ruthless professional scoundrels and starry-eyed idealists, however painful to bear, the outcome is rarely in doubt.

Or would Serbian Children’s Crusade perhaps be a better description? Since the driving force behind the protests and the bulk of the protesters are university and high school students in their teens and early twenties, supported in many places by equally rebellious elementary school pupils, such a historically connotative description would not seem unwarranted.

For the last eight months, formerly submissive Serbia has been putting up stiff resistance to the perceived malfeasance of the ruling regime and its insatiably greedy minions. It all began on 1 November of last year when a concrete canopy at the newly “renovated” railway station in the northern city of Novi Sad collapsed, squashing to a horrible death sixteen innocent people who randomly happened to be in the wrong place and obviously at the wrong time. Within days, the authorities’ conspicuous reluctance to investigate the tragedy and refusal to identify or call to account any culprits aroused suspicions of colossal official malfeasance. The mishap quickly came to be perceived by the public as the direct result of official negligence and corrupt selection of favoured contractors. The latter are showered with sweetheart deals in return for profit sharing with crooked ruling party bureaucrats unconcerned with safety. The public’s conviction that the loss of life at the train station was not just a force majeure accident but a callously culpable act triggered nationwide protests in Serbia, spearheaded by university students who are demanding honest governance and accountability.

Contrary to the regime’s earnest expectations, after eight months spent on the streets, impacting practically every city, town and hamlet in Serbia, the energy animating the youthful protesters, subsequently reinforced by multitudes of dissatisfied citizens from all walks of life, is not dissipating.

The persistence of the rebellion poses an irresolvable quandary for both the beleaguered regime and its foreign backers. The authorities have played every card they had to calm the situation and have tried everything in their now evidently depleted bag of tricks, all to no avail. Their collective West sponsors, who installed them in 2012 assigning to the client Serbian regime certain important tasks that it would have to accomplish, are equally at a loss what to do next. The spontaneous nature of the unrest which has erupted all over Serbia and gives no signs of winding down is a disruptive phenomenon and not part of the scenario envisioned by any of the principal players.

Collective West establishment media for their part have clearly signalled that in the current political turmoil in Serbia the student movement are regarded as an unreliable, maverick force not under the direction of Western agencies. Their deep distrust was articulated recently by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung Balkan correspondent Michael Martens in a hit piece published on 3 July and provocatively titled “The Dark Side of the Serbian Student Movement”:

“The trend that for some time has been noticeable but is barely registered abroad,” Martens reports from Belgrade, “is that the student movement, which continues to propel the protests, has been taken over by great Serbian nationalism, recalling the early years of the rule of the Serbian warmonger Slobodan Milošević,” a clear imputation of guilt by association. Need more be said to show the collective West’s visceral repudiation of the protesting Serbian students?

The confusion that has bedevilled many foreign observers stems from the fact that under the supervision of collective West agencies and special services, a carefully calibrated, slow-motion regime change operation has indeed been unfolding in Serbia for some time. Its commencement antedates the railway station tragedy of last November. That operation is led by Western financed and controlled local media and “NGOs.” Its purpose has been to apply pressure on the regime from below to accelerate completion of still pending “unfinished business” tasks (Kosovo, NATO) whilst simultaneously preparing the stage for cosmetic changes at the top to extend the system’s life expectancy. Such procedures are standard when sprucing up and revitalising a client regime, as opposed to toppling one that is hostile. Some personnel sacrifices must be made, but not with the intention of bringing the system down. The spontaneity of student-led protests throws a wrench into that scenario. The students have moreover stated explicitly that their ultimate objective is not regime but systemic change, a dangerous idea from the standpoint of all concerned. The fact that they are politically unsophisticated and lack a professionally elaborated roadmap to reach that goal is quite another matter. But even stating such an impetuous demand adds another, politically unpredictable and unacceptable layer, to the stage-managed regime change process that had been set in motion before the railway station tragedy in November of last year. The insertion of that new layer disrupts the scenario since both the collective West and its vassal regime in Serbia are perfectly content with the existing neo-colonial system. They wish to preserve it because their respective interests are amply served by it.

It appears however that the top echelon of the regime may not be readily cooperative in agreeing to its voluntary departure, even under relatively favourable “Montenegro” conditions, if that could be arranged. Or is it perhaps simply driving a hard bargain? Its response is two-pronged. In the streets of Serbia, it has unleashed on peaceful protesters a parapolice force of thugs, many of them with criminal records, who are considered more loyal to the ruling party than either the regular police or the military. They have licence to arrest, beat, maim, and crush bones, all of the above literally. Dramatic scenes of parapolice arrests of high school student Petar Grujičić and other dissidents, to the protests of outraged citizens, may be viewed HERE. But there have also been inspiring cases where decisive action by crowds of citizens, newly liberated from fear, have stopped regime thugs in their tracks as the latter attempted to snatch students away (see HERE).

To the embarrassment of Belgraders, with official approval a tent city encampment of those unsavoury elements has stood for months in the once pretty park between the Presidential office and the Parliament building, blocking pedestrian and vehicular traffic and posing an acute sanitary hazard in the heart of the Serbian capital. For an analogy to this method of repressing dissent one must enter a time machine and travel some geographic distance from Serbia back to the 1960s dictatorship of Haiti’s witchdoctor President Francois Duvalier and his Tontons Macoutes, the rogue special forces he had organised to intimidate and control the native population.

Regime loyalists’ tent encampment in the centre of Belgrade facing Parliament building

Parallel to these and other similar measures undertaken to contain domestic unrest, the regime is also engaging in a political offensive to delay its demise by pleasing its collective West masters. Of great significance in that regard are recent statements made by Nemanja Starović, Serbia’s European integration minister, that his government are prepared to impose sanctions on Russia if that would ensure admission to the European Union (gloatingly reported HERE by Ukrainian media) and would also be willing to make “extensive and painful” concessions on the issue of Kosovo in order to satisfy EU criteria for membership, alluding of course to formal recognition of the NATO occupied secessionist entity.

“Now the moment of truth has arrived. The awl of hypocrisy of official Belgrade has finally crawled out of the bag in which it was hidden,” Russian political analyst Igor Pshenichnikov has commented on these statements, and he is by no means alone in espousing such a view (also see HERE).

Though the details are a matter of speculation, it is reasonable to assume that as we are writing this the upper echelon of the Serbian regime (верхушка, as they would say in Russian) are engaged in intense negotiations to secure for themselves a golden parachute departure that would include assurances of personal safety, immunity from criminal prosecution, and continued access to the booty plundered over the last thirteen years in power. The West has no moral qualms about that, of course, as long as the outgoing puppets are replaced by the new set of bought and paid Serbian quislings, who are waiting in the wings. Once the terms are agreed upon and the deal is clinched, a delegation of ambassadors will visit Batista in the building adjacent to the tent city of his Tonton Macoutes to remind him to start packing his bags. And just like in Havana on New Year’s Eve in 1959, laden with ill-gotten goods and, like his pal Milo Djukanović in Montenegro, assured of impunity he will fly away into the sunset.

That is not a very cheerful prognosis, especially since it bypasses the child Crusaders and exudes little confidence in the ultimate success of their Intifada. But who ever said that life was fair? In a contest between ruthless professional scoundrels and starry-eyed idealists, however painful to bear, the outcome is rarely in doubt.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... -intifada/

Ursula von der Trump

Lorenzo Maria Pacini

August 3, 2025

Small elites occupy key positions in relations with the US and maintain power and wealth, while the rest of society becomes impoverished.

There is a dominated and a dominator

Sometimes the scales lose their balance, and so someone or something is needed to restore that balance.

Something similar happened during the visit of Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, and Donald Trump.

It must be acknowledged that, despite his extreme contradictions in his statements and actions, he is very consistent in one thing. Trump strongly pushes his country’s economic interests. As Dmitry Medvedev noted:

“The current ‘agreement’ with the European Union:

1) is completely humiliating for Europeans, as it is only beneficial to the US – it eliminates European market protection, eliminating tariffs on American products;

2) creates huge additional costs for industry and agriculture in many EU countries for the payment of expensive American energy fuels;

3) redirects a powerful flow of investment from Europe to the US.”

We have witnessed yet another ridiculous spectacle. Nothing more than what has already happened in the past, nothing less than what could be expected.

Ursula said she agreed with all of Trump’s proposals: 15% tariffs, purchasing $750 billion worth of oil and LNG, and investing $600 billion in the US economy.

In other words, it will be the citizens of the European Union who will lose out once again: we repeat, the citizens of the European Union will have to give many billions of dollars to the United States because of tariffs; they will have to give many billions of dollars to the United States for the purchase of gas; they will have to give many billions of dollars to the United States for the purchase of weapons; they will have to give many billions of dollars to the United States in the form of investments on American territory. And they will have to bear most of the costs of the war in Ukraine wanted by the United States.

In short, a disaster. The equivalent of losing a war. Again.

Ursula is complicit in the destruction of Europe, with the aggravating circumstance of holding the highest institutional office. In ancient usage, the use of “von” in surnames is a noble preposition that literally means ‘of’ or “from,” and indicates geographical origin or dependence on a lord. Nothing could be more apt: Ursula belongs more to the American lord than to Europe.

The European people have not been consulted on this devastating prospect, while it is becoming increasingly clear that European politicians, raised, educated, and elected, do not respond in the slightest to the needs of the population.

The political significance of events such as this must be taken seriously, because they are clear signs of a shift in the order of things, in favor of another, and they have a short-, medium-, and long-term impact, in this case on the entire European continent and the collective West. Until a few days ago, the EU was pushing for war and funding and adopting a partially anti-American rhetoric in order to fulfill its obedience to NATO; today, it finds itself having to kiss the shoes of the occupant of Washington.

The US president called the agreement “the greatest ever.” Von der Leyen said the agreement would bring stability and predictability.

Trump ate Ursula for breakfast, but it is Europe that will suffer from indigestion.

A competition of servility

It may seem sad or amusing, but the text of the new “agreement” between the European Union and the United States has not yet been published.

The heads of the EU states still do not know what Ms. Ursula has decided for them on behalf of the EU.

After Ursula von der Leyen’s blatant submission to President Trump, even among some staunch supporters of uncritical Europeanism, a glimmer of doubt seems to have crept in, but this is only a momentary hesitation, because as good servants they will be very quick to return to extolling the European project, the war against Russia, and devotion to NATO.

This section of the population, which perhaps represents a quarter of the population, acts as a protective shield for the real power, the power that is wearing us down. They are not part of the privileged elite, nor do they benefit directly from the distribution of favors among the oligarchies. However, fed by the ideological crumbs that fall from the tables of the ruling classes, they defend them fervently, labeling any critical voice with the usual epithets: sovereignist, populist, fascist, communist, red-brown, conspiracy theorist, and so on.

There is a kind of competition in servility on the part of Europeans that is truly impressive.

To speak of “surrender” on the part of von der Leyen is partly correct, but also misleading. There has been no defeat, since the interests at stake were exactly those that were intended to be safeguarded. To truly call it a surrender, one would have to assume that they are there to protect the interests of Europe. But that is pure illusion.

People like her belong to a narrow elite, closely linked to large supranational economic groups (which, incidentally, also control the media), whose goals do not coincide in any way with those of the European people. Trust the experts, open your wallets, and don’t ask too many questions.

What is happening in Europe is not a retreat, but a well-known mechanism: small elites occupy key positions in relations with the US and maintain power and wealth, while the rest of society becomes impoverished. This process is the progressive destruction of the middle class and the formation of a small circle of super-rich people who live above the law. When inequality reaches extreme levels, everyone can be put under pressure, and economic power easily converts into political, judicial, and cultural power.

On the other hand, the EU has wasted the last few years on significant social battles, such as the schwa, bottle caps that don’t come off, and single chargers for smartphones, while legally sanctioning the possibility of a person traveling with an ashtray or identifying themselves as a unicorn. Every choice has its consequences.

It is certain that this further blow to Europe will be truly dramatic. The echoes of suffering can already be heard on the horizon.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... der-trump/

*******

Pfizergate Scandal Deepens as EU Evidence Disappears, Undermining Ursula von der Leyen’s Credibility

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Eu faces crisis as Pfizer text messages in vaccine deal vanish. Photo: EFE.

August 1, 2025 Hour: 8:18 pm

Key evidence in the ‘Pfizergate’ case against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has reportedly vanished, exposing a cover-up that questions EU transparency and sovereignty amid growing political crisis.

The European Union faces a deepening political and ethical crisis as crucial evidence in the ongoing ‘Pfizergate’ case against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has reportedly disappeared.

Documents revealing text messages exchanged between von der Leyen and Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla,related to the EU’s largest-ever vaccine procurement deal,have been declared lost or destroyed by EU officials, according to a detailed report provided to The New York Times. This loss complicates the transparency demands of the case and raises profound concerns about accountability within the highest echelons of EU power.

The $40 billion agreement reached in early 2021 between the EU and Pfizer symbolized a historic public health initiative; yet, the shadow cast by ‘Pfizergate’ reveals how corporate influence has permeated supposedly sovereign institutions.

Critics from left-wing political spheres, including international anti-corruption advocates and independent media, denounce the concealment of communications by von der Leyen’s office as emblematic of broader structural corruption and collusion.

The refusal to publicly disclose the exchanged messages, coupled with accusations of document destruction and “usurpation of functions,” highlight the EU leadership’s failure to uphold democratic transparency, instead favoring corporate interests and undermining the bloc’s independence from pharmaceutical and financial powers.

The legal proceedings sparked by Belgian lobbyist Frédéric Baldan and the New York Times’ appeals showcase the intense pressure on von der Leyen’s administration, culminating in the rare motion of censure against her,the first in over a decade.

Pfizergate Scandal: Missed Appeal Deadline Means Judgment Stands
Whether we see the secret Pfizer texts or not, the damage to public trust has been done. World Council for Health
Jul 31, 2025https://t.co/UyxraXKWkY

— Children’s Health Defense – Ireland Chapter (@CHDIreland) August 1, 2025
However, the case’s dismissal on immunity grounds and the EU’s justification citing lost data due to device replacements portray an institutional effort to shield powerful figures from accountability.

These developments reflect a systemic erosion of sovereignty within the EU framework, where judicial independence is subordinated to political expediency and corporate interests, thus exacerbating public disillusionment with neoliberal institutions and their democratic deficits.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/pfizerga ... edibility/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 07, 2025 1:29 pm

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US backed ethnic cleansing of Serbs, top diplomat secretly told Croat leader
Kit Klarenberg·August 4, 2025

The ethnic cleansing of hundreds of thousands of Serbs by a US-backed Croatian leader was premeditated, according to newly-uncovered files revealing the operation’s planning. After the bloodshed subsided, Richard Holbrooke, a top US diplomat, assured him: “We said publicly… that we were concerned, but privately, you knew what we wanted.”

August 4, 2025 marks the 30th anniversary of Operation Storm. Little known outside the former Yugoslavia, the military campaign unleashed a genocidal cataclysm that violently expelled Croatia’s entire Serb population. Dubbed “the most efficient ethnic cleansing we’ve seen in the Balkans” by Swedish politician Carl Bildt, Croat forces rampaged UN-protected areas of the self-declared Serb Republic of Krajina, looting, burning, raping and murdering their way across the province. Up to 350,000 locals fled, many on foot, never to return. Meanwhile, thousands were summarily executed.

As these hideous scenes unfolded, UN peacekeepers charged with protecting Krajina watched without intervening. Meanwhile, US officials strenuously denied the horrifying massacres and mass displacement amounted to ethnic cleansing, let alone war crimes. NATO member state governments were far more interested in the “sophistication” of Zagreb’s military tactics. One British colonel heading a UN observer mission in the area gushed, “whoever wrote that plan of attack could have gone to any NATO staff college in North America or Western Europe and scored an A-plus.”

Widely overlooked documents reviewed by The Grayzone help explain why Croatian forces were graded so highly: Operation Storm was for all intents and purposes a NATO attack, carried out by soldiers armed and trained by the US and directly coordinated with other Western powers. Despite publicly endorsing a negotiated peace, Washington privately encouraged Zagreb to employ maximum belligerence, even as their ultranationalist Croat proxies plotted to strike with such ferocity that the country’s entire Serb population would “to all practical purposes disappear.”

In the midst of talks on a political settlement in Geneva, high-ranking Croat officials privately discussed methods to justify their coming blitzkrieg, including false flag attacks. Assured of their Western patrons’ continued backing amid the bloodshed, Croat leaders boasted that they merely needed to inform their NATO backers in advance of their plans. Once the dust settled and Croatia’s Serb population was entirely cleansed, Croat officials met in secret with US officials to celebrate their “triumph.”

Richard Holbrooke, a veteran US diplomat then serving as Assistant Secretary of State in the Bill Clinton administration, told the president of Croatia that while the US “said publicly… that we were concerned” about the situation, “privately, you knew what we wanted.” As one of Holbrooke’s aides wrote in a note the diplomat later reproduced, Croatian forces had been “hired” as Washington’s “junkyard dogs” to destroy Yugoslavia.

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After expelling the newly-independent country’s Serb population, the newly-formed Croat regime could be counted on to exert US dominance not only over the Balkans, but Europe more widely. The ethnic tensions fomented by NATO in the region still simmer, and have been exploited to justify perpetual occupation.

The former Yugoslavia remains horribly scarred by Operation Storm. From NATO’s perspective, however, the military campaign provided a blueprint for subsequent proxy conflicts and military strikes. Washington has recreated the strategy of weaponizing extremist foreign fighters as shock troops in an array of theaters, from Syria to Ukraine.

Western-backed fascists seek ethnically pure Croatia
Throughout the 1980s, Western powers – in particular Britain, Germany, and the US – covertly sponsored the growth of nationalism in Yugoslavia, hoping to encourage the multiethnic federation’s breakup. Their chosen proxy in Croatia, Franjo Tudjman, was a fanatical ethnonationalist, outspoken Holocaust denier, Catholic fundamentalist, and alumni of secessionist extremist groups. These factions embarked on a terrorist rampage throughout the early 1970’s, hijacking and blowing up airliners, attacking Yugoslav diplomatic sites abroad, and in 1971 assassinating Vladimir Rolovic, Belgrade’s ambassador to Sweden.

Following an upsurge of Croatian separatist violence in Yugoslavia, Tudjman was jailed in March 1972 along with his close confederate Stepjan Mesic due to their ultranationalist views. When Zagreb held its first multi-party elections since World War II 18 years later, the pair’s Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) won a plurality of votes, and a majority of parliamentary seats. In the process, Tudjman became President, and Mesic Prime Minister. As Croatian nationalism soared, Serbs were purged en masse from state agencies.

On the campaign trail, Tudjman eagerly venerated the “Independent State of Croatia,” a Nazi-created puppet entity savagely run by local collaborators from April 1941 to May 1945, describing the fascistic construct as “an expression of the historical aspirations of the Croatian people.” Elsewhere, he openly remarked, “thank God, my wife is neither a Serb nor a Jew.”

These utterances reflected a monstrous strategy Tudjman laid out in February 1990 at a public meeting in Cleveland, Ohio, for when HDZ took power:

“[Our] basic goal… is to separate Croatia from Yugoslavia,” Tudjman explained. “If we come to power, then in the first 48 hours, while there is still euphoria, it is indispensable that we settle scores with all those who are against Croatia.”

“Lists of such persons have already been drawn up,” he continued. “Serbs in Croatia should be declared citizens of Croatia and called Orthodox Croats. The name ‘Orthodox Serb’ will be banned. The Serbian Orthodox Church will be abolished… it will be declared Croatian for those who do not move to Serbia.”

Many of Tudjman’s adherents adulated the Ustase, hardcore fascists who ruled the “Independent State of Croatia” during World War II. Their crimes ranged from executing women and the elderly by the hundred through methods including beheading, drowning. Meanwhile, the Ustase managed a network of death camps across Axis-occupied Yugoslavia, with dedicated units for children. Their ruthless barbarity towards Jews, Roma, and Serbs repulsed even their Nazi patrons. Hundreds of thousands were murdered by the Ustase, whose officer corps included the brother and father of Tudjman’s Defense Minister, Gojko Šušak.

These horrific events remained visceral for residents of the historic Serbian territory of Krajina, which was administratively assigned to the Yugoslav socialist republic of Croatia following World War II. HDZ received funding from Ustase exiles in Western countries, and immediately upon taking office renamed Zagreb’s iconic Square of the Victims of Fascism as Croatian Nobles Square, while Croat paramilitary units proudly touted Ustase chants and symbols. As the Tudjman-led government openly fanned the flames of ethnic hatred, Serbs in the fledgling country began preparing for civil war.

After interethnic fighting broke out in Croatia in March 1991, Yugoslav People’s Army units were deployed to guard Krajina, where residents declared the establishment of an autonomous Serb Republic until an international peacekeeping deal could be brokered. Yugoslavia’s then-President Borislav Jovic testified before his death the objective was “to protect the Serb territories, until a political solution [could be] found.”

Croats covertly scheme to make Serbs ‘disappear’
In August 1995, that “political solution” appeared on the brink of fruition. A dedicated UN Contact Group was conducting peace negotiations in Geneva between Krajina authorities and Zagreb. A proposal intended to bring the Croatian conflict to an end, known as Zagreb 4 or Z-4, was drafted by the EU, Russia, and the US. Washington’s ambassador to Zagreb, Peter Galbraith, played a key role in negotiating terms with Krajina-Serb leaders.

Accepted on August 3rd 1995, Z-4 envisioned Serb-majority areas in Croatia remaining part of the country, albeit with a degree of autonomy. That same day, Galbraith confirmed on local TV that “reintegration of the Serb-held areas in Croatia” had been agreed upon. Meanwhile, US mediators in Geneva declared that due to major Serb concessions, there was “no reason for Croatia to go to war.” At long last, the stage was finally set for a negotiated peace.

Upbeat Krajina-Serb officials announced they’d received assurances from Washington that it would intervene to prevent Croatian military action against Krajina if they complied with Z-4’s terms. Yet, before the day was over, Croatian officials rejected Z-4, walking out of negotiations. Operation Storm began the next morning.

Now, documents reviewed by The Grayzone reveal that Tudjman never had any intention of securing peace at the conference.

Instead, the files shows that Croatia’s participation in Geneva was a ruse intended to create the illusion Zagreb was seeking a diplomatic settlement, while it secretly crafted plans for “completely [vanquishing] the enemy.” The scheme was revealed in the minutes from a July 31, 1995 meeting between Tudjman and his top military brass at the presidential palace on the Brionian Islands. During the conversation, Tudjman informed those assembled: “We have to inflict such blows that the Serbs will to all practical purposes disappear.”

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“I am going to Geneva to hide this and not to talk… I want to hide what we are preparing for the day after. And we can rebut any argument in the world about how we didn’t want to talk.”

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Such statements, which constitute clear and unambiguous evidence of genocidal intent, were not limited to the President. The inevitability of ethnic cleansing was admitted by Ante Gotovina, a senior general who returned to Yugoslavia to lead operation Storm after fleeing in the early 1970s. a decisive and sustained attack on Krajina would mean that afterwards, “there won’t be so many civilians, just those who have to stay, who have no possibility of leaving,” said Gotovina. The former French foreign legion commander, who was once employed as security for France’s far-right Jean-Marie Le Pen and worked as a strikebreaker cracking down on CGT union workers, would later be acquitted for his leading role in Operation Storm by a Western-dominated international tribunal.

For those Serbs who were now trapped in a hostile ethnic enclave, Tudjman suggested a mass propaganda campaign targeting them with leaflets declaring “the victory of the Croatian Army supported by the international community,” and calling on Serbs not to flee – in an apparent attempt to lend an inclusive veneer to their proposal to forcibly displace the civilian population. “This means giving them a way out, while pretending [emphasis added] to guarantee civil rights… Use radio and television, but leaflets as well.”

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The generals discussed other propaganda efforts to justify the impending attack, including false flags. Given that “every military operation must have its political justification,” Tudjman said the Serbs “should provide us with a pretext and provoke us” before the strike began. One official proposed, “we accuse them of having launched a sabotage attack against us… that’s why we were forced to intervene.” Another general suggested carrying out “an explosion as if they had struck with their airforce.”

Bill Clinton provided ‘all clearance’ for mass murder
In late 1990, Yugoslav intelligence secretly filmed Croatia’s Defense Minister Martin Spegelj covertly plotting to purge the republic’s Serb population. In one tape, he told a fellow official that anyone opposed to Zagreb’s independence should be murdered “on the spot, in the street, in the compound, in barracks, anywhere” via “[a] pistol…into the stomach.” He forecast “a civil war in which there is no mercy towards anyone, women or children,” and Serb “family homes” were dealt with using “quite simply grenades.”

Spegelj went on to openly advocate “slaughter” to “resolve” the issue of Knin, Krajina’s capital, making the city “disappear.” He boasted, “we have international recognition for that.” The US had already “offered us all possible assistance,” including “thousands of combat vehicles” and “complete arming” of 100,000 Croat soldiers “free of charge.” The desired end result? “Serbs in Croatia will never be there again.” Spegelj concluded, “we are going to create a state at all costs, if necessary, at the cost of shedding blood.”

Western support for the horrors planned and perpetrated during Operation Storm was also writ large during the meeting on July 31, 1995. There, Tudjman told his generals, “we have a friend, Germany, which consistently supports us.” The Croats just had to “inform them ahead of time” of their objectives. “In NATO as well there is also understanding of our views,” he explained, adding, “we enjoy the sympathy of the US.” In 2006, German outlet Der Spiegel confirmed that the massacres bore Washington’s fingerprints, citing Croatian military sources who claimed they’d enjoyed “direct though secret support from both the Pentagon and the Central Intelligence Agency in planning and carrying out the ‘Storm’ offensive.”

“In preparing for the offensive, Croatian soldiers were trained at Fort Irwin in California and the Pentagon aided in planning the operation,” the outlet reported. US support went far beyond what it publicly acknowledged, which was that Croatian forces merely underwent training exercises carried out by US private military contractor MPRI, Spiegel revealed. “Immediately prior to the offensive, then-Deputy CIA Director George Tenet met with Gotovina and Tudjman’s son – then in charge of Croatian intelligence – for last minute consultations. During the operation, US aircraft destroyed Serbian communication and anti-aircraft centers and the Pentagon passed on information gathered by satellite to [Croatian forces].”

At an August 7 1995 cabinet meeting, Tudjman bragged of how Washington “must have been pleased” with how Croatia’s military executed Operation Storm. His premier, Ivo Sanader, then discussed coordinating the effort with US officials, who “worked in the name of” Vice President Al Gore. He assured those gathered that “all clearance… was approved straight” by US President Bill Clinton, and that Croatia could therefore “expect continuous support” from Washington as the massacres unfolded.

US diplomat cheers a genocidal ‘triumph’
On August 18, a high-level summit with senior US diplomat Richard Holbrooke was convened in Zagreb’s Presidential palace. A fixture of the intervention-obsessed Beltway foreign policy establishment, Holbrooke had his eyes on plum appointments under Bill Clinton and beyond – perhaps under a future Hillary Clinton administration. The successful dismantling of Yugoslavia would provide fuel for his ambitions.

In a transcript reviewed by The Grayzone, Holbrooke fawningly described Tudjman as the “father of modern Croatia” and its “liberator” and “creator.” Noting with approval that the strongman had “regained 98 percent of your territory” – without mentioning that it had been purged of Serbs – the American diplomat described himself as “a friend” of the newly-independent state, whose violent conduct he framed as legitimate.

“You had justification for your military action in Eastern Slavonia,” Holbrooke informed Tudjman, “and I defended it, always, in Washington.” When some in the US suggested reining in Zagreb, Holbrooke argued Croats should “continue” anyway, he declared.

Regarding Operation Storm, Holbrooke admitted, “we said publicly, as you know, that we were concerned, but privately, you knew what we wanted.” He dubbed the horrifying blitzkrieg a “triumph” from “a political and military point of view,” which left refugees as “the only problem” from Zagreb’s perspective. Effectively stage-managing the Croatian president, Holbrooke advised Tudjman to “give a speech stating that the war has finished and that [Serbs] should return.” While forecasting “the majority would not return,” Holbrooke apparently felt it important to at least leave the offer open publicly.

Croatian authorities dealt with this “problem” by passing discriminatory laws making it virtually impossible for displaced Serbs to return, while seizing their property. Despite possessing overwhelming evidence of grave war crimes, the NATO-funded International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia did not indict anyone responsible for Operation Storm until 2008. Many culpable officials, including Tudjman, died in the intervening time. Three surviving military commanders were eventually prosecuted in 2011. One was acquitted and two convicted, although this was overturned on appeal in 2012.

That ruling reached several other extraordinary conclusions. While accepting “discriminatory and restrictive measures” were employed by Zagreb to prevent displaced Serbs from returning, this did not mean their departure was forced. Although civilians had been murdered in large numbers, including the elderly and infirm who couldn’t flee, Operation Storm somehow didn’t deliberately target non-combatants. And despite the explicitly stated desire of Spegelj and Tudjman to make Serbs “disappear,” neither government nor military officials were found to have specifically intended to expel Croatia’s entire Serb minority.

The anniversary of Operation Storm is now celebrated as ‘Victory Day’ in Croatia. The attack’s success is venerated in Western military circles today, and the effort may have influenced similar operations in other theaters of proxy conflict. In September 2022, the Kyiv Post cheered Ukraine’s unexpectedly successful counteroffensive in Kharkov as “Operation Storm 2.0,” suggesting it was a harbinger of Russia’s impending “capitulation.”

Almost three years later, Kiev’s forces are collapsing throughout the Donbass. Unlike in Croatia, the latest crop of ultranationalist US proxies appear unlikely to prevail.

https://thegrayzone.com/2025/08/04/us-e ... rbs-croat/

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The Lublin Triangle Continues To Lurch Along
Andrew Korybko
Aug 04, 2025

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It’ll never fulfill its initial aim of creating a Neo-Commonwealth though.

The Foreign Ministers of Poland, Lithuania, and Ukraine met in the eastern Polish city of Lublin in late July to mark the fifth anniversary of their “Lublin Triangle”. Its name refers to the 1569 Union of Lublin that created the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, which built upon the 1385 Union of Krewo. Most of what’s now known as Ukraine was part of that Polish-led-civilization. The Lublin Triangle is a security-centric platform whose founding preceded the 2020 Belarusian elections by less than two weeks.

This context suggests that it was meant to facilitate their joint efforts to overthrow Lukashenko through the preplanned Color Revolution that followed, after which the new Belarusian government would be admitted to the Lublin Triangle, thus turning it into the core of a “Neo-Commonwealth”. That regime change operation failed, however, and this in turn foiled the preceding geopolitical plan. The Lublin Triangle was then forgotten about by most observers after the special operation began 18 months later.

There are several reasons why it’s back in the news apart from this half-decade-long anniversary. The first concerns their plans to strengthen defense industry cooperation right after Trump’s new three-pronged approach to the Ukrainian Conflict shifted the burden for arming Ukraine onto the Europeans (both directly and via the transfer of purchased US arms); the second is the “Historians’ Forum” that they unveiled; and the third is their plans for a presidential meeting in Kiev.

In the order that they were mentioned, Russia’s recent bombing of a Polish factory in Ukraine drew attention to Polish-Ukrainian defense cooperation. Warsaw claimed that it was a wooden flooring plant, but Moscow claims that it only strikes defense-related targets, so it’s possible that this was also one operating under civilian cover. As Polish-Ukrainian defense cooperation and the special operation continue, more such incidents are expected, which could be exploited to justify Western escalation.

As for the Historians’ Forum, this is meant to counteract divisive narratives allegedly pushed by Russia, but some Polish and Ukrainian interpretations of historical memory are irreconcilable. These include Ukrainians’ treatment during the Commonwealth era, Khmelnitsky’s Uprising, the “Koliszczyzna”, Ukrainians’ treatment in the Second Polish Republic, the Volhynia Genocide, and “Operation Vistula”. Poland’s incoming president, who led the Institute of Historical Memory, is unlikely to make concessions.

The aforesaid point segues into the planned presidential meeting in Kiev. Karol Nawrocki made Ukraine’s recognition of the Volhynia Genocide, along with it properly exhuming and then burying the over 100,000 victims (mostly women and children), a key part of his campaign. He also pledged not to support its membership in NATO or send troops there. Nawrocki doesn’t plan to cut off Polish support for Ukraine, but these policies might make it politically difficult for him to visit Kiev anytime soon.

As can be seen, the Lublin Triangle still exists, but it’ll never fulfill its initial aim of creating a Neo-Commonwealth. The failure to overthrow Lukashenko coupled with all that happened since the special operation began led to the narrowing of its scope into a socio-cultural and security club. Ukraine is also much more ultra-nationalist than before and thus loath to become Poland’s junior partner. The Lublin Triangle will therefore continue to lurch along, but the opportunity to play an important role has passed.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-lubl ... ntinues-to

It’s Surreal That “Slava Ukraini” Was Just Shouted In The Sejm
Andrew Korybko
Aug 05, 2025

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Ukrainian fascists screamed this slogan as they genocided over 100,000 Poles during World War II, so no self-respecting Pole should ever use it, let alone a parliamentarian in the Sejm.

Polish MP Roman Fritz from the conservative-nationalist Confederation party recently called out a colleague in the Sejm who ended her speech by shouting “Slava Ukraini”. In his words, “Here we had an example of shameful behavior - Bandera and Nazi. Such things have not yet happened in the Polish Sejm. It's as if someone here would shout ‘Sieg Heil!’ That's a disgrace.” The Ukrainian Ambassador predictably defended that slogan but then also compared it to Poland’s “Niech żyje Polska” (“long live Poland”).

While they might appear similar, they were used in totally different contexts, with “Niech żyje Polska” being a rallying cry for Polish independence after the Partitions and for true sovereignty during the 1980s while “Slava Ukraini” was screamed by Ukrainian fascists as they genocided Poles during World War II. It’s for that reason why shouting “Slava Ukraini” in the Sejm is so surreal while Ambassador Vasily Bodnar’s comparison of that slogan to Poland’s famous “Niech żyje Polska” is so dishonest.

President-Elect Karol Nawrocki, who used to lead Poland’s Institute of National Remembrance that’s done a lot to raise global awareness of the Volhynia Genocide that was referred to above, will be inaugurated on Wednesday morning. This latest scandal, which follows early June’s one where the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry downplayed the aforesaid series of war crimes by their co-ethnics, might therefore harden his already tough stance towards this issue in particular and Ukraine in general.

Polish foreign policy is formulated through collaboration between the President, Prime Minister, and Foreign Minister, so Nawrocki can’t unilaterally escalate this scandal in ways that meaningfully effect ties with Ukraine, but he can still nonetheless set an example by making it clear how unacceptable this is. Reputable surveys have shown that Poles are getting fed up with Ukraine, both its refugees and the proxy war, so coming out strongly against this could rally his base ahead of fall 2027’s Sejm elections.

Right around the Sejm’s “Slava Ukraini” scandal, Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski hosted his Ukrainian counterpart Andrey Sibiga at his residence, during which time they reaffirmed the strength of their bilateral ties. This came shortly after they met in the southeastern Polish city of Lublin along with their Lithuanian counterpart to mark the fifth anniversary of the “Lublin Triangle”. Sikorski’s closeness with Sibiga will therefore complicate any effort by Nawrocki to toughen Polish policy towards Ukraine.

Nawrocki would still do well to comment on this scandal in some capacity though for political reasons as explained. This would also justify whatever potentially forthcoming deadlock there might be over the future of Polish-Ukrainian ties under his leadership instead of ceding the narrative to Sikorski and Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who are expected to accuse him of playing politics if he maintains his promised stance towards Ukraine. The reality though is that Nawrocki has principled reasons for this approach.

Opposing the dispatch of Polish troops to Ukraine and its membership in NATO reduce the risk of World War III. As for his demands that Ukraine exhume and properly bury the Volhynia Genocide’s victims, he’s only asking it to do for them what it already did for over 100,000 Wehrmacht soldiers. Likewise, condemning the use of “Slava Ukraini” in the Sejm and Bodnar’s false comparison of it to “Niech żyje Polska” are similarly principled, which he’d do well to emphasize for patriotic and political reasons.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/its-surr ... kraini-was
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 14, 2025 2:28 pm

Europe’s sad trajectory: From peace and welfare to war and scarcity project?

José Ricardo Martins

August 12, 2025

A union that once promised prosperity and peace is becoming a fortress of fear and social uncertainty.

Once a beacon of peace and prosperity, the European Union is now marching into a new era of militarization and scarcity. Behind the rhetoric of security lies a project increasingly shaped by U.S. pressure, defense spending, and a quiet betrayal of its citizens.

For seven decades, the European project was presented as a beacon of peace, prosperity, and social welfare. Conceived in the ashes of the Second World War, the European Union (EU) emerged as a mechanism to bind former enemies through trade, shared institutions, and the promise that economic interdependence would prevent future wars. For much of its history, this narrative held true: the EU embodied the idea that Europe could reinvent itself as a moral community, anchored in social rights and collective security.

Today, that image is eroded. Europe is rearming at a scale unseen since the Cold War. The EU’s once-proud welfare model is being quietly sacrificed on the altar of militarization, as member states contemplate devoting up to 5% of GDP to defense spending. This transformation is not being driven by a sovereign European strategic vision, but rather by external pressure, primarily from the United States, whose military-industrial complex stands to benefit most.

From peace project to war economy

The metamorphosis of the EU into what critics call a “war and scarcity” project is evident in both policy and rhetoric. European leaders, rather than articulating an independent security doctrine, appear increasingly subordinated to Washington’s priorities. The newly appointed NATO Secretary General and former Dutch Prime Minister, Mark Rutte, has become the face of this transformation.

During the so-called “Trump Summit” in The Hague, Rutte orchestrated an event less about strategy and more about appeasing U.S. President Donald Trump. Red carpets and ceremonial dinners replaced substantive debate. The summit, critics note, projected unity only by avoiding difficult questions, such as the long-term consequences of escalating the conflict in Ukraine or the feasibility of a 5% defense spending target.

Rutte even echoed unverified intelligence claims that Russia might attack a NATO member, offering no evidence, an act that some European observers described as “dangerous theatre.”

When NATO’s chief becomes a conduit for speculative threats to spread fear and make the militarization project palatable to the population, the alliance risks losing credibility and reinforcing the perception that Europe is less a sovereign actor and more a vassal of U.S. power.

The costs of militarization

The push toward 5% GDP in defense spending has profound implications for European societies. Bulgarian member of the European Parliament Petar Volgin, in an interview, warned that such a policy would neither enhance security nor foster stability. History shows that the accumulation of weapons often escalates risk rather than prevents conflict. Volgin invoked Anton Chekhov’s famous maxim: if a pistol hangs on the wall in the first act, it will inevitably be fired by the final one.

Beyond strategic risks, the economic trade-offs are stark. Channeling public resources into armaments will drain investments from social sectors like health, education, and welfare, which are the very foundations of the European social model. “This will turn Europe into a militarized monster devoid of social compassion,” Volgin warned.

Citizens, facing cuts in services and rising costs, will pay the price for a strategy that ultimately benefits the U.S. arms industry far more than European security, following Trump’s ruling.

Russophobia and the war logic

Underlying this shift is what can be described as institutionalized Russophobia. Russophobia has become not just public opinion but a structured ideology shaping policy, media narratives, and diplomatic strategies.

While Russian aggression in Ukraine is real, the EU’s strategic response has been filtered through a lens of historical Russophobia that often replaces pragmatism with emotion and prejudice.

For centuries, Russia has been both part of and apart from Europe, contributing profoundly to its literature, music, and intellectual heritage, yet frequently treated as an alien civilization.

The war in Ukraine provided an opportunistic moment for European elites to turn latent Russophobia into policy. Rather than pursuing a balanced security framework that might eventually integrate Russia into a stable European order, the EU doubled down on confrontation, sanctions, and militarization.

This approach carries a profound irony: a union born from the determination to overcome the hatreds of the past is now entrenching new fault lines on the continent. Calls for diplomacy, dialogue, or a broader European peace project, one that is social and moral, not merely military, have been marginalized or dismissed as naïve.

Democratic disconnection and strategic drift

Perhaps the most troubling aspect of Europe’s new trajectory is the widening gap between its political class and its citizens. Surveys conducted in the first year of the Ukraine war showed that over 70% of Europeans preferred a negotiated peace to the indefinite prolongation of conflict. Yet, in the European Parliament, 80% of MEPs rejected amendments calling for diplomacy and only 5% voted in favor.

This dissonance reflects a structural malaise: the EU’s foreign and security policy is increasingly shaped not by democratic debate, but by lobbyists, bureaucratic inertia, and transatlantic pressures.

The shift from a welfare-oriented project to a war-driven agenda has happened without meaningful public consent. As Clare Daly and Mick Wallace, former Irish MEPs, have argued, the EU’s “liberal mask has slipped,” revealing a political architecture that prioritizes geopolitics over people.

War and scarcity: a vicious cycle

The economic consequences of this transformation are already visible. Sanctions on Russia, while politically symbolic, have contributed to energy crises, inflation, and industrial slowdown, particularly in countries like Germany and Italy. Simultaneously, EU states are paying far higher prices for American LNG and U.S.-manufactured weapons, effectively transferring wealth across the Atlantic while their own populations face rising costs and stagnating wages.

This is the essence of Europe’s scarcity turn: by embracing a war economy, the EU sacrifices its social welfare model, undermines economic resilience, and fuels domestic discontent and the far-right parties. Instead of projecting stability, it imports volatility: economic, political, and social.

The question of purpose

The European Union now stands at a decisive moment in its evolution. If its purpose is to be a subordinate military bloc within a U.S.-led “Greater West,” it may achieve that at the cost of its original identity as a peace and welfare project.

However, if it seeks to reclaim strategic autonomy and moral credibility – deteriorated by its failure to condemn the genocide in Gaza -, it must confront uncomfortable questions: Can Europe imagine security beyond the logic of militarization and vassalage? Is Europe merely buying time, waiting for a non‑Trump administration, while reinforcing its subservience? Will it rebuild a peace project that addresses social justice and democratic legitimacy, not only deterrence? And can it rediscover the moral ambition that once made it a beacon for a conflict‑scarred world?

For now, the EU’s sad trajectory seems clear: a union that once promised prosperity and peace is becoming a fortress of fear and social uncertainty, defined by war spending, scarcity, and subservience. Its citizens were promised a shared future. What they are receiving instead is a militarized present, and an uncertain tomorrow.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... y-project/

Hate Russia, love America: obey the Italian Republic

Lorenzo Maria Pacini

August 11, 2025

Who will fight the war that the EU wants to wage against Russia?

The game risks breaking down

Italians do not like the United States, which is why they are forced to hate Russia. It is a matter of choice, not just taste. For Giorgia Meloni’s government, the darling of the Aspen Institute decorated by the Atlantic Council, the people must correct their preferences and align themselves with the will of those in power. And, let’s be clear, those in power do not reside in Rome.

It is the same rhetoric that has been used since Italy became a republic: the master gives an order, the servant must obey. This is the only option. When this is not done according to the criteria indicated, the master complains, and the vassal, who controls the servants, undertakes to resolve the inconvenience.

Let’s give a look to the “classical” strategy for this kind of situation.

If a political power wants to impose its influence on a foreign country, it needs to obtain not only the obedience of its institutions, but also the consent, or at least the neutrality, of public opinion. When the goal is to make people love the United States and at the same time generate hostility toward Russia, explicit propaganda is not enough: a sophisticated strategy of infowarfare and cognitive warfare, i.e., a war fought not with weapons but with narratives, symbols, emotions, and perceptions, is needed.

The first step is to restructure the general narrative framework: the United States must be perceived as a civilizing force, a guarantor of democracy and rights, while Russia must be associated with regressive, authoritarian, and militaristic values. The narratives must be simple but powerful: NATO as the defender of free peoples; Moscow as a constant threat to the global order.

This narrative work is accompanied by a long-term cultural strategy based on the use of soft power. The aim is to instill in citizens, especially young people, a positive perception of the United States through cultural products—TV series, music, sports, technology, fashion—that make identification with the American lifestyle desirable. The idea is that ‘living like an American’ is synonymous with being modern, free and fulfilled.

On a linguistic level, the semantic war is being waged, like the transformation of the meaning of key words. Those who challenge American influence can be labeled ‘pro-Russian’, ‘conspiracy theorists’ or ‘anti-Western’. At the same time, terms such as “freedom,” “democracy,” and “peace” are redefined to coincide with the Atlanticist line. NATO, even though it is expansionist and aggressive, is presented as a defensive shield, while every Russian move is described as a provocation or threat.

An essential component of this strategy is the penetration of the education system and digital media. Students must learn to perceive the Cold War as a moral battle and the present as its continuation. Social networks are colonized by influencers, NGOs, and think tanks that convey a worldview consistent with the pro-American narrative, but with youthful, seemingly neutral, or progressive language.

At the same time, historical memory is being manipulated. The aim is to erode Russia’s image as a liberating power in World War II and instead reinforce negative memories associated with communism, the KGB, and repression. Cultural ties with the Slavic world are devalued and selective commemorative celebrations—such as those for the victims of the Soviet regime—are promoted to crystallize a hostile collective memory.

Meanwhile, Russia is subjected to a continuous process of demonization. Every scandal, incident, statement, or crisis involving Moscow is amplified, stripped of context, and used to reinforce the image of a violent, corrupt, dangerous enemy. News about internal corruption, political assassinations, espionage, or repression of rights is used as material to consolidate symbolic hatred.

Finally, to consolidate cognitive victory, consensus engineering is employed. Polls are produced showing broad support for the Atlanticist line. The media constructs false debates in which divergent opinions are ridiculed or marginalized. Dissent is delegitimized as deviance or treason. Those who do not toe the line are silenced or exposed as “internal enemies.”

The ultimate goal is to make the perceived national interest coincide with the American interest. Once a population truly believes that what is good for the United States is also good for them—and that Russia, by definition, is an existential threat—the cognitive war is won. There is no longer any need to repress or convince: the perception of the world, and therefore also political reality, has been successfully shaped.

On the wrong side

The trouble, here, is that there is a generation gap. Today’s young Italians feel no moral obligation towards the US military, partly because the image of the United States has been deeply compromised by bloody wars and support for some of the most violent regimes on the planet. A well-known Italian academic once said that if the United States did not exist, we would have been spared 95% of the wars in the world. Perhaps he was not entirely wrong.

Meanwhile, Italy is preparing to lose billions of euros due to Trump’s tariffs, while investing just as much to purchase US weapons in compliance with European Commission directives, both through ReArm Europe and SAFE.

It is a real cognitive bias. The political class is pushing the entire country towards war by selling this choice as the road to peace, while the younger generations are not motivated to follow this course because they do not believe in the state, have no sense of political belonging, and are not morally prepared to support such a situation.

On the other hand, the problems are objective. The Italian Armed Forces do not have the capacity to absorb the enlistment touted by the government; young people, who have grown up on TikTok and Instagram, have no intention of compromising their lives for something ephemeral and devoid of moral value. So, what to do?

It is a problem of education or, if you will, of cognitive social engineering: we must convince citizens to love those they hate. And, consequently, for the equation to work, we need to find someone else to hate. That ‘someone’ is Russia.

The rhetoric of the First Republic was based on a positive sentiment: admiration for the United States. In contrast, the current rhetoric, embodied by the Mattarella Republic, is based on a negative impulse: hostility toward Russia. The problem is that this hostility is not reflected in the sensibilities of the population. First, because, despite intense media activity, many Italians perceive NATO as an aggressive, unscrupulous, and ever-expanding alliance, heedless of other people’s “red lines.” Second, because no Italian is willing to sacrifice themselves for NATO, which is seen as a distant entity with no roots in the national culture.

According to a Censis poll conducted on December 6, 2024, a large majority of Italians (66.3%) blame the West, and in particular the United States, for the conflict in Ukraine. The prevailing perception is that Russia is right and NATO is wrong. As a result, the transition from the rhetoric of an alliance based on love to one based on hatred is not producing the results Washington had hoped for. As a result, the Italian government, with Giorgia Meloni and Guido Crosetto at the forefront, seems to be preparing for a military confrontation with Russia in the absence of real popular consensus. If the younger generations cannot be educated to idolize the United States as they were in 1945, attempts are now being made to lead them to dislike Russia.

Since Italy is embarrassed by its subordination to a foreign power, it has built up a rhetorical apparatus over time to sugarcoat this condition. For decades, this rhetoric has been based on the myth of “liberation” from fascism by the United States. However, with the passage of time and the gradual disappearance of the partisans, historical memory has faded and with it the emotional link to those events.

Today’s young people no longer feel that link. For them, the United States is associated more with images of Gaza than with the Normandy landings. The perception of the present has overshadowed that of the past. This situation poses a real challenge for the media system, which must invent a new narrative to justify US influence in Italy.

When the game is in danger of breaking down, the government has a problem on its hands. Who will fight the war that the EU wants to wage against Russia?

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... -republic/

******

Friedrich Merz Marks 100 Days in Office Amid Multiple Crises and Far-Right Pressure

Image
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (C). X/ @dwilliam9940

August 13, 2025 Hour: 9:24 am

The German chancellor faces economic woes, global tensions, and far-right gains.

On Wednesday, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz marked 100 days in office amid multiple unresolved crises and under pressure from the continued strength of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in opinion polls.

Merz took over leadership of his party, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), with a stated goal of cutting the AfD’s support in half by winning back conservative voters who had drifted away from the party, disappointed by the centrist shift during Angela Merkel’s era.

Since then, the AfD has doubled its electoral results, becoming the strongest opposition party in the most recent general elections. Merz has interpreted that surge as a reaction to the government’s policies and argues that the far right can only be stopped with a change of course in many areas, starting with the fight against irregular migration.

However, after the election it was already clear that Merz would not be able to make a radical shift in many areas because the parliamentary balance forced him to form a coalition between his conservative bloc — which also includes Bavaria’s Christian Social Union (CSU) — and the Social Democratic Party (SPD). This dynamic has pushed him toward a strategy of compromise that had defined Merkel’s era.


The End of Austerity

Merz’s first compromise came before his inauguration and even before the new parliament was formed. One principle the CDU/CSU had traditionally defended firmly was austerity, and during the campaign Merz supported the so-called “debt brake” enshrined in the constitution, which stipulates that the deficit cannot exceed 0.35% of GDP.

During coalition negotiations, the CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to a constitutional reform introducing an exception to the debt brake for all defense spending exceeding 1.0% of GDP. The deal also created a special investment fund of 500 billion euros, financed through public debt.

The CDU/CSU and SPD also had to win over the Greens to secure parliamentary approval for the reform in the previous Bundestag, before the new chamber was constituted, as the measure required a two-thirds majority that would not have been achievable afterward.

Merz justified the shift for two reasons. One was the meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump at the White House, which made it clearer than before that Germany would have to take on greater responsibility in defense.

The other was a review of the economic data, which led him to conclude that a major investment drive was necessary to revive the economy.


‘Democracy’s Last Bullet’?

When the government took office, CSU leader and Bavarian Premier Markus Söder said the coalition was bound to succeed because — given the AfD’s rise — it was “democracy’s last bullet.”

The CSU secured the Interior Ministry, where Alexander Dobrindt has launched a series of measures aimed at curbing irregular migration, including “hot returns” of asylum seekers and high-profile deportations of convicted criminals to Afghanistan.

On the economy, Hubertus Bardt, director of the German Economic Institute (IW) in Cologne, said “a lot was promised but nothing has happened, so there is a sense of deception.”

In the business sector, Bardt noted that in the early days of Merz’s government there was “optimism” and “an improvement in the mood,” but still nothing concrete had materialized.

Other factors have contributed to the fading of business optimism after Merz’s first 100 days in office, such as the government’s lack of dynamism, the negative effects of Trump’s tariffs, and the downward revision of growth forecasts.

On top of that, the working atmosphere has been clouded by disagreements over specific issues, prompting many to recall the constant infighting in the previous coalition of the SPD, the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP), which ultimately led to snap elections.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/friedric ... -pressure/
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Sat Aug 16, 2025 2:30 pm

Dzwonnik z Our Federal Chancellery
Source: Egon W. Kreutzer; https://egon-w-kreutzer.de/der-gloeckne ... e-federale
Dr. Ignacy Nowopolski
Aug 15, 2025

Image

Neither the Federal Chancellery nor the Reichstag has a bell tower, nor does the CDU headquarters. This begs the question for the esteemed Simplicissimus: Where on earth did Friedrich Merz ring that hundred-hour bell he so confidently proclaims into the microphones: "Political change in Germany has begun."

Since he later said that we were the ones who “initiated” the economic recovery, one must assume (to his detriment) that he knows the difference between leading and calling the shots and truly believes that political change, which is EVERYTHING he promised to fight for before the election, was not initiated but merely announced.

Bim. Bam.

By the way, the Duden dictionary laconically states that "einläuten" means to announce the beginning of something.

If this is the case, it would mean that Friedrich Merz decided on his 100th day as Chancellor that the political change should begin now.

Like in the Olympic Games when the fire is burning:

"I declare the Berlin Games open..."

The current chancellor's attitude therefore aligns with the overwhelming majority of the country: so far, there are no signs of a change in policy. The authorization of the debt, which occurred 100 days ago, is out of the question, and if his assurances are to be believed, nothing has changed in the fundamentals of Israel's policy, despite the outrage it has caused.

Well, he admitted he'd triggered something too. It reminds me of doctors at a maternity clinic trying to induce labor by Friday at the latest for a pregnant woman who simply can't move, just to make sure the weekend is safe.

Therefore, it is possible that something has been introduced even if the audience is not involved in it and – as is often the case – has to believe it.

But—a tricky analogy!—what could the pregnant German economy be, when did fertilization occur, and who provided the sperm? Is the fetus already mature and viable, and if so, doesn't that mean the genes must have come from someone in charge of the previous government?

Lots of questions and one possible answer more terrifying than the other.

And do we even know what that will be? Of course. He says he's initiated an economic revolution, but what will it be: boys, girls, diversity?

It's also unclear when this initiative will succeed. Only Uncle Doctor reported that investments in Germany are being made again and that economic sentiment is slowly improving. Unfortunately, I don't know who told him this. I'd love to speak with him sometime. Based on my information, I can't confirm this. The DAX index can remain above 24,000 points, regardless of how stable it is. A glance at the DAX reveals practically nothing about the German economy. Companies, more than half of which are owned by foreign investors, conduct a significant portion of their operations abroad and generate most of their profits abroad, certainly not reflecting the economic situation in Germany.

Most of the major transformation projects, from battery factories to green hydrogen to chip factories, have already collapsed with varying degrees of resounding noise; the only thing left to wait for now is the birth. Stuttgart 21 is still not completed, and how the railway will cope with the additional costs is also unclear. Although Lutz, the former chairman of the railway management board, has just been fired, he will have to continue working with a grim face until a successor is found (who else does that voluntarily?), and by the time he has caught up, the current government may already be a thing of the past.

It remains to recall the last zero sentence, which accompanied the ringing like Gregorian chant from the semi-darkness of the crumbling monastery ruin:

“Germany has once again become a reliable partner in Europe and the world.”

If he had tweeted, “Germany is once again a reliable partner of the American deep state in European and world politics,” that would probably be a bit closer to the truth, although it would still be a euphemism.

The Trump administration in Washington considers Germany a country severely lacking in freedom of speech; in Russia, quite independently of Jeffrey Sachs, people believe that Germany is home to warmongers. In Israel, people are outraged by the embargo on weapons suitable for war in the Gaza Strip. The Chinese increasingly see Germany as an adversary rather than a trading partner; and the fact that in Europe the Starmer, Macron, and Merz scout club has united to pay homage to Zelensky and somehow squeeze into the Trump-Putin peace talks is an alliance in which the credibility of the partners will be tested, precisely when Trump and Putin reach an agreement. The blow won't necessarily come today, Friday, but it will come, I'm sure, because Macron and Starmer are pursuing their own interests. We don't know for sure yet what will happen to Friedrich Merz; he's probably just being dragged along as voluntary "voting cattle."

Anyone who faces accusations of lack of credibility from their own coalition partner because an agreement with Frauke Brosius-Gersdorf's judges was not reached, anyone who has to endure accusations of breaking all their campaign promises because that's precisely what happened in those 100 days, and then claims to be a reliable partner for much more distant interests, must ask themselves whether, given the events in Germany, there's reason to be proud, and where this confidence comes from. It's possible that the formulas of diplomatic courtesy, still common abroad, made such an impression on the Chancellor, who frequently travels the world. Perhaps Annalena Baerbock should have familiarized him with the art of travel diplomacy earlier.

Good. Done. The bell rang.

Bim. Bam.

https://drignacynowopolski.substack.com ... e-federale

EU plans 'regime change' in Hungary
According to Russian foreign intelligence, Brussels wants to replace Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban by next spring.
Dr. Ignacy Nowopolski
Aug 15, 2025
SVR says the European Commission is conspiring to help remove Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban from power because of what it believes is too independent a policy.

The Hungarian leader has repeatedly clashed with Brussels, opposing EU military aid to Ukraine and Kyiv's efforts to join the bloc.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is "seriously examining regime change scenarios" in Hungary, the SVR press service said in a statement on Wednesday.

Brussels intends to bring Peter Magyar, the leader of Hungary's opposition Tisza Party — seen as "loyal to globalist elites" and "the main candidate for prime minister" — to power in the 2026 parliamentary elections, "if not sooner," according to SVR.

Russian intelligence reported that significant "administrative, media and lobbying resources" are being committed to support the Magyar party through "funds from the German party, the European People's Party and a number of Norwegian NGOs".

Kiev, which is "offended" by Orbán's opposition to Ukraine's bid for EU membership, is doing its "dirty work" and destabilizing the internal situation in Hungary through its intelligence services and the local Ukrainian diaspora. Last month, Orbán accused Kiev of trying to influence Hungary's upcoming parliamentary elections.

The European Commission is "outraged" by Orban's attempts to "pursue an independent policy" and his attempts to influence the EU decision-making process, the Virtual Intelligence Service (SVR) said.

Hungary's recent decision to veto the EU's new seven-year budget, which Budapest says is aimed at militarizing Europe and preparing for war with Moscow, has been the last straw that has left the euro-bureaucrats out of patience.

Last month, Orbán announced that he was rejecting the budget proposal, saying it was "based on the logic of war."

"Billions for Ukraine, crumbs for farmers and development. Their goal: to defeat Russia, win over liberal allies and expand the sphere of influence," he wrote on X.

Moscow has repeatedly denied reports of its plans to attack NATO or EU countries and accused Western European leaders of conducting "uncontrolled militarization" to prepare for war with Russia.

https://drignacynowopolski.substack.com ... in-hungary

Google Translator

******

Ursula’s big success: More U.S. tariffs – a deal to cry about but presented as victory

Sonja van den Ende

August 16, 2025

The EU is pursuing foolish policies that put it on the losing side of history, with disastrous consequences for ordinary Europeans.

According to media outlets and, of course, politicians – after all, the media is the mouthpiece for politicians – Ursula von der Leyen, representing the EU, achieved a major victory. The Americans agreed to impose tariffs of only 15% on European products!

Von der Leyen’s success is so great that the EU will be forced to buy energy from the Americans for the sum of $750 billion and $600 billion for defense equipment from the United States. In short, the Europeans will pay dearly for the incompetence of the clowns who, in a completely unprofessional manner, govern the European Union.

U.S. Vice President Vance recently stated in an interview that the U.S. “doesn’t want to spend any more money on Ukraine for the war.” At the same time, he demanded that NATO countries play a greater role.

If we analyze his statement, there are contradictions. It’s presented as if the U.S. has completely withdrawn from the war in Ukraine, but that’s clearly not the case. The U.S. remains the largest player in NATO, with the biggest military presence in Europe. What it ultimately means is that the U.S. is in dire financial straits – otherwise, Make America Great Again (MAGA) wouldn’t have been introduced. Europe will pay for weapons, which is a good deal for the U.S., but the fact remains that America is still NATO’s dominant power. The only difference is that now the Europeans are foolish enough to foot the bill for weapons that will likely be used by Ukrainians or, in the worst case, by the Americans themselves.

The U.S. has also become Europe’s leading supplier of liquefied natural gas (LNG), especially now that the EU has reduced its dependence on Russian gas. In 2024, the U.S. supplied 55% of the EU’s LNG imports. This shift comes from both the EU’s efforts to diversify its energy sources and the increased production and export capacity of U.S. LNG facilities.

Europe has once again subjected itself to the U.S., and any notion of sovereignty has vanished. Even though the current U.S. administration sees this as a “good deal,” the sad truth is that Europe and its foolish politicians are making both the continent and its people dependent on American whims.

The U.S. continues pushing for a unipolar world, despite resistance from many governments trying to create a multipolar order. Every so-called “deal” is another step toward U.S. global dominance, as we recently saw with the supposed peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia. What Washington really wants is submission, and this administration is focused on deals that maintain American hegemony, despite what their media statements and political speeches might suggest.

The Europeans missed another opportunity. For three years, they participated in America’s proxy war against Russia in Ukraine. They could have said no, just as Germany and France did in 2003 when they opposed the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Those were the last true European statesmen – Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schröder – who had the courage to resist and argued for diplomatic solutions over military intervention.

Ursula von der Leyen, raised in wealth and mother of seven children, shows as little empathy for ordinary citizens as Angela Merkel, the childless, calculating leader before her. They are cold, power-hungry women. Some claim that “if women ruled the world, there would be no wars,” but that’s false. What matters is leadership, humanity and experience – the rest is just technocratic maneuvering.

The rhetoric and actions of EU countries and the UK show they have become completely radicalized in their focus on war against Russia. They are poisoning their populations with propaganda about the danger of a “Russian invasion of Europe” and are prepared to do anything. How else can this stupid deal be explained?

What fool – even Hitler was more intelligent than this – would pay the U.S. $600 billion (about €516 billion) for defense equipment only to have it used in Ukraine, likely through some backdoor deal with the Americans themselves? No rational leader would waste money like this!

Moreover, the European Union is preparing a new, 19th package of sanctions against Russia, as Kaja Kallas, Vice-President of the European Commission, told reporters after an urgent video conference of EU foreign ministers ahead of the upcoming Russia-U.S. summit in Alaska. Another foolish and pointless move by these radicalized female politicians – though to be fair, Europe’s male leaders aren’t doing much better. As I’ve said before, politics isn’t about gender but about intelligence, humanity and leadership.

Freedom of speech and the right to demonstrate are also under great threat in EU countries. For example, a campaign event by EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Helsinki during the 2024 European elections has caused controversy on social media. Since August 8, 2025, EU member states have been required to fully implement the European Media Freedom Act (EMFA), which sets rules for what governments can do to media outlets and individual journalists.

This means if the EU disagrees with what journalists write, finds it offensive, or contradicts their “war against Russia” narrative, they can be punished. The law claims to protect journalists but actually allows member states to continue using spyware against them under certain conditions. Spying on journalists is becoming the new norm for so-called “freedom of expression.”

Europe is shooting itself in the foot by refusing Russian gas while refusing to acknowledge who really blew up Nord Stream 2 – insisting it was Ukraine rather than the U.S. They’re buying weapons to enrich America in their imaginary war against Russia, and on top of it all, they’re accepting 15% U.S. tariffs.

These new tariffs will hurt European growth, likely having a negative net effect. If U.S. demand for European exports falls due to higher prices, or if European companies try to offset tariffs by cutting prices and profit margins, it could lead to reduced consumption and investment across the EU. It’s a doomsday scenario for the European Union, but especially for its citizens.

In conclusion, Ursula von der Leyen is unfit to lead the European Union, as is that other radicalized Russia-hater, Kaja Kallas. These women have robbed European citizens of prosperity by cutting off Russian gas and pushing unrealistic “green” energy solutions like solar power in Nordic countries.

They’re threatening Europeans with war to cover up their hidden 2030 agenda, while also fearmongering about artificial intelligence taking over – even though people should decide for themselves whether to use tools like ChatGPT, though the EU will probably force them eventually.

The EU is pursuing foolish policies that put it on the losing side of history, with disastrous consequences for ordinary Europeans. It’s time for Ursula and her radical allies like Kaja Kallas to resign. The European Union needs to be reorganized to serve its original purpose: economic and cultural cooperation – nothing more.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... d-victory/

******

Oh, Please!

Some German globalist shill spewing BS to war criminals in WaPo. Cry me a river, moron--your country, Germany, is over and it has been like that for a while now.

Roderich Kiesewetter, a member of the German parliament from Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s center-right Christian Democratic Union, said the exclusion of Europe and Ukraine from the meeting in Alaska meant the end of the West, in the sense of a collective alliance of the United States, European Union nations and NATO allies. “‘The West’ as an emotional or ethical term — it’s over,” Kiesewetter said. “That’s my main concern.” His other fear, he added, is the fate of Ukrainians.
A fucking Nazi whose country played a critical role in killing West in the 20th Century, who still cannot overcome an acute anal disturbance over Nazism being rolled back to where it belonged--destroyed streets of Berlin. Just take a look at the background of this German "officer":

After passing the German Abitur examination in 1982, Kiesewetter joined the German military artillery forces. From 1983 until 1986 he studied economics and organizational sciences at the Bundeswehr University Munich and the University of Texas at Austin. From 1995 to 1997 he attended the German General Staff Course at the Führungsakademie der Bundeswehr in Hamburg, being awarded the Heusinger prize for the best German graduate.

He should have been awarded the Heisenberg Uncertainty Prize for being simultaneously a "military" officer and being a moron in military affairs. We know what they "teach" in all those NATO military "courses". Yet, here we are--they squeal. I like it. Read my lips--Europe is irrelevant.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/08/oh-please.html
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Mon Aug 18, 2025 1:40 pm

Poland’s New President Is Picking Fights With His Prime Minister, The EU, & Russia
Andrew Korybko
Aug 17, 2025

Image

This is true to his character as an amateur boxer.

Poland’s new president Karol Nawrocki came out swinging against Prime Minister Donald Tusk, the EU, and Russia to a lesser extent during his inaugural address in early August. He talked a lot about how his election is a mandate for change by Poles who believe that the country can no longer continue being governed as it’s been since Tusk’s return to power in late 2023. He therefore proposed an entirely new constitution by 2030 in a move that’ll certainly influence the next parliamentary elections in fall 2027.

More political deadlock is accordingly expected and it’s possible that this could lead to early elections. Whether or not it does, however, Nawrocki pledged to prioritize megaprojects like the Central Transportation Port (CPK by its Polish abbreviation) that have become lightning rods of partisan discord over the past year and a half. The narrative among conservative-nationalists in Poland is that Tusk has curtailed and delayed that project in particular and others in general as a favor to his German patrons.

On that note, Nawrocki also promised that he’ll safeguard Polish sovereignty in the face of the German-led EU’s efforts to continually erode it. He explicitly declared that “I will therefore be the voice of those who want a sovereign Poland, a Poland that is in the European Union, but a Poland that is not the European Union, only Poland – and will remain Poland…I will never agree to the European Union taking away Poland's competences.” He correspondingly rejected the euro and promised to keep the zloty.

Segueing towards Russia, which wasn’t directly mentioned in his inaugural address but was strongly alluded to, Nawrocki said that “Poland's security begins with every soldier – with their equipment, their awareness, their fortitude and their heart. I will be the voice of Polish soldiers and Polish officers. I will support, Mr Prime Minister, Mr Minister, all efforts to modernise the Polish army, and I will strive to make the Polish army the largest NATO force in the European Union.”

He then proposed expanding the Bucharest Nine – which refers to the Visegrad Group, the Baltic States, Romania, and Bulgaria – to the Bucharest Eleven through multilateral cooperation with NATO’s newest Scandinavian members. This aligns with his three regional priorities that he outlined in early June during an interview with Hungarian media and which were analyzed here. Poland’s megaprojects (some of which will greatly improve military logistics), militarization, and regional plans all pose a threat to Russia.

Russia might therefore interestingly find itself on the same side as Tusk and the EU vis-à-vis Nawrocki, who’s endorsed by Trump, though this curious convergence of interests likely won’t lead to any breakthrough in Russian-Polish or Russian-EU ties. In any case, the optics show that Nawrocki is picking fights with practically everyone (apart from the US of course), which is true to his character as an amateur boxer. He sincerely believes that this advances Poland’s objective national interests.

While it’s debatable whether posing threats to Russia is in Poland’s best interests, opposing Tusk and the EU certainly are since they’re liberal-globalists that want to subordinate Poland to Germany. Nawrocki wants to liberate Poland from their yoke, albeit while placing it more solidly under the US’, to which end he proposed a new constitution and pledged to safeguard Polish sovereignty. He’s off to a good start but won’t be able to change much unless conservative-nationalists win back the Sejm in fall 2027 or earlier.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/polands- ... is-picking

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Hungarian minister claims EU leaders plan to overthrow three European governments

Hungary's foreign minister says the European Union is trying to overthrow the governments of Hungary, Slovakia and Serbia because they put national interests above the agreement with Brussels.

Dr. Ignacy Nowopolski
Aug 18, 2025

Peter Szijjarto made the accusations in a Facebook post on Thursday after phone calls with Slovak Foreign Minister Juraj Blanar and Serbia's top diplomat, Marko Durić.

Russia also claims the EU is planning regime change in Hungary .

According to Szijjarto, the parties agreed to strengthen their position on sovereignty and pledged mutual solidarity in the face of what they described as growing external pressure.

"Brussels has ceased to be a factor in world politics. The fact that Europe was excluded from the Alaska talks is proof of this," he wrote, referring to Friday's summit between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, which focused on the conflict in Ukraine.

Kyiv's supporters in Europe have repeatedly called for inclusion in the talks involving Russia, Ukraine, and the United States, arguing that a "European power" should be "in the room" to ensure Kyiv and the EU's security interests are protected . Unlike the EU, which continues to support Ukraine's war efforts, Szijjárto said Hungary, Serbia, and Slovakia prioritize national interests and resist pressure from Brussels, prioritizing peace talks over military engagement.

“This obviously frustrates mainstream liberal political leaders, and as a result, pressure is mounting on governments that support peace, look after national interests and do not subordinate themselves to Brussels,” the diplomat said.

It is "clearer than daylight" that "experiments of external intervention are underway in Central Europe, aimed at destabilizing and overthrowing governments against the patriotic governments of Slovakia, Hungary and Serbia," he added.

Szijjarto criticized recent polls in Slovakia that suggested citizens "only trust the revolution" and accused Brussels of trying to undermine the Hungarian government by supporting the opposition Tisza Party. He also cited recent clashes between protesters and police in Serbia, suggesting that external forces were stoking social unrest to destabilize the government.

According to Szijjarto, "these are all different chapters of the same scenario in Brussels: they want to purge the governments of the peaceful, patriotic parties, guided by the national interest," and their place is to be taken by puppet governments so that Brussels "can gain a place."

In other words, replicate the Romanian scenario in the presidential elections.

https://drignacynowopolski.substack.com ... -przywodcy

Google Translator

******

UK Admits Serious Nuclear Incident at Clyde Base, But Keeps the Details Secret
August 17, 2025

Image
The HMS Ambush arriving at Clyde naval base in Scotland in 2012. Photo: Defence Imagery/LA (Phot) Stu Hill.

Moscow, Aug 15 (Sputnik) – The UK Defense Ministry has admitted that a serious nuclear incident occurred earlier this year at the Clyde naval base in Scotland, where the Trident nuclear deterrent force is based, a UK newspaper reported.

The incident was assigned “category A,” which means that there was a “high potential for radioactive release to the environment,” the report said on Thursday.

Information about the incident was disclosed after a request from a Scottish member of parliament, the report read. However, the ministry did not disclose details of the incident or specify whether there was actually a leak of radioactive substances.

In response to the request, the ministry also stated that between January 1 and April 22, in addition to one category “A” incident, two category “B” incidents, seven category “C” incidents and four category “D” incidents occurred at the Clyde base, the report noted.

Category “B” incidents are defined as having “actual or high potential for a contained release within [a] building or submarine or unplanned exposure to radiation,” category “C” incidents have “moderate potential for future release,” while category D incidents are unlikely to prompt any release but “may contribute towards an adverse trend,” the newspaper reported.

https://orinocotribune.com/uk-admits-se ... ls-secret/
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Wed Aug 20, 2025 3:08 pm

Trump Breaks Europe Over His Knee: Unprecedented Optics of White House 'Losers' Gathering'

The end of Europe as a serious political power.
Simplicius
Aug 19, 2025

The troupe arrived to “daddy’s” DC office for their official dressing down. If nothing else, we must marvel at the fact that the meeting produced some of the most remarkable political optics, perhaps, in history:

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Has there ever been anything like this? The entire pantheon of the European ruling class reduced to sniveling children in their school principal’s office. No one can deny that Trump has succeeded in veritably ‘breaking Europe over his knee’. There is no coming back from this turning point moment, the optics simply cannot be redeemed.

But even snide ridicule aside, objectively speaking, we must point to how absolutely defeated and low-energy the delegation looked. Just gander at the body language of ‘eminent statesmen’ like Emmanuel Macron and Alexander Stubb in this photo op meant to convey collegial solidarity and allied ‘authority’: (Video at link.)

Hands in pockets, looks of mild confusion or disinterest, vacant eyes, and that bizarre ‘dead-space’ atmosphere like a “TV tuned to a dead station” (hat tip Mr. Gibson). It’s clear that no one wants to be there, and everyone knows the artificial charade looks and feels forced. The real punchline comes at the 1:00 mark where it becomes eminently obvious the entire hollow exercise is nothing more than an ego-stroke for the cunning Ringmaster himself, as he bids his abject pupils to veer their gaze at the carefully-situated artwork presiding over the gilded humiliation ritual.

Volumes could be written on the implications of such a low point in European influence. But we’ll suffice with concluding that it’s clear the matter of the Ukrainian conflict’s resolution is of such existential importance to the behind-the-scenes cabal which writes the Euro-puppets’ orders, that this cabal is willing to risk everything, including politically sacrificing its “compradors” posing as elected leaders.

It’s pointless to even granularize it, but there were many small moments of humiliation in the meeting: from Trump’s seeming non-recognition of Finland’s president—unable to find him despite his sitting directly across from him—to Trump humbling Ursula, who came armed with a prescripted spiel about Russians kidnapping Ukrainian children; Trump slapped her silent by pointing out they had convened to talk about something else entirely, i.e. your propaganda is irrelevant and unwanted here. (Video at link.)

It should also be noted that Trump did not greet a single one of the European messengers personally as they arrived, having a chaperone escort them like children from the White House playground instead. It was in sharp contrast to the pomp and ceremony of the Putin visit. This, of course, is by design, with Trump effectively showing the craven European compradors their subordinate place as part of his slow restructuring of the world order; Trump respects only power—mealy and servile leaders repulse him and earn his boot-print on their foreheads.

So what did the meeting actually accomplish, other than raising Trump’s prestige and smothering inconvenient media narratives from the news cycle?

(Paywall with free option.)

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/tru ... r-his-knee

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Alaska meeting is a milestone of the decline of NATO and EU

Martin Jay

August 19, 2025

In recent days, the EU has never been placed so low on the world map as it was in the so-called Alaska meeting.

Is the EU and its member states collectively heading towards the abyss? For so many years analysts have thundered headlines of the flavour “end of the EU” – even myself I must admit – but in recent days the EU itself has never been placed so low on the world map as it was in the so-called Alaska meeting. A few weeks earlier, many supporters of the EU were stunned at just how pusillanimous the EU commission boss was facing Donald Trump, as she accepted 15% tariffs across the board on all EU goods entering the U.S. – absolutely amazing given there was no announcement of trade talks where officials on both sides would negotiate a more appropriate rate. This move alone revealed so much. The EU is, if nothing else, a pseudo superpower administration owned wholesale by the world’s largest corporations – like Pfizer, the U.S. drag maker who Ursula von der Leyen made part of a 600bn euro EU vaccine fund – and so it would have been absurd for her to have resisted.

And now it is the EU’s time to take another body blow as it plays a secondary role in the negotiations for a peaceful settlement for the Ukraine war. Yet few are betting on a peace deal. Even Trump himself doesn’t seem to hold out much hope as Putin has made it clear that he wants the Russian-speaking regions of eastern Ukraine to be handed over as part of the deal, plus guarantees that Ukraine can never be a NATO member.

Whether NATO will even be around in the coming months is another matter as it is worth noting that this transatlantic organization, which the U.S. runs, is currently going through its lowest point of its history, like the EU. What idiotic U.S. journalists who shout out to Putin in the press conference “are you going to stop killing civilians” don’t ask is more telling. Of course, they don’t shout out such stupid questions to Netanyahu when he visits, who is the architect of the most horrific genocide of the 21st century, where women and children who manage to miss the bombs which reign down on their tents and now starved to death – all supported by the U.S. But to Putin, U.S. journalists don’t ask “how’s the war going in Ukraine, sir?” or even “what do you think will happen to NATO if your army forces Zelensky to surrender?”.

The meeting was never going to be a deal breaker for a peace deal in Ukraine as the journalists’ temporary accommodation was a clue to that. What the Alaska meeting set out to do was for both leaders to show reverence for one another so that bigger deals can be worked out – perhaps energy and infrastructure deals in Alaska itself or even more rare earth and minerals in Russia – and if you listen carefully to Trump’s responses to questions from U.S. media, you will note the hints.

But with U.S.-Russia relations moving in a soberer, grown up direction, rather than the silly Biden stance, there are many possibilities on the table. Ukraine may well be resolved at some point if some of these super deals can see the light of day.

For the Europeans and the EU, they will have to dance to the beat of the Putin-Trump drum which makes them look even more ineffective and congruent to the bigger picture geopolitics which they crave. Same goes for NATO. Both of these institutions have poured oil on the fire in recent years by only seeing the war option – or more specifically the ‘escalate to de-escalate’ option which backfired spectacularly every single time that now to justify the huge amounts of money shovelled into a war project which cannot benefit the West, its leaders only have one narrative to repeat over and over again now, so that they can save their own jobs and credibility. War talk. More war. War, war and even more war.

It’s incredible. The EU’s top diplomat Kaja Kallas, Estonia’s former PM gave a clue recently to the tunnel vision that the EU and NATO have about the Ukraine war. They see it as the EU’s first test at hard-core foreign policy act, despite it being bank rolled by “Daddy” Trump. Probably the most delusional and idiotic quote of the month has to go to Kallas who told journalists “If Europe cannot defeat Russia how can it defeat China?”. The entire thinking is really all based on conflict rather than conflict prevention which is also about saving both NATO and the EU from its worst ever credibility crash when Russia finally defeats the Ukrainian army. These EU buffoons have created, since 2014 and even before, a war which was inevitable, which they don’t have the means, military capacity or even the leadership to win and yet their priorities now are making a massive cover-up of the failure and protecting their own dynasties. Europe is not preparing itself for war. This is the huge bluff. It is preparing itself for a huge fall which is unprecedented and may well be a catalyst for both the demise of the EU and NATO as we know them.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... to-and-eu/

Republic of Srpska in crosshairs again

Stephen Karganovic

August 20, 2025

The political siege of Russia’s tiny Balkan ally, the Republic of Srpska, an autonomous entity within Bosnia and Herzegovina, is gaining momentum.

The political siege of Russia’s tiny Balkan ally, the Republic of Srpska, an autonomous entity within Bosnia and Herzegovina, is gaining momentum. On Monday, 18 August 2025, two significant developments took place. The first is that the Constitutional Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina denied the appellate motion of Milorad Dodik to quash the decision of the Central Electoral Commission cancelling his Presidential mandate. That is the endpoint of the legal proceedings against Dodik on charges of disobeying the orders of Bosnia’s de facto colonial administrator, German bureaucrat Christian Schwarz. The other significant event was the resignation, on the same day, of Republic of Srpska’s Prime Minister, Radomir Višković. Višković was appointed by Dodik in 2018 and was considered a loyal aide to the President. The impact of his hasty departure, on exactly the same day that, by collective West reckoning, Dodik ceased to be President and became a private person, is yet to become fully visible. But the fact that he did not even wait for a “decent interval” (Kissinger’s famous words from another context) before abandoning ship cannot be regarded but as politically ominous.

For a proper understanding of the roots of the grave constitutional and political crisis affecting not just the Republic of Srpska but Bosnia and Herzegovina as a whole it would be worthwhile to briefly review the violations of fundamental international and domestic legal principles that had given it rise.

At the conclusion of the civil war in Bosnia, in late 1995, a peace agreement was hammered out in Dayton, Ohio, between the three Bosnian parties with the participation of the major Western powers and interested neighbouring countries. The agreement provided for a sovereign Bosnia and Herzegovina organised as a loose confederation of two constituent ethnically based entities, the Republic of Srpska and the Muslim-Croat Federation. The country had become a member of the UN in 1992 when it separated from Yugoslavia. That membership continued and served as an additional guarantee of its sovereign status as a subject of international law.

One of the provisions of the Dayton Agreement was that the UN Security Council would select and approve an international High Representative with a year-long mandate. That official would be authorised to “interpret” such sections of the Peace Agreement concerning the meaning and application of which the parties were unable to agree. The initially one-year mandate envisioned for the High Representative by inertia became extended indefinitely so that, after nearly thirty years of peace in Bosnia and Herzegovina, that office still exists.

In December of 1995, shortly after the signing of the Dayton Peace Agreement, a self-created entity called the Peace Implementation Council (PIC) was organised by 10 collective West countries and international bodies to “mobilise international support for the Agreement.” Russia originally was invited to be a member, though in its parlous political condition of the 1990s it was always outvoted by Western “partners,” but it has since withdrawn. Also by inertia, at its 1997 meeting in Bonn, Germany, PIC expanded the scope of its own activity vis-à-vis Bosnia to include proposing to the UN Security Council a suitable candidate for High Representative when that post would become vacant. But more importantly, acting motu propio it radically augmented the powers that the High Representative in Bosnia could exercise, to a level not contemplated in the Dayton Agreement. According to the “Bonn Powers” granted to him by PIC at the 1997 meeting, he would no longer be confined to “interpreting” the Dayton Agreement but would also be invested with unprecedentedly robust authority to annul and impose laws in Bosnia and Herzegovina and to dismiss and appoint public officials.

In the Wikipedia article on this subject, of unspecified authorship but written evidently by someone sympathetic to this method of governance, it is stated that “international control over Bosnia and Herzegovina is to last until the country is deemed politically and democratically stable and self-sustainable.” Who decides that is left conveniently unsaid, but the arrogant formulation constitutes a text-book definition of a colonial protectorate.

As a result of these manipulative rearrangements of the peace framework codified in the Dayton accords, acting by its arbitrary volition, PIC, a self-authorised group of countries, conferred on the Bosnian High Representative a drastic expansion of executive authority, which was without basis either in the Dayton Peace Agreement or in international law. Or in the Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina, for that matter.

Article 3.3.6 of that Constitution prescribes that “general provisions of international law are an integral part of the legal order of Bosnia and Herzegovina.”

As cogently argued by Serbian constitutional law professor Milan Blagojević, the chief of the general precepts of international law is the principle of sovereign equality of member states of the United Nations, as enshrined in Article 2 of the Charter. That principle is the reason why Article 78 of the Charter prohibits the establishment of a trusteeship, or protectorate, over any member state of the United Nations.

As Prof. Blagojević further points out, that means that both the Charter of the United Nations and the Constitution of UN member state Bosnia and Herzegovina, which incorporates it by reference, prohibit anyone other than the competent organs of the member state to promulgate its laws or to interfere in any other way in the operation of its legal system.

But that is exactly what Christian Schmidt, the individual currently claiming to be the High Representative in Bosnia, has done, provoking the crisis in which the Republic of Srpska is engulfed. In 2023, he arbitrarily decreed that a new provision of his own making and without need for parliamentary approval should be inserted in Bosnia’s Criminal Code, making non-implementation of the High Representative’s orders a punishable criminal offence. Incidentally, not only are the “Bonn Powers” that Schmidt invoked in support of his invasive interference in Bosnia’s legal system questionable, but so is his own status as “High Representative.” Fearing a Russian veto, his nomination was not even submitted to the UN Security Council, so that the Council never exercised its prerogative of approving or rejecting it.

Noticing the flagrant violation of applicable international and domestic legal norms, shortly thereafter in 2023 the Parliament of the Republic of Srpska passed a law making decrees of the High Representative that trespassed his original authority under the Dayton Peace Agreement null and void and unenforceable on the Republic’s territory. That bold but perfectly reasonable law, adopted by a duly elected Parliament, gave great offence to the guardians of the “rules based order.” Acting in his capacity as President, and in defiant disregard for Schmidt’s explicit warning to desist, Milorad Dodik signed the law, giving it legal effect.

The prosecution case against Dodik in the Constitutional Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina stemmed from that act of boorish defiance of orders that clearly were of questionable provenance and even more doubtful legality. But as a result, Dodik was nevertheless arbitrarily deposed as President and is not allowed to run for public office in his country for the next six years.

The range of choices now before Dodik and, more importantly, the Republic of Srpska and the million Serbs who live there, is extremely limited. The Electoral Commission which, like all organs of Bosnia’s central government, answers to whoever has usurped the office of High Representative, will now have up to ninety days to call a snap election to fill the post of Republika Srpska President. As expounded in a previous article, under the current rules, and with Dodik’s forced departure from the political scene, it should not be difficult to “democratically” install a cooperative figure like Pashinyan in Armenia, who would be amenable to implementing collective West’s agenda. The key elements of that long-standing agenda are the lifting of Republika Srpska’s veto on Bosnia’s NATO membership and governmental centralisation for the convenience of the collective West overlords. In practice, the latter means divesting the entities of their autonomy and consequently of their capacity to cause obstruction.

Dodik has announced ambitious plans to counter these unfavourable developments. He intends first to call a referendum for Republika Srpska voters to declare whether or not they want him to continue to serve as President, followed by another referendum for Serbs to decide whether they wish to secede or remain in Bosnia and Herzegovina. But these manoeuvres and aspirations may be too little, too late. As the abrupt resignation of his Prime Minister presages, there may soon begin a stampede of other officials eager to distance themselves from Dodik, anxious for their sinecures and fearful of being prosecuted – like their erstwhile President – for disobedience. Once private citizen Dodik has been divested of effective control over his country’s administrative apparatus, threats of secession or referendums to demonstrate his people’s continued loyalty will ring hollow and are unlikely to impress, much less achieve, their purpose.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... irs-again/

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Tusk Ridiculously Blamed Putin For A Bandera Flag Scandal In Poland’s Largest Stadium
Andrew Korybko
Aug 20, 2025

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Many military-aged Ukrainian men in Poland are anti-Polish extremists who pose a latent security threat.

Poles were furious after the flag of Stepan Bandera’s “Ukrainian Insurgent Army” was recently flown in a Warsaw stadium, the country’s largest, during a Belarusian rapper’s concert. After all, it was in his name and under this flag that Ukrainians genocided over 100,000 Poles during WWII, whose remains have yet to be exhumed and properly buried even though Kiev already did this for over 100,000 Wehrmacht soldiers. Several dozen Ukrainians and a handful Belarusians were detained and will now be deported.

This follows the scandal earlier in the month when a parliamentarian shouted “Slava Ukraini” in the Sejm and comes amidst Poles already getting fed up with Ukrainian refugees and the proxy war. Anti-Ukrainian sentiment is therefore expected to surge in the aftermath of this latest incident, and it was likely with a view to desperately redirect Poles’ fury away from the around one million of them that flooded into the country since 2022 that Prime Minister Donald Tusk ridiculously blamed Putin for what just happened.

He tweeted that “The resolution of the Ukrainian war is approaching, so Russia is doing everything to sow discord between Kyiv and Warsaw. Anti-Polish gestures by Ukrainians and fueling anti-Ukrainian sentiments in Poland are Putin’s scenario, orchestrated by foreign agents and local idiots. Always the same ones.” Many Poles rejected his kooky conspiracy theory in their comments under his post, taking offense at how he insulted their intelligence and reminding him of how much Ukrainians glorify Bandera.

This proves what was earlier written about how fed up Poles are getting with Ukrainian refugees, the hyperlinked analysis of which relied on survey data from a reputable pollster to reach that conclusion, thus confirming the expected surge of anti-Ukrainian sentiment in the aftermath of this latest incident. What just happened was particularly offensive since many Poles opened up their homes for Ukrainian refugees early on the special operation, volunteered to help them, and donated to associated charities.

This was done out of solidarity with Ukraine against Russia, Poland’s historical rival, yet Poles are now realizing how naïve they were. Far from overcoming their historical hatred for Poland, Ukrainians still glorify the man in whose name their ancestors genocided Poles, and military-aged men who dodged their country’s draft by being in Poland have no qualms about doing this in their host’s capital. This isn’t just ingratitude, it’s blatant disrespect, and it’s due to Ukrainians nowadays feeling privileged in Poland.

Poles finally understand this and that’s why many now want Ukrainians’ benefits to be revoked, not to mention the growing number of them that want military-aged Ukrainian men to be deported for security reasons too, which is sensible considering that many are anti-Polish extremists. The inevitable end of the Ukrainian Conflict will likely lead to an influx of veterans into Poland who, given their battlefield experience and ideological indoctrination, might carry out acts of terrorism against society and the state.

As explained here last fall, Ukrainian ultra-nationalists lay claim to parts of southeastern Poland so they might very well try to advance this expansionist agenda in the future, especially if the narrative circulates that Poland “stabbed Ukraine in the back” and thus “helped Russia win” by curtailing military aid. What just happened in Warsaw is a harbinger of what’s to come if Poland doesn’t coerce or outright force military-aged Ukrainian men into leave and lets veterans flood into the country after the conflict ends.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/tusk-rid ... -putin-for
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blindpig
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Re: Blues for Europa

Post by blindpig » Sat Aug 23, 2025 2:21 pm

Globalist Poland accuses Russia of drone attack in another NATO attempt to escalate war

In the past, there were corn hounds flying, and now there are corn drones!
Dr. Ignacy Nowopolski
Aug 21, 2025

A suspected Russian drone flew into a cornfield in Osiny, Lublin Province, triggering a massive explosion that shattered windows in nearby homes. No one was injured, but the incident sparked intense speculation about its timing and intentions.
“Minister of National Defence and Deputy Prime Minister of Poland” Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz immediately called the incident a “provocation by the Russian Federation” that occurred at a time when peace negotiations regarding the conflict in Ukraine were gaining momentum.

Prosecutors and investigators confirmed that the debris (burnt metal and plastic fragments) indicated the presence of a military drone, likely an Iranian Shahed model adapted by Russia, equipped with a Chinese-made engine and apparently of a self-destructive design.

Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski announced that Poland will file a formal diplomatic protest over another violation of its airspace – and NATO airspace – despite no radar detection of an ingress from Ukraine or Belarus.

For readers skeptical of Western narratives and pro-Russian views, today's events raise serious questions.

Why now? The drone crash occurred in the midst of delicate peace negotiations. It's hard to believe it was a mere coincidence.

The possibility of a false flag attack. Some argue that the attack may have been staged to provoke NATO, gain greater Western support for Ukraine, and block Russia's efforts for peace.

Escalation strategy. Others wonder if Kyiv and its allies are using the incident to justify deeper NATO involvement, maintaining the war under the pretext of Article 5.

In 2022, Poland attempted to blame Russia for a stray missile that struck a Polish village. However, the missile was later confirmed to have originated from Ukrainian air defenses. The attack resulted in civilian deaths and sparked an international debate about responsibility and the attack's intent.

Tusk's Germanic agents ruling Poland are doing everything in their power to push us into war with Russia. On the other hand, they are encouraging illegal emigration from Germany, and in their latest sabotage, they have enabled the mass purchase of real estate in Poland by German investors. The main attack was on Wrocław, which was part of the Third Reich before World War II.

We will see what next act of sabotage the Warsaw regime will commit against Poland and Central Europe?!

https://drignacynowopolski.substack.com ... arza-rosje

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EU leaders in the White House signal a new level of desperation

Martin Jay

August 21, 2025

We have never reached an all time low as European countries – including the UK – as of now, Martin Jay writes.

What did we just witness? Europe’s leaders in a close meeting with Donald Trump trying to hammer out a peace deal with Ukraine and Russia? Was it for real or staged? When UK’s Keir Starmer kicked off with a two-minute monologue and people from his own country were looking for subtitles, you knew this was bullshit central on steroids. Trump’s idea of bringing them all to the White House only really had three distinct objectives, even if he hadn’t worked them out himself. Firstly, to appease Russian leader Putin who he wants a closer, warmer relationship with for business; secondly to give the impression that he is committed to finding a peace deal in Ukraine; and thirdly to make the point again that America is back and even though the U.S. is not the world leader it once was, within a European dynamic it is more of a superpower than ever before. We have never reached an all time low as European countries – including the UK – as of now where our leaders sit outside Trump’s office and wait for him to finish important business with real players – in the world of grown-ups and their deals – before he invites us into his office. The photo taken really summed up Europe’s problems which have lead to the crisis in the first place: no leadership.

When Trump started heaping praise on the cohort of failed EU politicians and then added to the circus medley “it’s Biden’s war” you know from the off that there was going to be no real future and that the meeting was a sham.

What’s really going on is Trump recalibrating himself with Putin while moving into the safety zone of world affairs as a gargantuan distraction for the U.S. press, while in reality the U.S. economy moves steadily towards a recession following Trump’s blundering with his tariffs plan and the Epstein scandal just puts more and more pressure on him. The recent publication of a book in the UK which shed more light on Trump’s links to Epstein and his underage girl honey trap has just injected more adrenalin into the on going saga – claiming that Trump had sex for the first time with Melania on the Lolita Express jet owned by Epstein and that he in fact was close to Prince Andrew.

The reality is that the Ukraine war and its so-called peace deal is a convenient go-to place for Trump while he humours Putin and tried to pull him out of a hole which he dug himself. If new deals can be done while Putin meets Trump in Russia while supposedly meeting with Zelensky, then this might not be such a bad thing for U.S.-Russia relations, but who is holding out any hope for a real peace deal in Ukraine when Zelensky has made it clear he won’t give up ground and won’t agree to his country signing any deal which blocks NATO entry. Trump claims that Putin has already agreed to a NATO-type coalition of western countries to have their armies amass in Ukraine with an Article 5 type agreement protecting all and one, just like NATO but not in NATO’s name. But his own Russian ministry has denied this and stated emphatically that this cannot be accepted. So what’s the real story here when we venture through the dust cloud and even pass through the smoke and mirrors mainly created by Trump’s main magician’s trick – to lie to the press and play the role of conjuror constantly providing new ideas for media to play with without actually identifying the core issue?

The Europeans are also lying quite a bit. They pretend, along with Trump, they also want a peace deal whereas in reality they can’t contemplate it as, at all costs, they need to keep Zelensky in power and any peace deal immediately comes with a heavy price: elections.

The reality is that they want more time and this is why Germany’s chancellor in the meeting called for a ceasefire. Who said Germany was an irony-free zone? It was Chancellor Merkel who admitted that the Minsk agreements which were drafted and signed earlier with the express purpose of buying time for Ukraine so it could re-arm. And so for Chancellor Merz to try and pull this stunt – when everyone knows that the Europeans’ stockpiles are very low and it could take years for EU countries to give Ukraine the kind of ordinance it needs in the time frame it requires to even hold back a Russian advance. Mertz thought it was worth a shot trying to buy time but in fact it was already spotted by the Donald who had already been briefed by Putin “no temporary ceasefires…we’re not falling for that one again”.

Time is really the issue now which explains the haste of Trump to try and patch together a series of meetings to try and win over Zelensky and his European patrons. Trump knows that Pokrovsk in Eastern Ukraine is going to fall to Russian troops and if that happens in the next 7 weeks before rains come and tank movement becomes very hard, then the Ukraine war will more or less be over and there will no longer be the pretext of a peace negotiation with Putin. Winner takes it all. This is the real reason for the haste and why Trump is being so absurdly complimentary to EU leaders.

We are literally watching the fall of NATO and the EU and how the U.S. will always be the victor in the end, although it is unlikely that Trump favours NATO losing its credibility when Russia advances. It seems that both the U.S. and EU are attempting to avoid this massive PR failure but with the EU elites standing to lose so much more and needing America more than ever, making the Marshall Plan look like a kiddies’ picnic. Depending on how much MAGA support he is preparing to lose as he continues to funnel U.S. tax dollars into the pockets of Zelensky and his cabal, will determine whether after the failed talks between Putin, Zelensky and Trump he will still stick with the Ukrainian president.

At some point, the mantra “Zelensky is the real problem” will resonate and at this moment we will see if he has been honest with us all along, or has been playing a double bluff. Certainly the new golden relationship between Trump and Zelensky who appear like a loved-up couple signals that most of what we see in front of the cameras in disingenuous at best and completely fraudulent theatre at worse. The biggest lie peddled though is that Trump had nothing to do with the war starting in Ukraine. This is simply untrue and needs to be called out but don’t expect U.S. journalists to do that, as, just as Oliver Stone says, they don’t have any sense of history.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... speration/

Hungary on the brink of an existential decision: confront Kiev and break with NATO or remain a hostage of Ukrainian terror?

Lucas Leiroz

August 21, 2025

Budapest must urgently decide the future of its relations with Ukraine, the EU, and NATO.

The recent Ukrainian attack on the Druzhba pipeline — vital for the oil supply of Hungary and Slovakia — marks a turning point in the geopolitical conflict in Eastern Europe. The strike was confirmed by Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, with commander Robert Brovdi publicly celebrating the act of energy sabotage. Far from an isolated incident, this was a deliberate act of aggression against EU member states that have pursued a sovereign foreign policy contrary to NATO’s warmongering agenda.

The attack was not merely military. It was political, economic, and — above all — symbolic. By targeting the core infrastructure that sustains Hungary and Slovakia, Kiev is sending a clear message: dissent within the EU will not be tolerated. Budapest and Bratislava’s opposition to sending weapons to Ukraine and denouncing illegal sanctions against Russia has made them, in practice, targets of the Ukrainian nationalist regime.

Budapest responded firmly. Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó did not hesitate to call the attack “outrageous and unacceptable.” But Kiev’s arrogance remains unshaken. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sibiga not only dismissed Hungary’s criticisms but also claimed that the blame lies with Moscow, demanding that Hungary abandon its “dependence” on Russian energy. This is a perverse inversion of reality, typical of the Zelensky regime, propped up by Washington, London, and Brussels.

But the issue goes beyond oil supplies. Ukrainian hostility toward Hungary is not new — it is only deepening. Since 2014, Hungarians in Transcarpathia have lived under what can only be described as an ethnic apartheid regime. A barrage of cultural and linguistic persecution measures has taken hold: systematic closure of Hungarian-language schools, bans on national symbols, restrictions on the use of the mother tongue in public spaces, and even efforts to erase Hungarian place names in historically Hungarian areas.

Even more alarming is the practice of forced military conscription, disproportionately targeting young Hungarians in the region. There are growing reports, confirmed by independent observers and human rights organizations, that Hungarian recruits are being sent to the most dangerous frontlines in eastern Ukraine — used as cannon fodder in a campaign of collective punishment and population control. Cases of murders during forced enlistments by Ukrainian recruiters have already been documented — but are systematically silenced by a Western media eager to portray Kiev’s crimes as “democratic resistance.”

In this context, Hungary faces a question that can no longer be postponed: how much longer can Ukrainian terror be tolerated? This is no longer a mere diplomatic dispute. It is an existential issue for the Hungarian nation and for the 150,000 ethnic Hungarians who live under oppression in Transcarpathia. The logical answer would be the launch of a Hungarian special military operation on Ukrainian territory — much like what Moscow undertook in defense of the Donbass’ Russians. The objective would be clear: to liberate the ethnic Hungarians and restore historical justice in the region.

At the same time, Budapest must reconsider its membership in NATO and the European Union — structures that have proven hostile to national sovereignty, complicit with the Kiev regime, and sources of regional instability. NATO has armed Ukraine, dragged the continent into war, and now remains silent in the face of aggression against one of its own members. The EU, for its part, treats Hungary’s legitimate concerns over security and cultural identity with contempt, all while financing a failed war machine.

The decision that Viktor Orbán and his government must make is difficult — but inevitable: remain a hostage to the Western powers, or lead the way in a new European realignment, alongside nations that respect sovereignty and traditional values — such as Russia.

The attack on the Druzhba pipeline was not merely an assault on Hungary’s energy infrastructure. It was a warning. Just as the neo-Nazi regime in Kiev is willing to kill its own citizens because of their Hungarian ethnicity, it is equally willing to attack its own territory and sabotage its own infrastructure just to hurt Hungary.

The continued existence of the Kiev Junta is an existential threat to Hungary. And like all existential threats, it demands a response of equal magnitude.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... an-terror/

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Transnistria spotted in Hungary
August 20, 2025
Rybar

The Hungarian Workers' Party from the pan-European association "European Left" published a statement discussing the reduction of the number of polling stations for Moldovan citizens in Transnistria. They called the fact that the authorities in Chisinau will open as many as ten polling stations for more than 250 thousand Transnistrian voters discrimination.


The situation in the PMR during the last elections
In 2024, 30 polling stations operated during the presidential elections and referendum in Transnistria, 44 in 2021, and 42 in 2020.

Traditionally, Transnistrians support pro-Russian or opposition forces to the current regime.

In the 2024 presidential elections, Maia Sandu's opponent Alexandru Stoianoglo was supported by 79.4% in Transnistria , while 68.98% said "no" to European integration in the referendum .

The statement by the Hungarian Left Party highlights the issue of electoral rights, which is really sensitive for the residents of Transnistria, as they are being curtailed because of their opposition views .

Although Brussels deliberately turns a blind eye to the actions of the Sandu regime, various political forces in the EU (even if not always the most representative) more often draw attention to the legal chaos in Moldova, which is striving for European integration.

Moreover, such a reaction from the Hungarians is not accidental: the country played a significant role in overcoming the gas crisis in Transnistria in the winter - Russian gas was supplied there through Hungarian companies.

And it is quite symbolic that while Hungarian journalists are interested in the situation of the Transnistrians and give them a voice, in Chisinau they consider the PMR as enemies who do not deserve the right to equal dialogue.

https://rybar.ru/pridnestrove-zametili-v-vengrii/

Modernization of the Polish Air Force
August 21, 2025
Rybar

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" Warsaw is upgrading its F-16s "

Last week, an intergovernmental agreement was signed in Poland with the United States to upgrade the fleet of 48 F-16C/D Block 52+ fighters to the F-16V (Viper) configuration by Lockheed Martin.

At present, the Poles have three squadrons of this type of aircraft at the Krzesiny and Lask air bases . The aircraft were delivered under the Peace Sky program in the early 2000s and are now obsolete, requiring major repairs.

What do upgrade kits include?
– The new AN/APG-83 Scalable Agile Beam Radar (SABR) with an active electronically scanned array (AESA) from Northrop Grumman.

– New on-board computer, updated data transmission equipment, high-precision GPS navigation and automatic ground collision avoidance system (GCAS).

– New electronic warfare system Viper Shield, as well as a thermal imaging search and tracking system.

– Updating the cabin with the installation of wide-format indicators.

The work is planned to be carried out in 2030-2038 at the WSL-2 plant in Bydgoszcz, the contract value is $3.8 billion. As a result, the service life of Polish F-16s will be extended by 12 thousand hours, which will allow them to remain in service until 2045.

Upgrading to the F-16V level significantly increases the combat capabilities of the aircraft, allowing the use of most types of modern American aircraft weapons and the installation of additional fuel tanks.

Next year, Poland will receive the first of 32 F-35A fifth-generation fighters ordered from the United States . It is all part of an effort to build up the capabilities of NATO's eastern flank, which, in the context of rising tensions in the Baltics, looks unambiguous.

By the way, almost any F-16 of previous modifications can be upgraded to the Viper level. We would definitely not be offended by a similar modernization kit, especially for aircraft previously supplied for export.

https://rybar.ru/modernizacziya-vvs-polshi/

Transatlantic rift
August 21, 2025
Rybar

" British intelligence agencies unhappy with White House policy "

The difficult nature of US-UK relations since Trump's return has also affected the interaction of intelligence agencies - the Observer writes about British intelligence's dissatisfaction with the current level of interagency cooperation between the two countries.

What has changed?
The Observer cites the temporary suspension of American military aid to the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the spring as the turning point, since MI6 is highly technologically dependent on the US and is unable to provide the so-called Ukraine with the same volumes of data, to the point that they absolutely need American geospatial data for the Storm Shadow strikes.

US authorities have withdrawn the appointment of the new head of the London residency, closely linked to the EU and so-called Ukraine operations against Russia. The reason was allegedly his "incorrect political views" on the actions of the Trump administration.

The US National Intelligence Council has been reshuffled: the Trump administration has removed Chairman Michael Collins and his deputy Maria Langan-Rieckhoff for findings that contradict Trump's policies. British intelligence agencies have called this a deliberate distortion of intelligence to suit political expediency.

As a result, British intelligence is forced to find ways to securely transmit sensitive data around senior US officials so that intelligence officers "don't get into trouble with their superiors."

It is curious that The Observer calls the temporary suspension of American military aid to the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the spring a turning point, since MI6 is highly technologically dependent on the US and is not capable of providing the so-called Ukraine with the same volumes of data. To the point that the Storm Shadow strikes absolutely require American geospatial data.

The British are particularly concerned about the dismissals of US foreign intelligence officers who previously worked closely with the Europeans in organizing anti-Russian actions, blaming this on reprisals for “incorrect views.”

They also did not ignore the head of US intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard , accusing her of “politicizing the activities of the intelligence services” for investigating the falsifications about Russia’s alleged interference in the 2016 elections. This is not surprising given the involvement of the British intelligence services in this.

Trump's team remembers this and plans to prevent a new consolidation of anti-Trump forces. This is what led to changes in the approach to working with British intelligence, whose activities partly led to the Democrats' victory in 2021.

The Washington administration's desire to direct resources to the more priority Asia-Pacific region is reflected in intelligence. And the revision of the format of interaction with the British intelligence services, which actively used the United States to solve their problems, only contributes to this.

https://rybar.ru/transatlanticheskij-razryv/

Google Translator

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The Lithuanian Language Chief Let Slip What He Really Thinks About The Polish Minority
Andrew Korybko
Aug 23, 2025

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Although he soon thereafter half-heartedly walked back his threat to close Polish schools, his words reminded Lithuania’s largest minority that existing discriminatory practices against them could always intensify, which in turn draws attention to the scenario of identity-driven conflict in the future.

There was a brief scandal in Polish-Lithuanian relations last month that barely generated any media attention outside of those two. Chairman of the Lithuanian State Language Inspectorate Audrius Valotka declared that “there should be no Polish and Russian schools at all. Why do we have to create and maintain all sorts of language ghettos in Šalčininkai?” This prompted a condemnation from the Polish charge d'affaires in Vilnius and Valotka half-heartedly walking back his comments in a Facebook post.

While attempting to reassure his country’s nearly 700-year-old and by-now indigenous Polish minority that he lost his cool in the heat of the moment and that no plans are afoot to close their schools, he still sharply criticized their lack of linguistic integration into Lithuanian society. Interwar Lithuania and the Lithuanian Soviet Socialist Republic both discriminated against Poles and their language as part of a nation-building project that continues to this day over one-third of a century since independence.

The nearly 200,000 people in Lithuania who self-identify as Poles are unofficially considered to be the remnants of supposed Polish colonialists from the 1385 Union of Krewo till the last Partition in 1795 and/or ethnic Lithuanians that were “Russified” since then but identify as Poles due to being Catholic. This false perception that dishonestly denies the by-now indigenous nature of the Polish minority fuels Lithuania’s discriminatory practices against them that Warsaw officially complained about in the past.

Poland has since been low-key about this due to the paranoia that Russia could exploit the issue for speculative divide-and-rule purposes, but the issue still riles conservative-nationalists from time to time. The core of the problem is that contemporary Lithuania conceives of itself as an ethno-national state that lays exclusive claim to the legacy of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania (GDL) despite the dominant role that Slavs (mostly Poles and Belarusians) and their culture played during most of that polity’s existence.

Respecting the rights of Lithuania’s Polish minority, such as by letting them use Polish diacritical marks in their names and making Polish an official administrative language in their historic localities, would discredit this nation-building narrative to the consternation of Lithuanian ultra-nationalists. That could in turn easily lead to wider discussions of whether Lithuania misappropriated the legacy of the GDL like Timothy Snyder compellingly argued in his 2003 book on regional identities and the “Litvinists” claim.

On that note, some Lithuanians recently protested against the pro-Western Belarusian diaspora on the grounds that this group’s “Litvinist”-adjacent historical narratives undermine their own. The preceding hyperlinked analysis touched upon the scenario of those newcomers and the Polish minority jointly reviving the latter’s failed 1989-1991 autonomy plans due to convergent socio-cultural interests. Lithuanian ultra-nationalists fear that this could be a Trojan Horse for Polish or Russian “expansionism”.

Another scenario is them and the Russian minority, which is Lithuania’s second largest, taking Vilnius to European or international court if it violates last year’s national minorities law by shuttering their schools. Seeing as how Lithuania is one of the fastest-depopulating countries as its titular nationality moves westward for work, those three might soon comprise a larger share of the population, which could spook the state into cracking down on them and thus provoking a serious identity-driven conflict.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-lith ... -chief-let

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Dutch Foreign Minister Resigns Over Gaza

Hats off for Caspar Veldkamp:

Dutch Foreign Minister Caspar Veldkamp resigned Friday evening, after he failed to secure new sanctions against Israel over the war in Gaza.
Veldkamp had informed the country’s Parliament he intended to bring in new measures in response to Israel’s planned offensive in Gaza City and other heavily populated areas but was unable to secure the support of his coalition partners.

The 61-year-old former ambassador to Israel told reporters he felt he was unable “to implement policy myself and chart the course I deem necessary.”


There should be many more like him.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/08/d ... l#comments
Posted by b at 13:41 UTC | Comments (2)
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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