India

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Thu Jul 31, 2025 2:28 pm

Trump Is Hellbent On Derailing India’s Rise As A Great Power
Andrew Korybko
Jul 31, 2025

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If Trump’s tariffs don’t coerce India into becoming a US vassal, which the US would then exploit to coerce concessions from China in advance of its ultimate goal of restoring unipolarity, then he might settle for letting China subordinate India instead as part of the “G2”/“Chimerica” scenario.

Trump raged against India on Wednesday in a series of posts announcing his 25% tariff on its exports on the pretext of its trade barriers and close ties with Russia. He then announced an oil deal with Pakistan and predicted that “maybe they'll be selling Oil to India some day!” His final post described India’s economy as “dead” and claimed that “We have done very little business with India” despite it being the fastest-growing major economy in the world and bilateral trade amounting to nearly $130 billion in 2024.

India’s Ministry of Commerce & Industry calmly responded to Trump’s tariff announcement by reaffirming its commitment to talks and declaring that the state “will take all steps necessary to secure our national interest”, which likely infuriated him since he probably expected Modi to anxiously call him. The favorable trade deal that he clinched with Japan last week and the totally lopsided one with the EU that followed emboldened him into playing hardball with India upon thinking that it’ll fall into line too.

The US wants India to open its agricultural and dairy markets, stop its massive import of discounted Russian oil, and rapidly diversify away from Russian military equipment. Complying with the first demand would be disastrous for the 46% of the Indian workforce employed in these industries, however, while the second would risk decelerating its economic growth and the third would make its security dependent on the US. The end result would therefore derail India’s rise as a Great Power and turn it into a US vassal.

Trump is hellbent on doing precisely that, which is the continuation of Biden’s policy, as explained below:

* 13 December 2022: “Will The US Sell India Out To China To Sweeten The Deal For A Sino-American New Détente?”

* 14 May 2025: “There Might Be A Method To The Madness Of Trump Unexpectedly Damaging Indo-US Ties”

* 16 May 2025: “Trump’s Desired Return To Bagram Airbase Could Reshape South Asian Geopolitics”

* 7 June 2025: “The US Is Once Again Trying To Subordinate India”

* 13 July 2025: “The US-Pakistani Rapprochement Could Have Far-Reaching Geostrategic Consequences”

These analyses will now be summarized for the reader’s convenience and placed in the current context.

In brief, India’s Russian-assisted rise as a Great Power hastens the coming of tri-multipolarity that’ll in turn help midwife complex multipolarity, which would greatly reduce the likelihood of ever restoring US-led unipolarity or the short-lived period of informal Sino-US bi-multipolarity (“G2”/“Chimerica”). Russia’s special operation and the West’s reaction to it revolutionized International Relations and created the opportunity for India to make up for lost time in becoming a Great Power with truly global influence.

The US responded to these developments by attempting to subordinate India via election meddling, infowars, and dual geopolitical pivots to Bangladesh (whose prior long-serving leader it helped depose) and Pakistan to pile on the pressure in pursuit of this goal or to contain India if it still refuses to concede. Complementary elements of this pressure campaign include political support for Delhi-designated “Khalistani” separatists-terrorists and spring 2023’s violent ethno-religious unrest in Manipur.

If Trump’s tariffs don’t coerce India into becoming a US vassal, which the US would then exploit to coerce concessions from China in advance of its ultimate goal of restoring unipolarity, then he might settle for letting China subordinate India instead as part of the “G2”/“Chimerica” scenario. Either way, he doesn’t expect India’s rise as a Great Power to continue due to the zero-sum dilemma in which the tariffs were meant to place it between becoming the US’ or China’s vassal, but India might still surprise everyone.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/trump-is ... ing-indias

Leave it to Little Andy to shoehorn some Sinophobia at the least pretext. Watch where he goes when things get kinetic in the Tiawan Straits.
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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Tue Aug 05, 2025 2:14 pm

India to Continue Buying Russian Oil
August 5, 10:58

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Official response from the Indian Foreign Ministry to US threats to impose new trade duties on India over Russian oil purchases.

India will continue to buy Russian oil

India began purchasing from Russia after traditional supplies were diverted to Europe due to the war. At the time, the US itself was actively encouraging such imports from India in order to stabilize global energy markets.

It is significant that the countries that criticize India are themselves actively trading with Russia. Unlike India, this is not a vital measure for them. In 2024, the EU's trade turnover with Russia amounted to 67.5 billion euros. In addition, in 2023, the volume of trade in the services sector was estimated at 17.2 billion euros - significantly more than India's entire trade with Russia over the same period. EU imports of liquefied natural gas in 2024 reached a record 16.5 million tonnes, exceeding the previous maximum of 15.21 million tonnes in 2022. Trade between Europe and Russia includes not only energy resources, but also fertilizers, mining products, chemicals, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, as well as engineering and transport equipment.

As for the United States, they continue to buy uranium hexafluoride from Russia for their nuclear industry, palladium for the production of electric cars, fertilizers and chemicals.

Against this background, the pressure on India is unfounded and unfair. Like any large economy, India will take all necessary measures to protect its national interests and economic security. (c) Indian Foreign Ministry


In short, they sent Trump far and directly. Following China.

P.S. 2 days ago, Trump in his feverish fantasies declared on social networks that India has stopped buying Russian oil. The problem is inflated expectations.

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Wed Aug 06, 2025 1:54 pm

August 6, 2025 by M. K. BHADRAKUMAR
Trump is taunting India but is an emperor without clothes

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President Ronald Reagan (R) and CPSU General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev (L) signed the INF Treaty, White House, Washington, August 12, 1987

The American Nobel laureate Pearl S. Buck handed down to the aspirant-Nobel American president Donald Trump a golden maxim but he seems oblivious of it — although his life is made of a surfeit of fiction. She wrote in her gripping historical novel The Living Reed: A Novel of Korea, “It is easy to destroy but hard to create. Remember that, when you want to destroy something.”

Trump tore up two sacred covenants during his first presidency in 2018 out of sheer petulance or plain arrogance — the US-Iran nuclear deal [known as the JCPOA] and the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty [INF Treaty]. Both were catastrophic decisions stemming out of his campaign promises in 2015 and in both cases, he gave them the colouring of reactive decisions by putting the blame respectively on Iran and Russia on patently spurious grounds.

Trump tried to establish that Iran violated the JCPOA but Iranians scrupulously adhered to the treaty terms all the way till the US withdrawal, despite the coy refusal on the part of the Europe and the US’ to reciprocate, as expected of them.

Today, Trump is desperately keen to renegotiate the JCOPA but insists that Iran cannot have rights to enrich uranium as allowed under NPT. Trump ordered air/missile strikes to “obliterate” Iran’s nuclear sites while talking peace. Unsurprisingly, Iran refuses to hold talks with the US.

The ensuing impasse is fraught with dangerous consequences. Most experts anticipate an eruption of military conflict sooner rather than later. In a nutshell, Trump achieved nothing by destroying the JCPOA and in the process engendered a dangerous regional security climate.

When we look at Trump’s dismantling of the INF Treaty, an even more dismal picture emerges. The 1987 INF Treaty marked the first time the superpowers agreed to reduce their nuclear arsenals, eliminate an entire category of nuclear weapons, and employ extensive on-site inspections for verification. China criticised Trump’s unilateral move to bury the INF Treaty as an attempt to “seek military and strategic edge.”

Europeans were unhappy that they were not consulted by Trump although, as the then German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas put it, “a piece of Europe’s security has been lost.”

Trump move was predicated on the false notion that post-Soviet Russia was in no position to challenge the US and, therefore, the time had come to realise the elusive American dream of “nuclear superiority” that would establish US global hegemony in an American Century. When he abandoned the INF Treaty in 2018, Trump was only following the footfalls of his predecessors per the strategic calculus set by the US Deep State.

It is worthwhile to listen to an interview (below) by the Russia-hating late US senator John McCain with CNN some nine years ago that caught the spirt of the times. Curiously, McCain could foresee almost in its entirety the present-day proxy war in Ukraine within a complex Western strategy to dismember Russia — NATO build-up; Ukraine as the launching pad for bleeding Russia; weaponisation of western sanctions against Russia; disruption of Russia’s income from oil exports, etc.



Suffice to say, this hawkish interview by a pillar of the US Deep State will today be an eyeopener for the decision makers in Delhi, reminding them that history has far from ended.

Alas, the Indian discourses on what Trump is doing to the Modi government today ought to be seen as part of a big picture. On the contrary, a former foreign secretary deliberated on the paradigm as simply one of how to “stand up to Trump.” Aren’t we are making croaking sounds from a well and our left hand doesn’t even know what the right hand is doing?

India’s strategic community is blissfully unaware of the country’s first-ever participation in the US-led Talisman Sabre 2025 multilateral drills currently under way in Australia and Western Pacific. Put differently, a proper awareness is lacking that Russia’s oil trade with India is only one minor template of the West’s containment strategy against Russia — albeit a consequential one.

The Russian Foreign Ministry announced on 4th August 2025 that Moscow will no longer abide by its self-imposed moratorium on the deployment of ground-launched intermediate-range and short-range missiles(per INF Treaty), since Washington not only refuses to reciprocate with a similar moratorium but is doubling down on forward deployment and employment of such weapons.

The MFA statement in Moscow hardly received attention in Delhi — although India’s travails with Trump are quintessentially emanating from the developments in Eurasia. The Russian statement puts Talisman Sabre 2025 multilateral drills in proper perspective on the following lines:

“The United States and its allies have not only openly declared plans to deploy US ground-launched INF-range missiles in various regions, but have also made significant progress in the practical implementation of their intentions.
“Pentagon is forming and locating specialised units and commands in respective regions to enable the forward deployment and employment of such weapons; the requisite infrastructure is also being prepared to suit these purposes.
“With regard to the Asia-Pacific,…under the pretext of training activities, a Typhon mid-range missile system was… employed this July in Australia during live-fire exercises as part of the Talisman Sabre 2025 multilateral drills. In the course of these drills, the US military personnel also deployed a Dark Eagle hypersonic intermediate-range system, marking its first overseas appearance. It was openly declared that this deployment was undertaken “to project power”, as well as underscored that such systems are rapidly re-deployable.
Obviously, such weapon systems will be used as part of any integrated operations jointly planned by US and allied militaries within relevant alliances and coalitions.
“In aggregate, the above-mentioned steps of the collective West entail the formation and augmentation of destabilising missile capabilities in the regions adjacent to the Russian Federation, creating a direct threat to the security of our country.”
That said, Russians are having the last laugh. They have a perfect scenario now, thanks to Trump, to deploy their advanced Oroshnikov intermediate-range ballistic missile, characterised by its reported speed exceeding Mach 10 (12,300 km/hr) and multiple warheads, in the European theatre against which Pentagon has no defence. Putin has announced that Oreshnikov has entered serial production, which means its deployment will be keenly felt all over the world for a foreseeable future.

Trump’s burial of INF Treaty has turned out to be a strategic mistake of Himalayan proportions that is deeply troubling for thoughtful western expert opinion.

So, how does the strategic paradigm appear through the Indian looking glass? Simply put, Trump is berating Modi almost on daily basis that: i) he mediates India’s peace with Pakistan; ii) India contributes to Russia’s war effort in Ukraine by buying oil and weaponry from Russia; iii) US will impose punitive tariffs unless India terminates its business ties with Russia; and, iv) India must open its domestic market to American products or face curbs on its exports to the American market.

However, on the other hand, India and the US have collaborated through the past one-month period on launching a powerful satellite with a range of capabilities; are commencing joint production of GE Aerospace’s F414 jet engines in India for its combat aircraft; and, India is participating in a massive 3-week long military exercise in western Pacific that is geared to facilitate permanent deployment of advanced American missiles in Asia-Pacific and put in place a US-led alliance system and coalitions with regional states, which are directed against Russia.

With the Indian participation in Talisman Sabre 2025 drills, all four Quad countries are now on board the US’ grand strategy in western Pacific. Quad is transforming as a military alliance. Modi Govt should prepare well to give a rapturous welcome to Trump as he arrives for the Quad summit.

https://www.indianpunchline.com/trump-i ... t-clothes/

******

India's Being Taught a Lesson

Trump's Trade/Tariff War Stikes Again
Karl Sanchez
Aug 05, 2025

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Odd that I recently mused about not covering India very much, and now it’s the center of attention following Brazil. The geopolitical blowback from Trump’s actions quite likely will push India closer to China and ASEAN, and even closer to Russia if that’s possible. What IMO is a cunning short op/ed published by Global Times spells out the major mistakes Trump has made, and the lessons India must draw from them. I note similar words being written in other Chinese media and also voiced by Global South commentators. This is the time for BRICS to shine and show the world that it’s an association worth joining. Now for the op/ed:
Once warm and thriving, the US-India relationship is now taking a dramatic nosedive. On Monday local time, after a string of tariff threats, Washington once again vowed to raise tariffs on India over Russian oil purchases. India hit back on the same day, saying that "the targeting of India is unjustified and unreasonable," and that the country will "take all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests and economic security." This diplomatic chill is more than a mere trade spat - it underscores a collision between unilateral hegemony and a nation's pursuit of strategic autonomy or diplomatic balancing.

By the end of July, US announced a 25 percent tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil. Since then, the US has been steadily piling pressure on India.

How did US-India ties reach this point? Observers suggest that India's reluctance to open its market further to American agricultural products, in order to protect its local farmers, has stalled the US-India trade agreement. In response, the US government has adopted a strategy of leveraging India's energy ties with Russia as a pressure point, aiming to compel India to compromise. At the same time, since direct US economic pressure on Russia is limited by their small trade volume, Washington is now targeting New Delhi's close ties with Moscow to achieve two goals: punishing India while containing Russia.

Facing Washington's relentless pressure, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs pushed back by issuing a statement, condemning the US and Europe for their flip-flopping in trade-related issues and blatant double standards against India.

In summary, the statement argues that to ensure stable international energy supplies, the US initially encouraged India to buy Russian oil and that India's purchase of cheaper Russian oil serves its own interests. Meanwhile, those criticizing India, including the EU and the US, are themselves deeply involved in trading with Russia, so what right do they have to point fingers at India?

Is India's "mistake" really buying Russian oil, or simply not following US' orders? Behind this tariff battle lies a harsh reminder - India can be a "great friend," but only on the condition that it stays obedient. The moment India fails to meet US' strategic expectations, it instantly becomes expendable. Perhaps, to the US, India may have never been a guest at the table - only an item on the menu.

In recent years, India has tried to maintain strategic balance in geopolitics. This balancing act has offered India considerable diplomatic maneuvering room. But this strategy now clearly faces a harsh reality check—US' stubborn commitment to unilateral hegemony. What this reflects is a dangerous trend: with the US reviving Cold War-style bloc confrontations, "not taking a side" is equated with "picking the wrong side," and "neutrality" is seen as "disloyal."

In this direct clash between economic hegemony and strategic autonomy, what will happen next? At the very least, some Indians are beginning to see clearly: what they once believed to be a special relationship was nothing more than a one-sided illusion, and that relying on a hegemon who readily wields the stick and prefers coercion over dialogue can never bring true security or room to grow.

The opportunities ahead lie in steadfastly charting one's own course and in a multipolar world grounded in mutual respect, shared benefits, and win-win cooperation.
The Outlaw US Empire is trying to force India to buy GMO ag products which it has steadfastly refused to buy. I cited this issue in an earlier report about India. Essentially, the Empire along with the Collective West want India to continue paying tribute, which it can no longer afford to do while trying to further its development. Divide and Rule has long been applied to India, and it wants that to halt. But to halt it, India must become friends with all its neighbors, and its neighbors must return the effort. Institutions exist to facilitate such a new beginning. Partition can no longer be allowed to rule South Asia and making that reality will take lots of dedicated work. But what’s the alternative? India doesn’t want to be a door mat anymore. IMO, China wants to make the most of this opportunity to draw India closer. Trump can be counted on to keep pushing the issue. He won’t get his way, so I’ll wager terrorism increases dramatically in Kashmir in an attempt to restart the India-Pakistan conflict. So, this is really an important time when all South Asian nations need to see their shared interests and act upon them.

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/indias-b ... t-a-lesson
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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 07, 2025 1:58 pm

India did not bend
August 7, 8:55

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India did not bend

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will personally attend the upcoming SCO summit, which will be held in China. Despite all the existing disagreements in relations between China and India, the US pressure on Beijing and Delhi creates a rather interesting situation, when it may be easier for China and India to agree among themselves than with Washington. The weight of the economies of China and India is sufficient to act in a coordinated manner, to neutralize any American pressure. Let's see if pragmatism prevails in the context of the existing contradictions and border disputes in Ladakh.

Regarding the imposed US duties.

India will take all necessary measures to protect its national interests.
It is extremely regrettable that the US decided to impose additional duties on India for actions that a number of other countries are also taking, the Indian department noted.
India considers the US actions unfair, unfounded and unreasonable, (c) Indian Foreign Ministry

In addition, India demonstratively signed a new agreement on expanding economic partnership with Russia.

India and Russia sign protocol to expand industrial and technological cooperation
India and Russia confirm strategic partnership; protocol to expand cooperation in aluminum, fertilizers, railways and mining technologies signed.

In short, India is not the EU, it is not so easy to bend it. Even Brazil could not bend Trump. What can India and China do?
This only emphasizes the pitiful state of modern Europe. Well, thanks to Trump for pushing India closer to us.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9999709.html

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******

Trump’s secondary sanctions against India will backfire

Martin Jay

August 7, 2025

If India really is considering dumping Russia oil, this only harms U.S. interests and drives the BRICS model forwards at even a greater speed making Americans the biggest losers.

The announcement at a press conference with the British prime minister by Donald Trump that he was about to increase sanctions to Russia as well as roll out ‘secondary sanctions’ against countries which do business with Russia raised a few eyebrows. For those who wondered whether Trump even knew what secondary sanctions are – sanctions which punish countries which do business with the country which you are sanctioning directly yourself – there was some comfort. Trump knows well what they are as in his first term in office, he dished them out to Japan, China. South Korea and Turkey for buying oil from Iran. And they failed.

The problem with secondary sanctions is twofold. Firstly, they’re practically impossible to impose unless you exercise your hegemony to the point of threatening to go to war with the countries you’re targeting. The first time round, he pulled the U.S. out of the JCPOA – the so-called ‘Iran deal’ – which Obama had secured with the Iranians but found months later that China had simply ignored them and carried on buying its oil from Iran. Then the others followed.

And, secondly, when they do fail you look pretty stupid for trying and failing to impose them. Weak rather than strong.

The problem for Trump is that he really should be careful what he wishes for. While it’s true to say that the current sanctions he has imposed have put more money into the Fed as consumers pay higher costs buying the same products, it harms and threatens local business as there is less cash about and so the demise in confidence has a knock-on effect. While it is also true that some big companies in Japan and Germany have relocated to the U.S. to offset them, the blueprint that Trump has – to create new jobs in manufacturing – is woefully out of touch with today’s economy. Manufacturing these days is done with robots.

There is really very little original joined-up thinking with Trump’s obsession with tariffs or sanctions. There is very little about international trade and politics he understands, but he believes tariffs or are a quick fix solution for the U.S. getting a fairer deal with countries around the world who have restricted U.S. goods into their markets for decades, like India. Yet his own hubris here is worrying. What he is trying to do is to devalue the dollar so that both U.S. companies get an edge with their export markets – as their goods would be cheaper – while trying to sustain, if not increase, America’s hegemony. The problem with this bold plan is its timing and its lack of originality. In 1971, Richard Nixon did exactly the same thing when he tried to rebalance the grotesque size of the dollar economy around the world verses a declining local manufacturing base – what some economists call the parasite which is five times the size of the animal which it has attached itself to. During that scary period, one of Nixon’s top people told the Europeans “it’s our dollar but it’s your problem”.

There is scant evidence that such a stunt can be pulled off again though in the multilateral world we live in. America simply doesn’t have the clout that it used to have although it’s easy to understand why he can still succeed with such a scheme when the EU rolled over and let him have a 15% tariff on their goods.

The Global South countries – which are expanding BRICS at an alarming rate – have more political and economic clout. They have leaders who put the pusillanimity of Ursula von der Leyen in a correct light – the EU is a super elitist globalist power base and very little to do with European citizens – and won’t be pushed around any more by the U.S.

Russia has proved that it can resist the U.S. and its sanctions by adapting its business practice and galvanising more lucrative trade with BRICS countries, while still selling oil to whomever it wants. A lot of Russian oil is bought by India and resold, often to countries whose citizens are woefully ignorant of the top dollar they are paying, like the UK. Trump believes this is how to hit Russia hard by bullying countries like India but such a move, if it succeeds in India, will only accelerate even more the process of homogenisation of BRICS countries while pushing more global countries to join it. If Indian firms are hit with a ‘super tariff’ or ‘secondary sanctions’ they may well go the full nine yards and simply forget about the U.S. market entirely; if they decide to weather the storm, again, more money will be taken away from millions of Americans draining liquidity and scaring U.S. firms who operate there while Modi does what everyone does when his with secondary sanctions on oil: work out an ingenious solution to keep buying the oil, albeit on a surreptitious basis.

And is Trump going to impose secondary sanctions on even European countries who brazenly import oil or gas from Russia, like Hungary, Italy, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Belgium? Some of the elites in these countries are worried about how their exports to the U.S. are even going to be sold with a new 15% tariff anyway.

Unlikely. India will be the target, the example to the world that the U.S. can flex its muscles. But India has some pretty powerful allies around the world who might rally to its aid, like Brazil, South Africa, China (and, of course, Russia) and such sanctions will almost certainly accelerate the process of BRICS expanding and it creating its own currency, central bank and banking platform – while others continue with ‘dollar dumping’ (where central banks of Global South countries sell their dollar reserves for a basket of other global currencies). Worse, and one aspect which shows that Trump is really gambling with the future of the U.S. economy – and in particular his blue collar support base – is the risk of a number of countries who start to lose confidence in U.S. debt which, in broad terms, is around 40 trillion dollars. About 20 percent of that is in U.S. treasury bonds, with Japan holding the most at 1 trillion dollars. If Japan were to decide that this bond is not so secure and might even lose its value, they might decide to sell it – but sell it to poorer countries or even at a fraction of its real worth, which would undermine the global confidence the U.S. has with its debt. It’s still America’s dollar, but it’s still the rest of the world who supports it. But for how long? Taking on Russia simply to nurse his own insecurities and foibles seems like playing Russian roulette. But trying to destroy Russia’s economy through secondary sanctions? Make that Russian roulette with all six chambers with a round in. Don’t worry about BRICS though as Trump has a solution for that. Yes, you’ve guessed it. More tariffs.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... -backfire/
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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Fri Aug 08, 2025 3:31 pm

August 8, 2025 by M. K. BHADRAKUMAR
India’s existential angst to confront Western imperialism

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The U.S. President Donald Trump ruled out the possibility of trade negotiations with India until the issue of tariffs is resolved, White House, Washington, August 7, 2025

Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s remark on Wednesday that the US tariff hike is unlikely to have any “major impact” on India’s economy, “subject to retaliatory tariffs coming into the picture, which we do not foresee” — and that even if India cuts back on Russian oil, the impact on domestic inflation may not be severe — can only be seen as a supplementary effort to allay public disquiet.

However, it brings to light the lack of clarity in India about President Donald Trump’s intentions.

Any assumption that this is a Trumpian temper-tantrum lacks credibility. What if in the hunting ground, Trump is far from a lone ranger ? What if he represents the Deep State and is only pursuing a concerted Western agenda dating back by decades?

In a somewhat similar situation during 2014-2022, when the Biden administration sought to corner Russia and force it into a bear trap, the entire collective West rallied behind the US leadership. Can anyone guarantee that the developing situation can be any different? These are early days.

To my mind, Trump is captaining the ship which is threatened by an immovable iceberg, and the entire NATO family is on board. Arguably, his compass has been pre-set even before was elected for a second term. Wasn’t the NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte the first western leader to raise his voice in an exceptionally harsh cadence that Modi Govt was hobnobbing with Putin?

Make no mistake, Rutte didn’t mince words when he addressed PM Modi personally while talking to reporters in Washington on July 17 as he was walking to Capitol Hill soon after a closed-door meeting with Trump in Oval office.

Rutte said, “President Trump said that if Russia is not serious about peace talks within 50 days, he will slam secondary sanctions on countries like India, China and Brazil. So my encouragement to these three countries particularly is, if you live now in Beijing, or in Delhi, or you are the president of Brazil, you might want to take a look into this, because this might hit you very hard.”

Rutte added, “So please make the phone call to Vladimir Putin.”

He then went on to announce that the US will now supply Ukraine with weapons “not just air defence, also missiles, also ammunition, paid for by the Europeans.”

Did he leave anything to our imagination in his rude remark? Two Indian cabinet ministers responded alright, but in retrospect, Rutte was only articulating Trump’s talking points.

The stakes are so high that a Russian victory in Ukraine will most likely finish off NATO, expose the US as a toothless tiger and render the Europeans orphans living under the tutelage of Russia.

Can Trump accept such a humiliating presidential legacy? Conversely, will Putin allow NATO to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat or be party to scripting Trump’s triumphalist legacy of having defeated Russian aggression? Please do take note that the word “aggression” reappeared more than once in the White House website this week just the way Biden would have wanted.

Simply put, the western agenda to inflict a “strategic defeat” on Russia is still a work in progress and the containment and weakening of Russia is an absolute prerequisite of the situation for NATO. And, for Trump, without NATO underpinning, how would he fortify American hegemony on the world stage, which is under siege?

Indeed, conceptual clarity is crucial that the project that Trump has initiated to clip Modi’s wings is scripted by the US Deep State and NATO. Macron, Starmer, Merz, Meloni — none of them has stepped forward to speak a kind word for India. The sooner we understand this stark reality, the better prepared we will be in the coming period when the summer turns to autumn and to winter.

Lest it gets forgotten, Russia also took things easy until things became bloody serious and the West simply confiscated Russian reserves in the western banks.

Let us hope things may not come to such a pass. That said, in the western perception, Modi is susceptible to pressure (for whatever reasons) and is one of those Global South satraps who will compromise when the chips are down.

Part of the blame lies with our own sheepish behaviour. After all, didn’t India lose enthusiasm for BRICS? Trump understands that the spectre of a BRICS currency will not arise so long as India doggedly blocks it.

Again, why is G7 pampering Indian vanity? And it is working. A last-minute invite relayed on phone was all that was needed for PM to drop everything and rush to Kananaskis for the G7 summit.

This time around, the collective West, led by Trump, is determined to institutionalise India’s subaltern role in international politics. Trump is determined to smash to smithereens Indian pretensions of “strategic autonomy” and independent foreign policy.

There must be conceptual clarity while formulating an effective Indian response to the looming Western threat to the country’s sovereignty and Trump’s attempt to make India a horrible example in the eyes of the Global South.

The real problem for Modi will be the internal opposition to any radical rethink in India’s foreign policies and jettisoning of the pro-Western tilt with a view to give authenticity to its doctrine of strategic autonomy. The moral fibre of the Indian elite has become so weak that a life that doesn’t allow hanging out with the Western world is simply unthinkable for them. This was also Putin’s problem in some ways, but where Russia scores is that it has a deeply embedded collective consciousness of Western predators through the past millennium since the great schism in the Christian church.

When it comes to America, the Indian elite see it as a home away from home. Unsurprisingly, Modi chose agriculture, diary and fishery sectors (which are of course a massive vote-bank) to assert his government’s grit to stand up to pressure from US negotiators at the ongoing trade talks, but left out geopolitics altogether, which is what is motivating Trump.

The need of the hour at the leadership level is a Hobbesian advocacy of absolute sovereignty as the only kind of government for India that could resolve problems caused by the selfishness of human beings. Gandhiji would not have hesitated a moment in existential angst if confronted with Western imperialism.

https://www.indianpunchline.com/indias- ... perialism/

*****

Trump raises tariffs on India to 50%, Delhi calls move “unjustified and unreasonable”

Opposition groups, trade and farmers’ unions demanded the government of India explore alternative international mechanisms, such as the BRICS, to counter US imperialist moves

August 07, 2025 by Abdul Rahman

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President Donald Trump hosts Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi on February 13, 2025. Photo: White House

India’s Ministry of External Affairs objected to US President Donald Trump’s announcement on Wednesday, August 6, raising the total tariffs on imports from the country to 50%. It called the move “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable” and vowed to take the necessary actions to protect India’s national interest.

“We have already made clear our position on these issues, including the fact that our imports are based on market factors and done with the overall objective of ensuring the energy security of 1.4 billion people of India,” India’s MEA said in response to Trump’s claims that the additional 25% tariffs announced on Wednesday were in fact a “penalty” for India importing oil and weapons from Russia.

Last week, Trump had announced a 25% tariff on Indian imports and warned of an additional “penalty” over India buying Russian oil and weapons, without specifying the rate until the Wednesday announcement.

The US administration had claimed that by buying its oil and weapons from Russia, India has emerged as a major supporter of the war in Ukraine.

India’s MEA tried to defuse the accusations by arguing that several other countries, including some in the EU also continue to trade with Russia. “It is extremely unfortunate that the US should choose to impose additional tariffs on India for actions that several other countries are also taking in their own national interest,” India said.

The 25% tariffs imposed last week are effective from August 1, while the additional tariffs announced on Wednesday will take effect August 28.

The 21-day period is seen as a window for a possible negotiated resolution.

With the announcements on Wednesday, India became, alongside Brazil, the country facing the highest tariff under Trump’s so-called reciprocal tariff regime announced in April this year.

Last year, India had a trade surplus of USD 46 billion with the US, the total volume of which was just above USD 190 billion. The US is India’s second largest trading partner after China.

Sticking points
Trump’s imposition of high tariffs against India is also attributed to the failure of both countries to reach a trade deal before the August 1 deadline. This is despite the fact that India was one of the first countries to start trade negotiations with the Trump administration in February during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the country.

The US has accused India of using strong protectionist measures to prevent US companies from doing business in several crucial sectors in India, claiming that India imposes one of “the highest tariff rates in the world”.

Since the beginning of the talks, India has reduced tariffs on Bourbon Whisky and motorcycles imported from the US and proposed to reduce tariffs on other industrial products to zero, as per a report in Reuters.

Industrial products are the largest components of India’s imports from the US and accounted for almost 40% of its total value last year.

India has also agreed to buy more energy and defense products from the US.

However, as per reports, the US has insisted that India open its dairy and agriculture sectors and reduce the high tariffs on them. These are the key sticking points in the trade negotiations.

Given the strong domestic opposition in India against such moves, the Modi government finds it difficult to open the dairy and agriculture sectors to US companies. Farmers groups and left parties have already expressed their anger over India’s trade deal with the UK, claiming it surrenders the interests of millions of farmers and warned against any such deal with the EU and the US.

Modi, while speaking in an event in Delhi on Thursday, claimed that his government will “never compromise on the wellbeing of its farmers, dairy and fishermen.”

It is already clear that if the 50% tariff remains it will negatively affect several industrial sectors in India, particularly the clothes, gems and jewelry, and pharmaceuticals, which mostly thrive because of their cost effectiveness, experts have argued. This may compromise millions of jobs.

Reuters reported that several Indian industries have already expressed fear that their sectors may not be able to endure such high tariffs and have sought help from the state.

Imperialist move must be resisted
Several opposition groups, such as the Indian National Congress (INC), the left parties, such as Communist Party of India (Marxist), various trade union groups, including Centre for Indian Trade Unions (CITU), and farmer’s unions like the Samyukta Kisan Morcha (SKM), issued statements condemning Trump’s move. Most of them called it a “weaponization of tariffs for imperialist gains” and urged the Indian government to resist it by consolidating existing global alternatives, such as the BRICS.

“The US imposition of additional 25% of tariffs threatening India to discontinue the oil imports from Russia directly or indirectly, exposes the ugly face of imperialism and its hell-bent bid to undermine the sovereignty and solemn rights of India to have independent trade relations in accordance with its national interests,” CITU said in a press release on Thursday.

CITU criticized the Indian government’s failure to adequately respond to the US threats in a timely manner, urging it to work to consolidate the available alternative international mechanisms, such as the BRICS, to “counter the US and its imperialist designs”.

CPI (M) called for demonstrations across the country “against US bullying and in defense of our country’s economic sovereignty”.

“The US is abusing its economic and military might to impose an unjust and chaotic world order thus targeting India. India cannot surrender its sovereignty to please the US,” said SKM, demanding the government take the people of India into confidence to build a united resistance against the “imperialist tactics” of the US.

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/08/07/ ... easonable/

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New Delhi between sanctions and sovereignty

Lucas Leiroz

August 8, 2025

In the face of the instrumentalization of fentanyl as a pretext for coercion, New Delhi strengthens ties with Moscow and reopens dialogue with Beijing

In a world where the international order is increasingly shaped by the struggle between a declining unipolarity and an emerging multipolarity, sanctions have become the main weapon of a superpower that can no longer dictate the course of global affairs by consensus. What was once an exception — economic punishment against states clearly involved in illegal activities or blatant violations of international norms — has become a systemic, arbitrary, and politically motivated practice. And India is now the latest target of this coercive apparatus that defines the foreign policy of the United States.

The repeated use of sanctions by Washington reveals, above all, the exhaustion of its diplomatic capacity. Instead of building bridges with strategic partners, the U.S. chooses to punish, isolate, and sabotage any country that dares to follow an autonomous path.

Sanctions policy as a mechanism of domination

U.S. unilateral sanctions — almost always imposed outside the UN Security Council and in defiance of international law — have become a systematic policy of intimidation. Iran, Cuba, Syria, North Korea, Venezuela, Russia, and China have been the most well-known targets. But the list keeps growing. And India, previously seen as a potential Western ally in the Indo-Pacific, is now beginning to feel the weight of this punitive system.

The logic is simple: the U.S. identifies an “unacceptable” behavior — such as India’s refusal to join the sanctions against Russia — and from there constructs a narrative to justify pressure measures. It could be the defense of “human rights,” the “fight against terrorism,” or, as is now being done with India, the “war on drugs.” The content of the narrative is secondary; what matters is the effect: to break the sovereignty of the targeted country and force it to align with Washington’s foreign policy.

India: the new frontier of coercion

In recent days, Donald Trump has announced sanction packages of up to 50% against India, citing the “need” to punish trade partners of the Russian Federation. These coercive measures came after months of open threats toward India — some directly referencing the Indo-Russian partnership, others hiding behind the mask of the “fight against fentanyl.”

Although the recently announced sanctions are explicitly directed at Indo-Russian energy trade, there’s no guarantee that the U.S. will abandon the fentanyl rhetoric altogether. The “drug control” excuse may easily be revived at any moment to impose further sanctions on New Delhi, especially considering that this was Washington’s initial justification before Trump finally admitted the real motive: punishing India for its ties with Russia.

It must be emphasized that what brought India into Washington’s sanction crosshairs was not any real connection to fentanyl trafficking, but rather its strategic resilience in the face of Western efforts to isolate Russia. Since 2022, India has maintained firm energy and military cooperation with Moscow, refusing to take part in the U.S. and EU-led anti-Russian crusade. This pragmatic position — based on Indian national interests rather than ideological dogma — deeply irritated the Washington establishment.

In response, the U.S. began floating the idea that chemical exports from India could be diverted for fentanyl production — a claim made without solid evidence, but politically convenient. In a classic move, they attempt to turn a country with no proven role in fentanyl trafficking into part of the “drug problem,” paving the way for tariffs and trade restrictions.

This is Washington’s new modus operandi: transform internal crises — in this case, the collapse of the U.S. healthcare system and the opioid epidemic — into diplomatic weapons to force other nations to serve its strategic interests.

Rapprochement with Russia and China: India’s geopolitical response

In the face of this escalation, India appears to have understood the game — and is beginning to react astutely. Not only has it maintained and expanded its agreements with Russia, but it has also signaled a renewed openness to dialogue with China, having Prime Minister Modi announced a visit to Beijing.

This is a geopolitically significant move. India and China have long had a tense relationship, especially concerning the Himalayan border. But in the face of a common enemy — the global regime of unilateral sanctions that threatens the sovereignty of both — realism is starting to prevail. India already plays an active role in forums such as BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and the G20, but now signals a willingness to deepen its coordination with both Beijing and Moscow.

This marks the emergence of a “new” strategic triangle in the Global South — not based on ideological affinity, but on a shared need to resist the economic coercion promoted by the West. India is not becoming an automatic ally of China, but rather a situational partner in building a multipolar order, where the right to chart one’s own path is no longer subject to Washington’s approval.

Fragmentation of the global system and alternatives to the dollar

This strategic reconfiguration is happening in parallel with the fragmentation of the global financial system. As more countries begin operating outside the SWIFT system, pursue bilateral trade agreements in local currencies, and strengthen alternative development banks, the power of unilateral sanctions is beginning to erode. India has already signed agreements with Russia, Iran, and the UAE to trade in rupees, bypassing the U.S. dollar. BRICS+, with the potential creation of a common currency, is moving in the same direction.

By abusing sanctions as a tool, Washington is accelerating this process. In its attempt to maintain control, it ends up stimulating the formation of new centers of economic and diplomatic power — exactly the opposite of its intended outcome.

The end of the American consensus

The attempt to punish India over a crisis that is, above all, the result of domestic failure in the U.S., is not only an act of hypocrisy but also a major strategic miscalculation. Instead of isolating India, the U.S. is driving it deeper into multilateral frameworks that challenge Western hegemony.

New Delhi has made it clear it will not be turned into a geopolitical vassal. India is a civilizational power with its own interests and will not hesitate to forge partnerships — even with historical rivals — if it means securing strategic autonomy.

Sanctions, once presented as instruments of international justice, have become the primary mechanism for imposing a failed global order — one that seeks to preserve historical privileges at the expense of national sovereignty. The economic attacks on India over its strategic ties with Russia are just one example of this broader reality.

But a new world is taking shape. A world where countries like India, Russia, and China are building bridges over ruins — converging not out of ideological alignment, but from the urgent need to resist the systemic coercion of a declining empire. National sovereignty, more and more, will be asserted not through submission, but through coordinated resistance to the language of sanctions.

India understands this. And by responding with dignity and pragmatism, it shows that the path to strategic independence necessarily involves rejecting the arbitrary use of sanctions as a weapon of economic warfare. The multipolar world is under construction — and there is no room in it for domination disguised as moralism.

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Mon Aug 11, 2025 2:01 pm

India’s opposition claims 2024 national elections were rigged

In the national elections held in April-June last year, ultra-right-wing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) came back to power for the third consecutive term despite large scale popular resentment and strong opposition unity.

August 08, 2025 by Abdul Rahman

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Rahul Gandhi addressed a massive gathering at Freedom Park, Bengaluru, alleging electoral manipulation by the BJP in collusion with the Election Commission. Photo: INCIndia

India’s main political opposition party, the Indian National Congress (INC), claims that last year’s national elections were stolen by the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), in collaboration with the Election Commission of India (ECI).

Rahul Gandhi, leader of the INC, made formal allegations of voter fraud in a press conference in Delhi on Thursday, August 7, and demanded immediate intervention by the judiciary to correct what is being called the destruction of the democracy in the country.

“I want the nation to know that there is a huge criminal fraud being perpetrated on this country. It is being done by the Election Commission [of India] and the party in power” and the judiciary must intervene as “democracy that we love so much does not exist” in India anymore.

Gandhi demonstrated discrepancies in the country’s electoral rolls and claimed they represent deliberate manipulation done to shape electoral results in favor of the ruling party. He claimed that apart from the national elections, which were held in April-June last year, BJP has also used similar methods to win several state legislative elections such as in Maharashtra, Haryana, and Madhya Pradesh.

Gandhi claimed that ECI used various methods to prepare fake voters in certain constituencies to turn the electoral defeat into victory, which was later covered with the use of pro-government media.

The ruling BJP rejected the claims made by Gandhi, calling them misleading and an expression of “selective outrage”.

The ECI has made no formal statements on the issue so far. However, state election commissions from Maharashtra and Karnataka have asked Gandhi to make a formal complaint as Gandhi cited various examples from these two states to establish his claims.

Following Gandhi’s press conference, most parties of the opposition coalition Indian National Democratic Inclusive Alliance (INDIA) supported his claims and demanded immediate and thorough investigation into the allegations.

ECI must be held accountable
The BJP, which has been in power since 2014, won a third straight term in office despite losing its majority in the Lok Sabha (popularly elected lower house of the Indian parliament) during the last national elections held in April-June 2024. It was able to form the government with the support of other smaller alliance partners.

The opposition had raised serious questions about the way the ECI had conducted the elections at the time as well. They had particularly complained about the ECI’s failure to observe long-held conventions such as maintaining transparency about the poll process.

Several complaints of voter suppression were also raised by the opposition during the elections.

Gandhi and several other opposition leaders and experts expressed apprehension after the results were announced. They called the results surprising given the level of popular resentment against the BJP’s decade-long rule.

Gandhi claimed it took his party so long after the elections to reach the conclusion that “the 2024 Lok Sabha election was rigged” because of the non-cooperation of the ECI, which repeatedly refused to provide them access to the necessary information.

Gandhi claimed that the ECI, through fraud and manipulation, was able to secure victory for the BJP in over two dozen crucial constituencies without which it would have been impossible for the prime minister Narendra Modi to come back to power.

Gandhi’s call for investigation and judicial intervention were backed by several other opposition leaders.

Akhilesh Yadav, leader of the Samajwadi (“Socialist”) Party, claimed that the BJP does not believe in equality provided by India’s constitution and wants to deprive the majority of their right to elect their government.

“Startling revelations have been made by the LoP [Leader of the Opposition]. The Election Commission owes an explanation to the nation. The credibility of the ECI is foremost in an electoral democracy,” said M A Baby, general secretary of the Communist Party of India (Marxist).

INC and some of its allies also organized protest demonstrations inside at various places demanding immediate investigation. The parties in the opposition alliance have decided to call for public action against the ECI in the coming days.

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 14, 2025 3:09 pm

India Defied US Pressure To Dump Russia For These Five Reasons
Andrew Korybko
Aug 13, 2025

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The common denominator is India’s rivalry with China.

Trump recently made a show of doubling his 25% tariffs on India as punishment for its continued purchase of Russian energy and military-technical equipment. Influenced by Lindsey Graham, he expected that India would dump Russia after the costs of doing business with it spiked, the Kremlin would thus lose this important foreign revenue flow, and then Putin would make concessions to Ukraine in exchange for lifting these secondary sanctions in to avoid bankruptcy. Here’s why India defied the US:

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1. The “Voice Of The Global South” Can’t Bow To US Demands

India has presented itself as the “Voice of the Global South” since it hosted the first of these namesake summits in January 2023. It’s sought to play this role by virtue of being the most populous among them, commanding the largest economy of them all, and having the fast-growing one too. India is also one of the founders of the Non-Aligned Movement. If it bows to US demands, then it’ll cede leadership of the Global South to China, which India doesn’t consider to be part of this category of countries anymore.

2. Discounted Russian Energy Accelerates India’s Economic Rise

India is the world’s fastest-growing major economy and on pace to become the third-largest by 2028 due in no small part to its massive import of discounted Russian energy. Not only would India scramble to replace Russia’s one-third share of its oil supplies, which would lead to a surge in global prices that would decelerate its growth, but Russia would probably sell more oil to China at an even steeper discount to replace some of its lost revenue. That would be doubly bad for India’s objective interests.

3. India Can’t Defend Itself From China & Pakistan Without Russia

Most of India’s military equipment is still Soviet/Russian despite the decade-long trend of diversifying its defense suppliers and promoting indigenous production. India is therefore still reliant on Russian ammo and spare parts. Accordingly, it wouldn’t be able to defend itself from China and Pakistan without Russia, which is an unacceptable position to be in. In fact, some in India might suspect that the US wants to leave them at their mercy, perhaps as part of a Machiavellian deal to contain or even dismember India.

4. Trump Is Hellbent On Derailing India’s Rise As A Great Power

Building upon the above, this eponymous analysis here explains Trump’s geostrategic machinations vis-à-vis India as of late, which are predicated on subordinating it as vassal state. Frankly speaking, India is rising too fast and becoming too independent of a force to be reckoned with in global affairs for the US’ comfort, which fears that this will hasten the decline of its unipolar hegemony. Attempting to place India in a permanent position of dependence and vulnerability is one way to possibly avert this scenario.

5. India Can’t Allow Russia To Become China’s “Junior Partner”

The earlier points contextualize this one by highlighting the importance that Russia plays in India’s grand strategy. Even if India maintained military-technical ties with Russia, if it curtailed or cut off oil imports, then Russia would still likely become China’s “junior partner” due to the even greater economic-financial role that China would play for it. That could lead to the dangerous scenario of China pressuring Russia to curtail or cut off arms, ammo, and spares to India, thus placing it at China’s and Pakistan’s mercy.

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As can be seen, the common denominator between these five reasons why India defied US pressure to dump Russia is its rivalry with China, which India calculated would inevitably benefit if it complied. The grand strategic costs of allowing that to happen are considered to be much greater than the financial ones imposed by the US. In fact, the US might even lift some of the latter as part of a compromise with Russia during the upcoming Putin-Trump Summit, which would be an indisputable victory for India.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/india-de ... re-to-dump

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Mon Aug 18, 2025 1:56 pm

US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India & China Back Together
Andrew Korybko
Aug 18, 2025

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Any meaningful improvement of Sino-Indo ties, especially in the economic dimension, could prompt Trump to either walk back his hardline policy on India to court it away from China or punitively double down on this approach.

The pretext upon which Trump recently doubled tariffs on India to 50% was its continued trade with Russia, which India has refused to curtail for the five reasons explained here, yet it turns out that the US-Russian trade increased by 20% since he returned to office. This was confirmed by Putin himself during his remarks to the press after he met Trump for three-hour-long talks in Anchorage late last week. Leading Indian media NDTV and others then drew attention to this blatant double standard.

No doubt should therefore remain about how hellbent Trump is on derailing India’s rise as a Great Power. The real reason why he doubled tariffs on India wasn’t due to its continued trade with Russia, but to coerce it into opening up its agricultural and dairy markets to American imports. He might also have expected that displaced workers, and some of the 46% of the population employed in these industries would indeed lose their livelihoods, could then become low-cost factory labor for US companies.

Even if Trump is only driven by economic motives in this regard, his permanent policymaking bureaucracy (“deep state”) likely has more sinister ones such as weaponizing the large-scale socio-political unrest that would inevitably follow massive unemployment among Indian farmers. No self-respecting leader could accept these consequences and that’s why Prime Minister Narendra Modi pledged during his speech on India’s Independence Day to support his country’s agricultural industry.

It was little wonder then that NDTV cited sources to report shortly thereafter that a US trade team’s visit to India in late August has been called off and will likely be rescheduled for an as-yet unknown date. Several days prior, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly called on the EU to emulate his country’s “secondary sanctions, or secondary tariffs, on India because of their consumption of Russian oil”. The EU still purchases Russian energy, however, so any such sanctions/tariffs would be as hypocritical as the US’.

Nevertheless, seeing as how the EU just subordinated itself as the US’ largest-ever vassal state via their lopsided trade deal, it can’t be ruled out that it’ll follow its patron’s lead. The combined effect of major US and EU tariffs on India could decelerate its growth, which is the fastest in the world, but the socio-political consequences would still be more manageable than if it opened its agricultural and dairy markets to their exports. India might thus soon recalibrate its multi-alignment policy accordingly.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi is in India for the first time in three years to discuss their unresolved border dispute that’s toxified bilateral ties since their lethal clashes in summer 2020. Modi will then visit Tianjin at the end of the month for the SCO leaders’ summit. India’s worsening ties with the West, first the US and perhaps soon also the EU, might thus serve as the catalyst for taking its incipient rapprochement with China even further through the resumption of border trade as reported.

Any meaningful improvement of Sino-Indo ties, especially in the economic dimension (which might first require making progress on resolving their border dispute), could prompt Trump to either walk back his hardline policy on India to court it away from China or punitively double down on this approach. The first could help repair their ties even though India’s trust in the US might remain shattered while the second could turbocharge multipolar processes. Observers should therefore keep a very close eye on all of this.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/us-press ... ntly-bring

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Pressure from progressives forces Indian authorities to allow protest against Israel’s genocide in Gaza

The Bombay High court had previously agreed with police version of terming the pro-Palestinian protests illegal and even questioned organizer’s patriotism for protesting over an issue which can harm India’s interest.

August 14, 2025 by Abdul Rahman

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Solidarity rally with Palestine at Jantar Mantar. Photo: P V Sujith

After facing popular resistance and a considerable court battle, the police in India’s major city of Mumbai have finally withdrawn its objections to a pro-Palestinian protest and granted the required permissions on Tuesday, August 12.

As per reports in the media, the Bombay High court, which had previously agreed with the police’s denial of permission, accepted the revised position of the police, allowing Communist Party of India (Marxist) to proceed with the protest at Azad Maidan in the city on August 20.

CPI (M) welcomed the court’s decision to accept the police’s revised stand, claiming it “vindicates the correctness of CPI (M) stand and nullifies court’s own earlier ill remarks and earlier anti-democratic refusal of police.”

The Mumbai police detained most of the state’s leaders, who are part of various left-wing, progressive, and opposition parties, in order to derail the protest in solidarity with Palestine originally scheduled for June 19. They labeled the protest illegal and used force to disperse participants gathered near Azad Maidan at the time.

Later, CPI (M) filed a petition which was dismissed by the Bombay High court. While dismissing its petition, the court even questioned the patriotism of the party leadership accusing it of organizing protests on issues which may harm India’s foreign policy interests.

The court, at the time, deemed CPI (M)’s protest against the Israeli genocide of Palestinians in Gaza irrelevant and instead “suggested” it organize protests on issues which immediately concern people in the country, such as “garbage dumping, pollution, sewerage and flooding”.

The court’s actions in July caused large-scale outrage among activists, who called it yet another example of the Indian government’s submission to Israeli interests and its abandonment of the country’s independent foreign policy.

The ultra-right-wing government under Narendra Modi in India has been repeatedly accused of abandoning the country’s long standing pro-Palestinian stance, since it came to power in 2014.

Since the outbreak of the Israeli war on Gaza on October 7, 2023, the Indian government has on several occasions voted against resolutions demanding an immediate ceasefire and better delivery of humanitarian aid in the UN. It has used coercion at home to suppress pro-Palestinian voices and demonstrations.

Israeli ambassador’s lies provokes outrage
Meanwhile, a section of Indians expressed their outrage against an Israeli ambassador’s public rebuttal to one of the country’s leading members of parliament after she took to X to criticize the Israeli killing of Palestinian journalists and called the Israeli war in Gaza a genocide.

People demanded that the government of India take immediate action against the Israeli ambassador Reuven Azar, calling his response to the MP “unacceptable, arrogant and full of lies”.

Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, a prominent figure in India’s largest opposition party, the Indian National Congress (INC), and an elected MP from Wayanad condemned Israel’s assassination of six Palestinian journalists on Sunday, calling it a “cold blooded murder” and a “heinous crime”.

“The immeasurable courage of those who dare to stand for the truth will never be broken by the violence and hatred of the Israeli state,” Priyanka asserted, then moving on to criticize the Israeli genocide in general.

Priyanka claimed Israel has killed over 60,000 Palestinians in war and starved hundreds to death by blocking essential aid supplies. She demanded international action to end Israel’s crimes on the Palestinian soil.

Priyanka also termed the Indian government’s silence on Israel’s devastation of Gaza “shameful”.

In a direct response, Azar called Priyanka’s post deceitful and tried to shame her by repeating false Israeli government claims about Hamas being responsible for the state of Gaza. He also denied there was a genocide of Palestinians in Gaza.

Several people, leaders of the opposition and activists, took to X to call out Azar’s response. Some even called it an attempt to interfere in India’s domestic politics and demanded the Modi government take immediate action against him.

Others questioned the credibility of Azar’s claims, calling him a “brazen bare faced liar and apologist for a racist genocidal state”. They insisted Azar’s behavior violates basic diplomatic protocols and demanded he must be expelled from the country.

“Is it too much to expect the Modi government, which has shown extreme moral cowardice when it comes to speaking out on Israel’s destruction of Gaza over the past 18-20 months, to take serious exception and objection to the Ambassador’s response,” demanded Jairam Ramesh, another MP and chief of INC’s communication wing.

Ramesh underlined that the INC completely backs Priyanka’s position and recognizes the Israeli war in Gaza as genocide. He asserted that Azar’s tweet was “totally unacceptable” to the party.

Some underlined that Azar could not have dared to publicly question India’s opposition leaders without the “tacit approval” of a government led by a party that is considered ideologically aligned with Zionism.

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Re: India

Post by blindpig » Mon Sep 01, 2025 3:04 pm

Pleasant meetings
September 1, 9:38

Image

Isolation news.

P.S. The next SCO summit will be held in Moscow at the level of heads of state. Structures such as BRICS and the SCO allow the Kremlin to quite easily demonstrate that the West's efforts to diplomatically isolate Russia at the international level have suffered a strategic failure. And the incident with Modi, whom Trump personally pushed into the arms of Putin and Xi, is the icing on the cake. Before Trump, India was somewhat aloof, but after Trump's boorish attacks and ultimatums, Modi stood by his principles and decided that it was easier to come to an agreement with Moscow and Beijing than to humiliate himself before Washington, and Trump demanded precisely humiliation, as he demands and receives from the vassals and satellites of the United States. Russia and China do not demand anything like that from India, on the contrary, offering mutually beneficial formats of interaction. And in this regard, India has passed a certain test of sovereignty, which is a good sign for the coming multipolar world.

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India is Beset With the Same Anti-Modernizing Oligarchy as South America
Roger Boyd
Sep 01, 2025

Below is a talk with Alicia Garcia Herrero, Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at the French investment bank Natixis, covering the possibilities for India’s economy. As a mainstream economist she of course gets many, many things wrong; in a way serving as a perfect foil for an accurate description of what ails India.



Her most major error is to ignore the post-WW2 period when China regained its sovereignty through the Chinese communist revolution that was victorious in 1949 and India was given independence by the British state in 1947. In the former, the previous corrupt and rentier ruling class was utterly swept away and replaced with a communist government focused on improving the life of the average person. Immediately, a focus was placed on literacy, numeracy and basic disease prevention, other health measures, and land redistribution and agricultural development. Within the first decade of the Chinese communist government, literacy rates among youth and adults had risen from 20% to 57% and life expectancy had risen from 36 years to 45 years. The latter fell somewhat in the next couple of years of extensive droughts and floods (although by much less than stated by Western propaganda) and then continued a steady climb to 64 in 1979. In the same year, literacy was at about 75%. At the same time significant investments were made in agricultural infrastructure and automation (e.g. tractors) as well as the building of basic heavy industries. Below is the case of Jiangsu, detailing the work of the results-driven local Party-state officials over decades to alleviate poverty in the region and develop the economy.



In contrast, Indian independence simply replaced the British rulers with the comprador Indian elites that had worked hand in hand with the colonial authorities. Instead of developing new industries and opportunities, these elites stepped into the easy profits made available through the exit of British businesses and capital in so many areas. They also blocked any real land redistribution, and showed little interest in funding literacy, health and other programs for the many. Unlike Mao who came from peasant stock, Nehru (Prime Minister from 1947 to 1964) was the son of a prominent lawyer and was educated at Harrow and Trinity College Cambridge in England; spending his childhood and young adult years within core British establishment institutions and surrounded by the British elite rather than Indians. He then became a barrister in India for a short time before joining the Indian National Congress (INC) and becoming its leader. The INC represented the Indian elite, who wanted Indian independence on elite terms (very much like the US colonial elite who wanted to replace the authority of the British crown with their own). Nehru was the classic upper middle class vague socialist elitist who was never comfortable with mass organizations, and much more comfortable with his own class. In the immediate post-war period he moved to demobilize the radical independent unions and continuously compromised with the ruling class in their opposition to nationalization and land reform. The caste system was also not fundamentally changed, creating great inefficiencies with respect to the allocation of the human resources of the nation.

In 1957 an attempt at large scale state-subsidized industrialization based on capital imports, when combined with a partial liberalization of consumer goods imports, created a massive foreign exchange crisis. The state reaction was to severely cut state spending while bringing in state industrial licensing to manage the demand for foreign exchange. The latter was greatly manipulated by big business to keep out competitors and grew into what became the economic sclerosis inducing License Raj. By the late 1950s female enrolment in primary school, so important to late industrialization efforts focused on light industry, was only at 20% vs. 100% in Taiwan and 90% in China. The death rate was so bad that the Chinese death rate during the worst years of the 1959-61 famine equalled the normal Indian death rate.

After Nehru there was a very short period of hope with the rule of the honest and incorruptible Shastri before the years of Nehru’s daughter Indira Gandhi (no relation to Mahatma Gandhi) and the widespread incompetence, corruption, and nepotism of her reign. She ruled from 1966 to 1977 and from 1980 to 1984. India was only spared rule by her spoilt, incompetent, autocratic and sadistic son Sanjay by his death, caused by his own arrogance.



In 1984, India was in a much worse place than it had been in 1966; in contrast to a China that had grown twice as fast as India and had laid the groundwork of a well educated and healthy population with much agricultural and industrial infrastructure in place. This was the base upon which Deng Xiaoping launched the liberalization and opening up strategy. After Indira Gandhi’s assassination her son Rajiv became prime minister to extend the Nehru dynasty over four decades of failure. With a heavy reliance on increasing state subsidies and tax cuts he rapidly drove Indian state finances and the external trade account into a critical situation.

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https://rogerboyd.substack.com/p/india- ... -same-anti

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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